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Related papers: Intercomparison of a High-Resolution Regional Clim…

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We analyze the PCMDI/CMIP3 simulations performed by climate models (CMs) using pre-industrial and SRESA1B scenarios. Relatively large biases are present for most CMs when global energy budgets and when the atmospheric, oceanic, and land…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-13 Valerio Lucarini , Francesco Ragone

Climate change is causing the intensification of rainfall extremes. Precipitation projections with high spatial resolution are important for society to prepare for these changes, e.g. to model flooding impacts. Physics-based simulations for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-30 Henry Addison , Elizabeth Kendon , Suman Ravuri , Laurence Aitchison , Peter AG Watson

Many remote sensing applications employ masking of pixels in satellite imagery for subsequent measurements. For example, estimating water quality variables, such as Suspended Sediment Concentration (SSC) requires isolating pixels depicting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Rangel Daroya , Luisa Vieira Lucchese , Travis Simmons , Punwath Prum , Tamlin Pavelsky , John Gardner , Colin J. Gleason , Subhransu Maji

Annual North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) counts are frequently modeled as a Poisson process with a state-dependent rate. We provide a lower bound on the forecasting error of this class of models. Remarkably we find that this bound is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-10 Daniel Wesley , Michael E. Mann , Bhuvnesh Jain , Colin R. Twomey , Shannon Christiansen

A model is proposed to explain the observed correlation between monthly fluctuations in atmospheric CO2 concentrations and temperatures. The model relies on the oceans being in a temperature-dependent equilibrium with the atmosphere. When…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-02-22 Francois Ouellette

Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Julien Savre , Axel Lauer , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

Machine learning (ML) models are successful with weather forecasting and have shown progress in climate simulations, yet leveraging them for useful climate predictions needs exploration. Here we show this feasibility using Neural General…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-18 Gan Zhang , Megha Rao , Janni Yuval , Ming Zhao

Two extreme flood-inducing precipitation events in two cities in Mali, on 08 August 2012 in San (127 mm) and on 25 August 2019 in Kenieba (126 mm), are investigated with respect to rainfall structures, dynamical forcings, and the ability of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-28 Souleymane Sanogo , Marlon Maranan , Andreas H. Fink , Beth J. Woodhams , Peter Knippertz

We assess empirical models in climate econometrics using modern statistical learning techniques. Existing approaches are prone to outliers, ignore sample dependencies, and lack principled model selection. To address these issues, we…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-26 Christof Schötz , Jan Hassel , Christian Otto

High spatial resolution drought projections for the Iberian Peninsula (IP) have been examined in terms of duration, frequency, and severity of drought events. For this end, a set of regional climate simulations was completed using the…

Mixed-phase clouds, composed of supercooled liquid droplets and ice crystals, play a critical role in weather and climate systems. Their complex microphysical interactions and coupling with turbulence at microscales govern the cloud…

Climate projections using data driven machine learning models acting as emulators, is one of the prevailing areas of research to enable policy makers make informed decisions. Use of machine learning emulators as surrogates for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Anmol Chaure , Ashok Kumar Behera , Sudip Bhattacharya

Regional high-resolution climate projections are crucial for many applications, such as agriculture, hydrology, and natural hazard risk assessment. Dynamical downscaling, the state-of-the-art method to produce localized future climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-03 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Zhong Yi Wan , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez , Tapio Schneider , John Anderson , Fei Sha

Liquid water exhibits several important anomalous properties in the vicinity of the melting temperature ($T_{\mathrm{m}}$) of ice Ih, including a higher density than ice and a density maximum at 4~$^{\circ}$C. Experimentally, an isotope…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-01-01 Yifan Li , Bingjia Yang , Chunyi Zhang , Axel Gomez , Pinchen Xie , Yixiao Chen , Pablo M. Piaggi , Roberto Car

To track rapid changes within our water sector, Global Water Models (GWMs) need to realistically represent hydrologic systems' response patterns - such as baseflow fraction - but are hindered by their limited ability to learn from data.…

Reduced precision floating point arithmetic is now routinely deployed in numerical weather forecasting over short timescales. However the applicability of these reduced precision techniques to longer timescale climate simulations -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Tom Kimpson , E. Adam Paxton , Matthew Chantry , Tim Palmer

In this article, we review the interdisciplinary techniques (borrowed from physics, mathematics, statistics, machine-learning, etc.) and methodological framework that we have used to understand climate systems, which serve as examples of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-29 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

Reliable wind speed data is crucial for applications such as estimating local (future) wind power. Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Regional Climate Models (RCMs) provide forecasts over multi-decadal periods. However, their outputs vary…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Sofia Morelli , Nina Effenberger , Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

The objective of this work is to investigate the coupling of fluid dynamics, heat transfer and mass transfer during the impact and evaporation of droplets on a heated solid substrate. A laser-based thermoreflectance method is used to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-10-14 Rajneesh Bhardwaj , Jon P. Longtin , Daniel Attinger
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