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The effectiveness of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) has been demonstrated in a variety of contexts including non-parametric regression and classification. A BART scheme for estimating the intensity of inhomogeneous Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Mauricio Barahona , Seth Flaxman , Sarah Filippi , Axel Gandy , Emma McCoy

This paper investigates the impact of carbon pricing under the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) on the Italian electricity market, focusing on the carbon cost pass-through rate (CPTR) across market zones during Phases 3 and 4…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-06 Pierdomenico Duttilo , Francesco Lisi

Climate change, deforestation, and biodiversity loss are calling for innovative approaches to effective reforestation and afforestation. This paper explores the integration of artificial intelligence and remote sensing technologies for…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-15 Seymur Garibov , Wadim Strielkowski

Bayes additive regression trees(BART) is a nonparametric regression model which has gained wide -spread popularity in recent years due to its flexibility and high accuracy of estimation .In spatio-temporal related model,the spatio or…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-13 Hao Ran , Yang Bai

We introduce Climate Change Valuation Adjustment (CCVA) to capture climate change impacts on CVA+FVA that are currently invisible assuming typical market practice. To discuss such impacts on CVA+FVA from changes to instantaneous hazard…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-01 Chris Kenyon , Mourad Berrahoui

Increased usage of generative AI (GenAI) in Human-Computer Interaction (HCI) research induces a climate impact from carbon emissions due to energy consumption of the hardware used to develop and run GenAI models and systems. The exact…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Nanna Inie , Jeanette Falk , Raghavendra Selvan

Existing research argues that countries increase their production basket by adding products which require similar capabilities to those they already produce, a process referred to as path dependency. Green economic growth is a global…

General Economics · Economics 2020-09-10 Seyyedmilad Talebzadehhosseini , Steven R. Scheinert , Ivan Garibay

We present a Bayesian approach to model cohort-level retention rates and revenue over time. We use Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) to model the retention component which we couple with a linear model for the revenue component.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-24 Juan Camilo Orduz

This paper presents a refined country-level integrated assessment model, FUND 3.9n, that extends the regional FUND 3.9 framework by incorporating sector-specific climate impact functions and parametric uncertainty analysis for 198…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-05 In Chang Hwang , Richard S. J. Tol

Conventional economic analysis of stringent climate change mitigation policy generally concludes various levels of economic slowdown as a result of substantial spending on low carbon technology. Equilibrium economics however could not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-29 J. F. Mercure , H. Pollitt , U. Chewpreecha , P. Salas , A. Foley , P. B. Holden , N. R. Edwards

Earth's Energy Imbalance (EEI) is accelerating, partly due to declining planetary albedo from reduced cloud cover. Boreal afforestation can either mitigate or exacerbate this trend through competing biophysical feedbacks. While snow masking…

In this paper, we compare different mitigation policies when housing investments are irreversible. We use a general equilibrium model with non-homothetic preferences and an elaborate setup of the residential housing and energy production…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-25 Alkis Blanz , Beatriz Gaitan

The buildings and construction sector is a significant source of greenhouse gas emissions, with cement production alone contributing 7~\% of global emissions and the industry as a whole accounting for approximately 37~\%. Reducing emissions…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Heine Havneraas Røstum , Joseph Morlier , Sebastien Gros , Ketil Aas-Jakobsen

This paper presents a novel framework for prioritizing urban green space development in Tehran using diverse socio-economic, environmental, and sensitivity indices. The indices were derived from various sources including Google Earth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Mohammad Ganjirad , Mahmoud Reza Delavar , Hossein Bagheri , Mohammad Mehdi Azizi

Estimation of individualized treatment effects (ITE), also known as conditional average treatment effects (CATE), is an active area of methodology development. However, much less attention has been paid to the quantification of uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Daijiro Kabata , Nicholas C. Henderson , Ravi Varadhan

General circulation models (GCMs) are essential tools for climate studies. Such climate models may have varying accuracy across the input domain, but no model is uniformly best. One can improve climate model prediction performance by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Bo Li , Matthew T. Pratola

Modern AI practices all strive towards the same goal: better results. In the context of deep learning, the term "results" often refers to the achieved accuracy on a competitive problem set. In this paper, we adopt an idea from the emerging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Tim Yarally , Luís Cruz , Daniel Feitosa , June Sallou , Arie van Deursen

Forests of the Earth are a vital carbon sink while providing an essential habitat for biodiversity. Vegetation productivity (VP) is a critical indicator of carbon uptake in the atmosphere. The leaf area index is a crucial vegetation index…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-31 Ricardo Barros Lourenço , Michael J. Smith , Sylvia Smullin , Umangi Jain , Alemu Gonsamo , Arthur Ouaknine

We estimate the causal effect of external debt on greenhouse gas emissions in a panel of 78 emerging market and developing economies over the 1990-2015 period. Unlike previous literature, we use external instruments to address the potential…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-23 Jorge Carrera , Pablo de la Vega

In a world increasingly dominated by AI applications, an understudied aspect is the carbon and social footprint of these power-hungry algorithms that require copious computation and a trove of data for training and prediction. While…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Abhishek Gupta , Camylle Lanteigne , Sara Kingsley