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A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

Design optimization of engineering systems with multiple competing objectives is a painstakingly tedious process especially when the objective functions are expensive-to-evaluate computer codes with parametric uncertainties. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-20 Piyush Pandita , Ilias Bilionis , Jitesh Panchal , B. P. Gautham , Amol Joshi , Pramod Zagade

The predict-then-optimize (PTO) framework is a standard approach in data-driven decision-making, where a decision-maker first estimates an unknown parameter from historical data and then uses this estimate to solve an optimization problem.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Michael Albert , Max Biggs , Ningyuan Chen , Guan Wang

Including a large number of predictors in the imputation model underlying a multiple imputation (MI) procedure is one of the most challenging tasks imputers face. A variety of high-dimensional MI techniques can help, but there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Edoardo Costantini , Kyle M. Lang , Tim Reeskens , Klaas Sijtsma

Counterfactual explanations are one of the most popular methods to make predictions of black box machine learning models interpretable by providing explanations in the form of `what-if scenarios'. Most current approaches optimize a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-16 Susanne Dandl , Christoph Molnar , Martin Binder , Bernd Bischl

The ICH E9(R1) Addendum (International Council for Harmonization 2019) suggests treatment-policy as one of several strategies for addressing intercurrent events such as treatment withdrawal when defining an estimand. This strategy requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-28 Suzie Cro , James H Roger , James R Carpenter

Model inference, such as model comparison, model checking, and model selection, is an important part of model development. Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO) is a general approach for assessing the generalizability of a model, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-12 Måns Magnusson , Michael Riis Andersen , Johan Jonasson , Aki Vehtari

Missing data imputation, where a model is trained on observed data to estimate unobserved values, is a fundamental problem in machine learning. In this paper, we rigorously formulate imputation model learning as a mean-squared error risk…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Luke Shannon , Song Liu , Katarzyna Reluga

Linear mixed effects models are highly flexible in handling a broad range of data types and are therefore widely used in applications. A key part in the analysis of data is model selection, which often aims to choose a parsimonious model…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-12 Samuel Müller , J. L. Scealy , A. H. Welsh

The One-versus-One (OvO) strategy is an approach of multi-classification models which focuses on training binary classifiers between each pair of classes. While the OvO strategy takes advantage of balanced training data, the classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Anthony Hei-Long Chan , Raymond HonFu Chan , Lingjia Dai

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an efficient method for optimizing expensive black-box functions. In real-world applications, BO often faces a major problem of missing values in inputs. The missing inputs can happen in two cases. First, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Phuc Luong , Dang Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

Many-Objective Feature Selection (MOFS) approaches use four or more objectives to determine the relevance of a subset of features in a supervised learning task. As a consequence, MOFS typically returns a large set of non-dominated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Uchechukwu F. Njoku , Alberto Abelló , Besim Bilalli , Gianluca Bontempi

In the last twenty-five years (1990-2014), algorithmic advances in integer optimization combined with hardware improvements have resulted in an astonishing 200 billion factor speedup in solving Mixed Integer Optimization (MIO) problems. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-14 Dimitris Bertsimas , Angela King , Rahul Mazumder

In decision-making problems, the outcome of an intervention often depends on the causal relationships between system components and is highly costly to evaluate. In such settings, causal Bayesian optimization (CBO) can exploit the causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Shriya Bhatija , Paul-David Zuercher , Jakob Thumm , Thomas Bohné

Standard approaches for variable selection in linear models are not tailored to deal properly with high-dimensional and incomplete data. Currently, methods dedicated to high-dimensional data handle missing values by ad-hoc strategies, like…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-09 Avner Bar-Hen , Vincent Audigier

Missing data present challenges in data analysis. Naive analyses such as complete-case and available-case analysis may introduce bias and loss of efficiency, and produce unreliable results. Multiple imputation (MI) is one of the most widely…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-15 Domonique W. Hodge , Sandra E. Safo , Qi Long

Missing data is a common challenge when analyzing epidemiological data, and imputation is often used to address this issue. Here, we investigate the scenario where a covariate used in an analysis has missingness and will be imputed. There…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-04 Lucy D'Agostino McGowan , Sarah C. Lotspeich , Staci A. Hepler

In many real-world applications, from robotics to pedestrian trajectory prediction, there is a need to predict multiple real-valued outputs to represent several potential scenarios. Current deep learning techniques to address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 David D. Nguyen , David Liebowitz , Surya Nepal , Salil S. Kanhere

Lookahead, also known as non-myopic, Bayesian optimization (BO) aims to find optimal sampling policies through solving a dynamic program (DP) that maximizes a long-term reward over a rolling horizon. Though promising, lookahead BO faces the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Xubo Yue , Raed Al Kontar

Survey sampling is concerned with the estimation of finite population parameters. In practice, survey data suffer from item nonresponse, which is commonly handled through imputation, i.e., replacing missing values with predicted values. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Ziming An , Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza