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We present new PAC-Bayesian generalisation bounds for learning problems with unbounded loss functions. This extends the relevance and applicability of the PAC-Bayes learning framework, where most of the existing literature focuses on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-16 Maxime Haddouche , Benjamin Guedj , Omar Rivasplata , John Shawe-Taylor

Linear Autoencoders (LAEs) have shown strong performance in state-of-the-art recommender systems. However, this success remains largely empirical, with limited theoretical understanding. In this paper, we investigate the generalizability --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Ruixin Guo , Ruoming Jin , Xinyu Li , Yang Zhou

PAC-Bayesian learning bounds are of the utmost interest to the learning community. Their role is to connect the generalization ability of an aggregation distribution $\rho$ to its empirical risk and to its Kullback-Leibler divergence with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-24 Pierre Alquier , Benjamin Guedj

The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a useful risk measure in fields such as machine learning, finance, insurance, energy, etc. When measuring very extreme risk, the commonly used CVaR estimation method of sample averaging does not work…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

We propose a novel class of deep stochastic predictors for classifying metric data on graphs within the PAC-Bayes risk certification paradigm. Classifiers are realized as linearly parametrized deep assignment flows with random initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-21 Bastian Boll , Alexander Zeilmann , Stefania Petra , Christoph Schnörr

We derive lower bounds on the Bayes risk in decentralized estimation, where the estimator does not have direct access to the random samples generated conditionally on the random parameter of interest, but only to the data received from…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Aolin Xu , Maxim Raginsky

We prove semi-empirical concentration inequalities for random variables which are given as possibly nonlinear functions of independent random variables. These inequalities describe concentration of random variable in terms of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári

This paper concerns sequential computation of risk measures for financial data and asks how, given a risk measurement procedure, we can tell whether the answers it produces are `correct'. We draw the distinction between `external' and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-20 Mark H. A. Davis

The ability of overparameterized deep networks to generalize well has been linked to the fact that stochastic gradient descent (SGD) finds solutions that lie in flat, wide minima in the training loss -- minima where the output of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Vaishnavh Nagarajan , J. Zico Kolter

Application of deep neural networks to medical imaging tasks has in some sense become commonplace. Still, a "thorn in the side" of the deep learning movement is the argument that deep networks are prone to overfitting and are thus unable to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Anthony Sicilia , Xingchen Zhao , Anastasia Sosnovskikh , Seong Jae Hwang

Control policies from imitation learning can often fail to generalize to novel environments due to imperfect demonstrations or the inability of imitation learning algorithms to accurately infer the expert's policies. In this paper, we…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Allen Z. Ren , Sushant Veer , Anirudha Majumdar

Despite its wide use and empirical successes, the theoretical understanding and study of the behaviour and performance of the variational autoencoder (VAE) have only emerged in the past few years. We contribute to this recent line of work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Yuyang Shi , Arnaud Doucet , Benjamin Guedj

We study stochastic optimization problems with chance and risk constraints, where in the latter, risk is quantified in terms of the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). We consider the distributionally robust versions of these problems, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Ashish Cherukuri , Ashish R. Hota

We present new fast-rate PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for multi-task and meta-learning in the unbalanced setting, i.e. when the tasks have training sets of different sizes, as is typically the case in real-world scenarios. Previously,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Hossein Zakerinia , Christoph H. Lampert

This paper addresses risk averse constrained optimization problems where the objective and constraint functions can only be computed by a blackbox subject to unknown uncertainties. To handle mixed aleatory/epistemic uncertainties, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Charles Audet , Jean Bigeon , Romain Couderc , Michael Kokkolaras

When utilising PAC-Bayes theory for risk certification, it is usually necessary to estimate and bound the Gibbs risk of the PAC-Bayes posterior. Many works in the literature employ a method for this which requires a large number of passes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Felix Biggs

PAC-Bayes is a useful framework for deriving generalization bounds which was introduced by McAllester ('98). This framework has the flexibility of deriving distribution- and algorithm-dependent bounds, which are often tighter than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Roi Livni , Shay Moran

We present a PAC-Bayes-style generalization bound which enables the replacement of the KL-divergence with a variety of Integral Probability Metrics (IPM). We provide instances of this bound with the IPM being the total variation metric and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Ron Amit , Baruch Epstein , Shay Moran , Ron Meir

In this paper, we investigate the question: Given a small number of datapoints, for example N = 30, how tight can PAC-Bayes and test set bounds be made? For such small datasets, test set bounds adversely affect generalisation performance by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Andrew Y. K. Foong , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Richard E. Turner

Accurate computation of robust estimates for extremal quantiles of empirical distributions is an essential task for a wide range of applicative fields, including economic policymaking and the financial industry. Such estimates are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Pietro Bogani , Matteo Fontana , Luca Neri , Simone Vantini
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