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Wildfires are among the most severe natural hazards, posing a significant threat to both humans and natural ecosystems. The growing risk of wildfires increases the demand for forecasting models that are not only accurate but also reliable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Spyros Kondylatos , Gustau Camps-Valls , Ioannis Papoutsis

Wildfires are becoming increasingly frequent and devastating, and therefore the technology to combat them must adapt accordingly. Modern predictive models have failed to balance predictive accuracy and operational viability, resulting in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-14 Connor Weinhouse , Jameson Augustin

Bushfires are among the most destructive natural hazards in Australia, causing significant ecological, economic, and social damage. Accurate prediction of bushfire intensity is therefore essential for effective disaster preparedness and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Tanvi Jois , Hussain Ahmad , Fatima Noor , Faheem Ullah

Wildfires are uncontrolled fires in the environment that can be caused by humans or nature. In 2020 alone, wildfires in California have burned 4.2 million acres, damaged 10,500 buildings or structures, and killed more than 31 people,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Samarth Shah

Wildfires pose a threat to ecosystems, economies and public safety, particularly in Mediterranean regions such as Spain. Accurate predictive models require high-resolution spatio-temporal data to capture complex dynamics of environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Julen Erzibengoa , Meritxell Gómez-Omella , Izaro Goienetxea

Wildfires are among the most severe disturbances affecting forest ecosystems, with over 50,000 hectares burned in Patagonia, Argentina, during 2025 alone. This study implements a Reaction-Diffusion-Convection (RDC) model to simulate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-05-04 Lucas Becerra , Monica Malen Denham , Alejandro B. Kolton , Karina Laneri

Research has shown that climate change creates warmer temperatures and drier conditions, leading to longer wildfire seasons and increased wildfire risks in the United States. These factors have in turn led to increases in the frequency,…

Investigating the health impacts of wildfire smoke requires data on people's exposure to fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) across space and time. In recent years, it has become common to use machine learning models to fill gaps in…

One of the impacts of climate change is the difficulty of tree regrowth after wildfires over areas that traditionally were covered by certain tree species. Here a deep learning model is customized to classify land covers from four-band…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Wang Zhou , Levente Klein

Wildfires are a major producer of fine particulate matter, impacting human health and the electrical grid. Accurately forecasting smoke impacts over long time scales incorporates fuel treatment strategies, natural fuel succession, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Zachary Morrow , Joseph Crockett , John D. Jakeman , Dan J. Krofcheck

Accurate prediction of next-day wildfire spread is critical for disaster response and resource allocation. Existing deep learning approaches typically concatenate heterogeneous geospatial inputs into a single tensor, ignoring the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Jinzhen Han , JinByeong Lee , Hak Han , YeonJu Na , Jae-Joon Lee

With the increased size and frequency of wildfire eventsworldwide, accurate real-time prediction of evolving wildfirefronts is a crucial component of firefighting efforts and for-est management practices. We propose a wildfire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Maxfield E. Green , Karl Kaiser , Nat Shenton

The understanding and prediction of large wildland fire events around the world is a growing interdisciplinary research area advanced rapidly by development and use of computational models. Recent models bidirectionally couple computational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-07-06 J. L. Coen , W. Schroeder , S. Conway , L. Tarnay

Utilizing satellite imagery for wildfire detection presents substantial potential for practical applications. To advance the development of machine learning algorithms in this domain, our study introduces the \textit{Sen2Fire} dataset--a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Yonghao Xu , Amanda Berg , Leif Haglund

Recent research has demonstrated the potential of deep neural networks (DNNs) to accurately predict wildfire spread on a given day based upon high-dimensional explanatory data from a single preceding day, or from a time series of T…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Saad Lahrichi , Jake Bova , Jesse Johnson , Jordan Malof

Wildfires pose a significant global threat to ecosystems worldwide, with California experiencing recurring fires due to various factors, including climate, topographical features, vegetation patterns, and human activities. This study aims…

In recent years, increased wildfires have caused irreversible damage to forest resources worldwide, threatening wildlives and human living conditions. The lack of accurate frontline information in real-time can pose great risks to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Tai Yang , Shumeng Zhang , Yong Wang , Jialei Liu

Forecasting bushfire spread is an important element in fire prevention and response efforts. Empirical observations of bushfire spread can be used to estimate fire response under certain conditions. These observations form rate-of-spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Andrew Bolt , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Reliable wildfire spread prediction is vital for risk-aware emergency planning, yet most deep learning models lack principled uncertainty quantification (UQ). Further, for boundary-sensitive cases like wildfire spread, evaluating models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jonas V. Funk

This paper details a methodology proposed for the EVA 2021 conference data challenge. The aim of this challenge was to predict the number and size of wildfires over the contiguous US between 1993 and 2015, with more importance placed on…