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In explainable AI, surrogate models are commonly evaluated by their fidelity to a neural network's predictions. Fidelity, however, measures alignment to a learned model rather than alignment to the data-generating signal underlying the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Jackson Eshbaugh

While the need for interpretable machine learning has been established, many common approaches are slow, lack fidelity, or hard to evaluate. Amortized explanation methods reduce the cost of providing interpretations by learning a global…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-03 Neil Jethani , Mukund Sudarshan , Yindalon Aphinyanaphongs , Rajesh Ranganath

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

The field of health informatics has been profoundly influenced by the development of random forest models, which have led to significant advances in the interpretability of feature interactions. These models are characterized by their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Akshat Dubey , Aleksandar Anžel , Georges Hattab

Many problems in computer vision have recently been tackled using models whose predictions cannot be easily interpreted, most commonly deep neural networks. Surrogate explainers are a popular post-hoc interpretability method to further…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Ricardo Kleinlein , Alexander Hepburn , Raúl Santos-Rodríguez , Fernando Fernández-Martínez

To address the issues of stability and fidelity in interpretable learning, a novel interpretable methodology, ensemble interpretation, is presented in this paper which integrates multi-perspective explanation of various interpretation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Chao Min , Guoyong Liao , Guoquan Wen , Yingjun Li , Xing Guo

Interpretability, trustworthiness, and usability are key considerations in high-stake security applications, especially when utilizing deep learning models. While these models are known for their high accuracy, they behave as black boxes in…

In this work we provide a theoretical framework for structured prediction that generalizes the existing theory of surrogate methods for binary and multiclass classification based on estimating conditional probabilities with smooth convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Alex Nowak-Vila , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

Shapley-related techniques have gained attention as both global and local interpretation tools because of their desirable properties. However, their computation using conditional expectations is computationally expensive. Approximation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Zhipu Zhou , Jie Chen , Linwei Hu

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

Interpreting time series models is uniquely challenging because it requires identifying both the location of time series signals that drive model predictions and their matching to an interpretable temporal pattern. While explainers from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Owen Queen , Thomas Hartvigsen , Teddy Koker , Huan He , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Marinka Zitnik

Disruptions at critical logistics nodes pose severe risks to global supply chains, yet existing risk prediction systems typically prioritize forecasting accuracy without providing operationally interpretable early warnings. This paper…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Zhiming Xue , Yujue Wang , Menghao Huo

Improved prediction of personalized health outcomes -- such as sleep quality and stress -- from multimodal lifelog data could have meaningful clinical and practical implications. However, state-of-the-art models, primarily deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Dohyun Bu , Jisoo Han , Soohwa Kwon , Yulim So , Jong-Seok Lee

Recent advances in deep learning have led to interest in training deep learning models on longitudinal healthcare records to predict a range of medical events, with models demonstrating high predictive performance. Predictive performance is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Lin Lee Cheong , Tesfagabir Meharizghi , Wynona Black , Yang Guang , Weilin Meng

Time series forecasting is an important yet challenging task. Though deep learning methods have recently been developed to give superior forecasting results, it is crucial to improve the interpretability of time series models. Previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Qingyi Pan , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

This paper proposes a new framework for learning a rule ensemble model that is both accurate and interpretable. A rule ensemble is an interpretable model based on the linear combination of weighted rules. In practice, we often face the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Kentaro Kanamori

When quantitative models are used to support decision-making on complex and important topics, understanding a model's ``reasoning'' can increase trust in its predictions, expose hidden biases, or reduce vulnerability to adversarial attacks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Dimitris Bertsimas , Arthur Delarue , Patrick Jaillet , Sebastien Martin

Recent years have seen a growing interest in methods for predicting an unknown variable of interest, such as a subject's diagnosis, from medical images depicting its anatomical-functional effects. Methods based on discriminative modeling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Chiara Mauri , Stefano Cerri , Oula Puonti , Mark Mühlau , Koen Van Leemput

Most recent work on interpretability of complex machine learning models has focused on estimating $\textit{a posteriori}$ explanations for previously trained models around specific predictions. $\textit{Self-explaining}$ models where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-05 David Alvarez-Melis , Tommi S. Jaakkola

Explaining complex or seemingly simple machine learning models is an important practical problem. We want to explain individual predictions from a complex machine learning model by learning simple, interpretable explanations. Shapley values…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-07 Kjersti Aas , Martin Jullum , Anders Løland
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