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As black box explanations are increasingly being employed to establish model credibility in high-stakes settings, it is important to ensure that these explanations are accurate and reliable. However, prior work demonstrates that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Dylan Slack , Sophie Hilgard , Sameer Singh , Himabindu Lakkaraju

With the ever-increasing use of complex machine learning models in critical applications within the finance domain, explaining the decisions of the model has become a necessity. With applications spanning from credit scoring to credit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Aditya Lahiri , Narayanan Unny Edakunni

When using machine learning techniques in decision-making processes, the interpretability of the models is important. In the present paper, we adopted the Shapley additive explanation (SHAP), which is based on fair profit allocation among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Yasunobu Nohara , Koutarou Matsumoto , Hidehisa Soejima , Naoki Nakashima

Interpretability analysis methods for artificial intelligence models, such as LIME and SHAP, are widely used, though they primarily serve as post-model for analyzing model outputs. While it is commonly believed that the transparency and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-28 Yan Zhang , Lin Chen , Yixiang Tian

Explainable artificial intelligence provides tools to better understand predictive models and their decisions, but many such methods are limited to producing insights with respect to a single class. When generating explanations for several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Kacper Sokol , Peter Flach

Deep learning has made significant advances in creating efficient representations of time series data by automatically identifying complex patterns. However, these approaches lack interpretability, as the time series is transformed into a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Etienne Le Naour , Ghislain Agoua , Nicolas Baskiotis , Vincent Guigue

Time series forecasting models often lack interpretability, limiting their adoption in domains requiring explainable predictions. We propose \textsc{FreqLens}, an interpretable forecasting framework that discovers and attributes predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Chi-Sheng Chen , Xinyu Zhang , En-Jui Kuo , Guan-Ying Chen , Qiuzhe Xie , Fan Zhang

Explainability in time series models is crucial for fostering trust, facilitating debugging, and ensuring interpretability in real-world applications. In this work, we introduce Implet, a novel post-hoc explainer that generates accurate and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Fanyu Meng , Ziwen Kan , Shahbaz Rezaei , Zhaodan Kong , Xin Chen , Xin Liu

In the current context of Big Data, the nature of many forecasting problems has changed from predicting isolated time series to predicting many time series from similar sources. This has opened up the opportunity to develop competitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown remarkable ability in solving complex tasks, making them a promising tool for enhancing tabular learning. However, existing LLM-based methods suffer from high resource requirements, suboptimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Ruxue Shi , Hengrui Gu , Xu Shen , Xin Wang

This paper presents a software implementation of a general framework for time series interpretation based on abductive reasoning. The software provides a data model and a set of algorithms to make inference to the best explanation of a time…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Tomas Teijeiro , Paulo Felix

As machine learning models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, the need for interpretability has grown to meet strict regulatory and accountability constraints. Despite this interest, systematic evaluations of inherently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Mattia Billa , Giovanni Orlandi , Veronica Guidetti , Federica Mandreoli

This paper presents a systematic literature review (SLR) on the explainability and interpretability of machine learning (ML) models within the context of predictive process mining, using the PRISMA framework. Given the rapid advancement of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Nijat Mehdiyev , Maxim Majlatow , Peter Fettke

Interpretability is central for scientific machine learning, as understanding \emph{why} models make predictions enables hypothesis generation and validation. While tabular foundation models show strong performance, existing explanation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Luan Borges Teodoro Reis Sena , Francisco Galuppo Azevedo

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Yuqi Jiang , Yan Li , Yize Chen

Time series forecasting is a critical first step in generating demand plans for supply chains. Experiments on time series models typically focus on demonstrating improvements in forecast accuracy over existing/baseline solutions, quantified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Steven Klee , Yuntian Xia

A local surrogate for an AI-model correcting a simpler 'base' model is introduced representing an analytical method to yield explanations of AI-predictions. The approach is studied here in the context of the base model being linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-12 Florian Sobieczky , Manuela Geiß

From self-driving vehicles and back-flipping robots to virtual assistants who book our next appointment at the hair salon or at that restaurant for dinner - machine learning systems are becoming increasingly ubiquitous. The main reason for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-16 Milo Honegger

Mechanistic interpretability focuses on reverse engineering the internal mechanisms learned by neural networks. We extend our focus and propose to mechanistically forward engineer using our framework based on Concept Bottleneck Models. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Angela van Sprang , Erman Acar , Willem Zuidema

Machine learning models play a vital role in time series forecasting. These models, however, often overlook an important element: point uncertainty estimates. Incorporating these estimates is crucial for effective risk management, informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Leonid Erlygin , Vladimir Zholobov , Valeriia Baklanova , Evgeny Sokolovskiy , Alexey Zaytsev
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