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Machine learning has shown much promise in helping improve the quality of medical, legal, and financial decision-making. In these applications, machine learning models must satisfy two important criteria: (i) they must be causal, since the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Carolyn Kim , Osbert Bastani

Financial forecasting increasingly uses large neural network models, but their opacity raises challenges for trust and regulatory compliance. We present several approaches to explainable and reliable AI in finance. \emph{First}, we describe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Albi Isufaj , Pablo Mollá , Helmut Prendinger

While deep neural networks have achieved remarkable performance, they tend to lack transparency in prediction. The pursuit of greater interpretability in neural networks often results in a degradation of their original performance. Some…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Hefeng Wu , Hao Jiang , Keze Wang , Ziyi Tang , Xianghuan He , Liang Lin

Exploring the expansion history of the universe, understanding its evolutionary stages, and predicting its future evolution are important goals in astrophysics. Today, machine learning tools are used to help achieving these goals by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Michael Franklin Mbouopda , Emille E. O. Ishida , Engelbert Mephu Nguifo , Emmanuel Gangler

Explainability in AI is crucial for model development, compliance with regulation, and providing operational nuance to predictions. The Shapley framework for explainability attributes a model's predictions to its input features in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Christopher Frye , Damien de Mijolla , Tom Begley , Laurence Cowton , Megan Stanley , Ilya Feige

Accurate simulations of the oceans are crucial in understanding the Earth system. Despite their efficiency, simulations at lower resolutions must rely on various uncertain parameterizations to account for unresolved processes. However,…

Conformal prediction has recently emerged as a promising strategy for quantifying the uncertainty of a predictive model; these algorithms modify the model to output sets of labels that are guaranteed to contain the true label with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Botong Zhang , Shuo Li , Osbert Bastani

Despite the wide use of explainability techniques to attempt to understand the behavior of Artificial Intelligence (AI), the generated explanations may not always be reliable. An explanation can appear plausible to humans but fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Tomás Pereira , João Vitorino , Eva Maia , Isabel Praça

Chaotic time series are notoriously difficult to forecast. Small uncertainties in initial conditions amplify rapidly, while strong nonlinearities and regime dependent variability constrain predictability. Although modern deep learning often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Madhurima Panja , Grace Younes , Tanujit Chakraborty

Local surrogate approaches for explaining machine learning model predictions have appealing properties, such as being model-agnostic and flexible in their modelling. Several methods exist that fit this description and share this goal.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Rafael Poyiadzi , Xavier Renard , Thibault Laugel , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Marcin Detyniecki

We study the faithfulness of an explanation system to the underlying prediction model. We show that this can be captured by two properties, consistency and sufficiency, and introduce quantitative measures of the extent to which these hold.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Sanjoy Dasgupta , Nave Frost , Michal Moshkovitz

Modern predictive analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-driven decision making. In the context of business process management, predictive analytics has been applied to making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Renuka Sindhgatta , Chun Ouyang , Catarina Moreira

Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) is a popular method to perform interpretability of any kind of Machine Learning (ML) model. It explains one ML prediction at a time, by learning a simple linear model around the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Giorgio Visani , Enrico Bagli , Federico Chesani

Accurate and interpretable air pollution forecasting is crucial for public health, but most models face a trade-off between performance and interpretability. This study proposes a physics-guided, interpretable-by-design spatiotemporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Zhiguo Zhang , Xiaoliang Ma , Daniel Schlesinger

As artificial intelligence (AI) systems become increasingly integrated into critical decision-making processes, the need for transparent and interpretable models has become paramount. In this article we present a new ruleset creation method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Mario Parrón Verdasco , Esteban García-Cuesta

Although a recent shift has been made in the field of predictive process monitoring to use models from the explainable artificial intelligence field, the evaluation still occurs mainly through performance-based metrics, thus not accounting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Alexander Stevens , Johannes De Smedt

Explainability in machine learning has become incredibly important as machine learning-powered systems become ubiquitous and both regulation and public sentiment begin to demand an understanding of how these systems make decisions. As a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Erick Galinkin

The simulation of complex systems increasingly relies on sophisticated but fundamentally opaque computational black-box simulators. Surrogate models play a central role in reducing the computational cost of complex systems simulations…

An important factor in the practical implementation of optimization models is the acceptance by the intended users. This is influenced among other factors by the interpretability of the solution process. Decision rules that meet this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Marc Goerigk , Michael Hartisch , Sebastian Merten

Systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) require computationally intensive numerical solvers to predict spatiotemporal field evolution. While machine learning (ML) surrogates offer faster solutions, autoregressive inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Ishan Khurjekar , Indrashish Saha , Lori Graham-Brady , Somdatta Goswami