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In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to capture cascading failures among interconnected organizations in the global financial system. Failures can take the form of bankruptcies, defaults, and other insolvencies. The network that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso , Franco Blanchini , Patrizio Colaneri

Spatiotemporal chaotic systems are difficult to characterize in a model-free manner because of their high dimensionality, strong nonlinearity, and sensitivity to initial conditions. Coupled map lattices, as a representative class of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Xiaoqi Lei , Zixiang Yan , Jian Gao , Yueheng Lan , Jinghua Xiao

This study addresses the computational challenges of forecasting volatility in high-dimensional commodity markets. Building on the Network log-ARCH framework, we introduce a novel class of network topologies from GARCH-informed correlation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Fayçal Djebari , Kahina Mehidi , Khelifa Mazouz , Philipp Otto

We introduce a novel framework to financial time series forecasting that leverages causality-inspired models to balance the trade-off between invariance to distributional changes and minimization of prediction errors. To the best of our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-20 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Yutong Lu , Xi Lin , Mihai Cucuringu , Andre Fujita

This article present a continuous cascade model of volatility formulated as a stochastic differential equation. Two independent Brownian motions are introduced as random sources triggering the volatility cascade. One multiplicatively…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-26 Jun-ichi Maskawa , Koji Kuroda

In this work, we introduce FOCA, a novel multimodal framework for malware classification that jointly leverages audio and visual modalities. Unlike conventional Euclidean-based fusion methods, FOCA is the first to exploit the intrinsic…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Nitin Choudhury , Bikrant Bikram Pratap Maurya , Orchid Chetia Phukan , Arun Balaji Buduru

Inverse Optimal Control (IOC) aims to infer the underlying cost functional of an agent from observations of its expert behavior. This paper focuses on the IOC problem within the continuous-time linear quadratic regulator framework,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Meiling Yu , Lechen Feng , Lei Jiang , Yuan-Hua Ni

In this paper, we present a domain specific process to assist the verification of observer-based fault detection software. Observer-based fault detection systems, like control systems, yield invariant properties of quadratic types. These…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-11-11 Timothy Wang , Alireza Esna Ashari , Romain Jobredeaux , Eric M. Feron

Most statistical process monitoring methods for multichannel profiles focus solely on the mean and are almost ineffective when changes involve the covariance structure. Although it is known to be crucial, covariance monitoring requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Christian Capezza , Davide Forcina , Antonio Lepore , Biagio Palumbo

Synchronization of fractional-order chaotic systems is a hot topic in the field of nonlinear study. The co-coupled synchronization between two fractional-order chaotic systems with different initial conditions is investigated in this paper.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-09-15 Kehui Sun , Jian Ren , Shuisheng Qiu

Many models of fractal growth patterns (like Diffusion Limited Aggregation and Dielectric Breakdown Models) combine complex geometry with randomness; this double difficulty is a stumbling block to their elucidation. In this paper we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Benny Davidovich , M. J. Feigenbaum , H. G. E. Hentschel , Itamar Procaccia

Modern recommendation systems face significant challenges in processing multimodal sequential data, particularly in temporal dynamics modeling and information flow coordination. Traditional approaches struggle with distribution…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Maolin Wang , Yutian Xiao , Binhao Wang , Sheng Zhang , Shanshan Ye , Wanyu Wang , Hongzhi Yin , Ruocheng Guo , Zenglin Xu

Stochastic methods offer an effective way to suppress coherent errors in quantum simulation. In particular, the randomized compilation protocol may reduce circuit depth by randomly sampling Hamiltonian terms rather than following the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-15 Yu-Xia Wu , Yun-Zhuo Fan , Dan-Bo Zhang

We present a model predictive control (MPC) framework for nonlinear stochastic systems that ensures safety guarantee with high probability. Unlike most existing stochastic MPC schemes, our method adopts a set-erosion that converts the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Zishun Liu , Liqian Ma , Yongxin Chen

Automated Vehicle Path Following Control (PFC) is an advanced control system that can regulate the vehicle into a collision-free region in the presence of other objects on the road. Common collision avoidance functions, such as forward…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-20 Dan Shen

We study the volatility functional inference by Fourier transforms. This spectral framework is advantageous in that it harnesses the power of harmonic analysis to handle missing data and asynchronous observations without any artificial time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Richard Y. Chen

Identifying systemic risk patterns in geopolitical, economic, financial, environmental, transportation, epidemiological systems and their impacts is the key to risk management. This paper proposes a new nonlinear time series model:…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-03 Jingyu Ji , Deyuan Li , Zhengjun Zhang

We consider a nonlinear oscillator with fractional derivative of the order alpha. Perturbed by a periodic force, the system exhibits chaotic motion called fractional chaotic attractor (FCA). The FCA is compared to the ``regular'' chaotic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 G. M. Zaslavsky , A. A. Stanislavsky , M. Edelman

We propose to model multivariate volatility processes based on the newly defined conditionally uncorrelated components (CUCs). This model represents a parsimonious representation for matrix-valued processes. It is flexible in the sense that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Mingjin Wang , Qiwei Yao

If a point particle moves chaotically through a periodic array of scatterers the associated transport coefficients are typically irregular functions under variation of control parameters. For a piecewise linear two-parameter map we analyze…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Klages , T. Klauss
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