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Reaching the 2030 targets for the EU primary energy use (PE) and CO2eq emissions (CE) requires an accurate assessment of how different technologies perform on these two fronts. In this regard, the focus in academia is increasingly shifting…

National Forest Inventory (NFI) programs can provide vital information on the status, trend, and change in forest parameters. These programs are being increasingly asked to provide forest parameter estimates for spatial and temporal extents…

This paper presents a novel nonlinear regression model for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data, geared specifically towards situations with small effect sizes, heterogeneous effects, and strong confounding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Carlos Carvalho

This paper investigates strategic investments needed to mitigate transition risks, particularly focusing on sectors significantly impacted by the shift to a low-carbon economy. It emphasizes the importance of tailored sector-specific…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiayue Zhang , Tony S. Wirjanto , Lysa Porth , Ken Seng Tan

Regression discontinuity designs (RDD) are widely used for causal inference. In many empirical applications, treatment effects vary substantially with covariates, and ignoring such heterogeneity can lead to misleading conclusions, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-05 Daisuke Kondo , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Causal inference identifies cause-and-effect relationships between variables. While traditional approaches rely on data to reveal causal links, a recently developed method, assimilative causal inference (ACI), integrates observations with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen

This study proposes a systematic non-kinetic deterrence path modeling framework based on strategic rare earth supply cut-off, aiming to assess the strategic effects of China's export control policy against the United States at the military…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-29 Wei Meng

"Green Premiums" which means the difference in cost between emissions-emitting technology and zero-emissions or emissions-reducing technology is significant for those renewable energy technology to address the climate change challenge…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-28 Zhi Li , Hang Fan , Shuyan Dong

Energy technologies emitting differing proportions of methane and carbon dioxide vary in their relative climate impacts over time, due to the different atmospheric lifetimes of the two gases. Standard technology comparisons using the global…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-06 Mandira Roy , Morgan R. Edwards , Jessika E. Trancik

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) are a powerful ensemble learning technique for modeling nonlinear regression functions. Although initially BART was proposed for predicting only continuous and binary response variables, over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Enakshi Saha

This paper examines the distribution dynamics of carbon dioxide (CO2) emission intensity across 30 Chinese provinces using a weighted distribution dynamics approach. The results show that CO2 emission intensity tends to diverge during the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-09 Jian-Xin Wu , Ling-Yun He

There is growing recognition among financial institutions, financial regulators and policy makers of the importance of addressing nature-related risks and opportunities. Evaluating and assessing nature-related risks for financial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Steven Reece , Emma O'Donnell , Felicia Liu , Joanna Wolstenholme , Frida Arriaga , Giacomo Ascenzi , Richard Pywell

This paper presents a carbon-energy coupling management framework for an industrial park, where the carbon flow model accompanying multi-energy flows is adopted to track and suppress carbon emissions on the user side. To deal with the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-21 Dafeng Zhu , Bo Yang , Yu Wu , Haoran Deng , Zhaoyang Dong , Kai Ma , Xinping Guan

This study investigates the relationship between corporate digital innovation and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance, with a specific focus on the mediating role of Generative artificial intelligence technology…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-03 Jun Cui

Although climate and nature related scenario analysis is increasingly important in finance, operational implementations remain limited for translating long horizon environmental scenarios into counterparty credit risk measures used in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-30 Takayuki Sakuma

As wildfires increasingly evolve into urban conflagrations, traditional risk models that treat structures as isolated assets fail to capture the non-linear contagion dynamics characteristic of the wildland urban interface (WUI). This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Miguel Esparza , Vamshi Battal , Ali Mostafavi

Climate change is expected to significantly affect the physical, financial, and economic environments over the long term, posing risks to the financial health of general insurers. While general insurers typically use Dynamic Financial…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-27 Benjamin Avanzi , Yanfeng Li , Greg Taylor , Bernard Wong

The document provides an overview of financial climate risks. It delves into how climate change impacts the global financial system, distinguishing between physical risks (such as extreme weather events) and transition risks (stemming from…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-12 Victor Cardenas

The most serious threat to ecosystems is the global climate change fueled by the uncontrolled increase in carbon emissions. In this project, we use mean field control and mean field game models to analyze and inform the decisions of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Rene Carmona , Gokce Dayanikli , Mathieu Lauriere

Climate adaptation could yield significant benefits. However, the uncertainty of which future climate scenarios will occur decreases the feasibility of proactively adapting. Climate adaptation projects could be underwritten by benefits paid…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-06 John Nay
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