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The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a powerful tool in modeling complex time series and has been exploited in many fields. However, fitting high dimensional VAR model poses some unique challenges: On one hand, the dimensionality,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-30 Fang Han , Huanran Lu , Han Liu

We investigate how to improve efficiency using regression adjustments with covariates in covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs) with imperfect subject compliance. Our regression-adjusted estimators, which are based on the doubly robust…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-19 Liang Jiang , Oliver B. Linton , Haihan Tang , Yichong Zhang

This paper considers the regularized estimation of covariance matrices (CM) of high-dimensional (compound) Gaussian data for minimum variance distortionless response (MVDR) beamforming. Linear shrinkage is applied to improve the accuracy…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Lei Xie , Zishu He , Jun Tong , Jun Li , Jiangtao Xi

Functional autoregressive models of order one (FAR(1)) are predominantly estimated by projecting curves onto leading functional principal components and fitting a vector autoregression in score space, requiring a discrete truncation level…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Yao Zhao

We consider the fluctuation of linear eigenvalue statistics of random band $n\times n$ matrices whose entries have the form $\mathcal{M}_{ij}=b^{-1/2}u^{1/2}(|i-j|)\tilde w_{ij}$ with i.i.d. $w_{ij}$ possessing the $(4+\varepsilon)$th…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-09-30 Mariya Shcherbina

A general framework for principal component analysis (PCA) in the presence of heteroskedastic noise is introduced. We propose an algorithm called HeteroPCA, which involves iteratively imputing the diagonal entries of the sample covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-02 Anru R. Zhang , T. Tony Cai , Yihong Wu

Covariate adjustment is an approach to improve the precision of trial analyses by adjusting for baseline variables that are prognostic of the primary endpoint. Motivated by the SEARCH Universal HIV Test-and-Treat Trial (2013-2017), we tell…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Laura B. Balzer , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

We make a minimal, but very effective alteration to the VAE model. This is about a drop-in replacement for the (sample-dependent) approximate posterior to change it from the standard white Gaussian with diagonal covariance to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-16 Sohrab Ferdowsi , Maurits Diephuis , Shideh Rezaeifar , Slava Voloshynovskiy

In this paper, we provide new insights on the Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm. We show that this method can be formulated as a first order optimization algorithm of an objective functional defined on the Wasserstein space of order $2$. Using…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-30 Alain Durmus , Szymon Majewski , Błażej Miasojedow

To derive the auto-covariance function from a sampled and time-limited signal or the cross-covariance function from two such signals, the mean values must be estimated and removed from the signals. If no a priori information about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Holger Nobach

We estimate on a compact interval densities with isolated irregularities, such as discontinuities or discontinuities in some derivatives. From independent and identically distributed observations we construct a kernel estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Céline Duval , Émeline Schmisser

In semiconductor manufacturing, wafer defect maps (WDMs) play a crucial role in diagnosing issues and enhancing process yields by revealing critical defect patterns. However, accurately categorizing WDM defects presents significant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Yin-Yin Bao , Er-Chao Li , Hong-Qiang Yang , Bin-Bin Jia

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models assume linearity between the endogenous variables and their lags. This assumption might be overly restrictive and could have a deleterious impact on forecasting accuracy. As a solution, we propose…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-10 Florian Huber , Luca Rossini

This paper provides a design-based framework for variance (bound) estimation in experimental analysis. Results are applicable to virtually any combination of experimental design, linear estimator (e.g., difference-in-means, OLS, WLS) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Joel A. Middleton

Robust estimators for linear regression require non-convex objective functions to shield against adverse affects of outliers. This non-convexity brings challenges, particularly when combined with penalization in high-dimensional settings.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-08 David Kepplinger , Siqi Wei

In this paper we investigate the convergence properties of a variant of the Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy (CMA-ES). Our study is based on the recent theoretical foundation that the pure rank-mu update CMA-ES performs the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Youhei Akimoto

This paper describes a statistically-principled semi-supervised method of automatic chord estimation (ACE) that can make effective use of music signals regardless of the availability of chord annotations. The typical approach to ACE is to…

Sound · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Yiming Wu , Tristan Carsault , Eita Nakamura , Kazuyoshi Yoshii

The application of deep learning in survival analysis (SA) allows utilizing unstructured and high-dimensional data types uncommon in traditional survival methods. This allows to advance methods in fields such as digital health, predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Tobias Weber , Michael Ingrisch , Bernd Bischl , David Rügamer

We study the problem of estimating a large, low-rank matrix corrupted by additive noise of unknown covariance, assuming one has access to additional side information in the form of noise-only measurements. We study the Whiten-Shrink-reColor…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Matan Gavish , William Leeb , Elad Romanov

In this paper, a new way to integrate volatility information for estimating value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) of a portfolio is suggested. The new method is developed from the perspective of Bayesian statistics and it…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Taras Bodnar , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén