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Robust 3D occupancy prediction is essential for autonomous driving, particularly under adverse weather conditions where traditional vision-only systems struggle. While the fusion of surround-view 4D radar and cameras offers a promising…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Long Yang , Lianqing Zheng , Wenjin Ai , Minghao Liu , Sen Li , Qunshu Lin , Shengyu Yan , Jie Bai , Zhixiong Ma , Tao Huang , Xichan Zhu

In engineering, simulations play a vital role in predicting the behavior of a nonlinear dynamical system. In order to enhance the reliability of predictions, it is essential to incorporate the inherent uncertainties that are present in all…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Lars de Jong , Paula Clasen , Michael Müller , Ulrich Römer

This paper brings the concept of ``optimism" to the new and promising framework of online Non-stochastic Control (NSC). Namely, we study how NSC can benefit from a prediction oracle of unknown quality responsible for forecasting future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Naram Mhaisen , George Iosifidis

Split conformal prediction has recently sparked great interest due to its ability to provide formally guaranteed uncertainty sets or intervals for predictions made by black-box neural models, ensuring a predefined probability of containing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 António Farinhas , Chrysoula Zerva , Dennis Ulmer , André F. T. Martins

We introduce M2VN: Multi-Modal Volatility Network, a novel deep learning-based framework for financial volatility forecasting that unifies time series features with unstructured news data. M2VN leverages the representational power of deep…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-24 Yaxuan Kong , Yoontae Hwang , Marcus Kaiser , Chris Vryonides , Roel Oomen , Stefan Zohren

Conformal prediction is emerging as a popular paradigm for providing rigorous uncertainty quantification in machine learning since it can be easily applied as a post-processing step to already trained models. In this paper, we extend…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Charles Lu , Yaodong Yu , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy , Michael I. Jordan , Ramesh Raskar

Understanding associations between paired high-dimensional longitudinal datasets is a fundamental yet challenging problem that arises across scientific domains, including longitudinal multi-omic studies. The difficulty stems from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jianbin Tan , Pixu Shi

We propose a novel algorithm - Multifractal Cross-Correlation Analysis (MFCCA) - that constitutes a consistent extension of the Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (DCCA) and is able to properly identify and quantify subtle characteristics…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-02-25 Paweł Oświȩcimka , Stanisław Drożdż , Marcin Forczek , Stanisław Jadach , Jarosław Kwapień

Given the capability of mitigating the long-tail deficiencies and intricate-shaped absence prevalent in 3D object detection, occupancy prediction has become a pivotal component in autonomous driving systems. However, the procession of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Zichen Yu , Changyong Shu , Jiajun Deng , Kangjie Lu , Zongdai Liu , Jiangyong Yu , Dawei Yang , Hui Li , Yan Chen

Multifractal analysis is a forecasting technique used to study the scaling regularity properties of financial returns, to analyze the long-term memory and predictability of financial markets. In this paper, we propose a novel structural…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-18 Foued Saâdaoui

The fractional order grey models (FGM) have appealed considerable interest of research in recent years due to its higher effectiveness and flexibility than the conventional grey models and other prediction models. However, the definitions…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-08 Xin Ma , Wenqing Wu , Bo Zeng , Yong Wang , Xinxing Wu

Time series foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a popular paradigm for zero-shot multi-domain forecasting. These models are trained on numerous diverse datasets and claim to be effective forecasters across multiple different time series…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Anubha Goel , Puneet Pasricha , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen

The underlying physical concept of computing out-of-time-ordered correlation (OTOC) is a significant new tool within the framework of quantum field theory, which now-a-days is treated as a measure of random fluctuations. In this paper, by…

General Physics · Physics 2021-06-03 Sayantan Choudhury

The rapid expansion of data center infrastructure is reshaping power system dynamics by significantly increasing electricity demand while also offering potential for fast and controllable flexibility. To ensure reliable operation under such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Pengyu Ren , Wei Sun , Yifan Wang , Gareth Harrison

This paper presents a data-integrated framework for learning the dynamics of fractional-order nonlinear systems in both discrete-time and continuous-time settings. The proposed framework consists of two main steps. In the first step,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-19 Bahram Yaghooti , Chengyu Li , Bruno Sinopoli

This brief aims at the issue of globally composite-learning-based neural fast finite-time (F-FnT) tracking control for a class of uncertain systems in strict-feedback form subject to nonlinearly periodic disturbances. First, uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-22 Xidong Wang , Zhan Li , Zhen He

Crucial for autonomous exploration, online 3D occupancy prediction and mapping incrementally constructs dense spatial representations on the fly. However, recent Gaussian-centric methods struggle with structural boundary fidelity and rely…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Ruoyu Wang , Yong Liu , Sheng Tao , Yuhang Lin , Yukai Ma

Two models based on convolutional neural networks are trained to predict the two-dimensional velocity-fluctuation fields at different wall-normal locations in a turbulent open channel flow, using the wall-shear-stress components and the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-23 L. Guastoni , A. Güemes , A. Ianiro , S. Discetti , P. Schlatter , H. Azizpour , R. Vinuesa

Conformal risk control is an extension of conformal prediction for controlling risk functions beyond miscoverage. The original algorithm controls the expected value of a loss that is monotonic in a one-dimensional parameter. Here, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak