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In contrast with Mercer kernel-based approaches as used e.g., in Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA), it was previously shown that Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) inherently relates to asymmetric kernels and Asymmetric Kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Qinghua Tao , Francesco Tonin , Alex Lambert , Yingyi Chen , Panagiotis Patrinos , Johan A. K. Suykens

This paper studies the covariance matrix estimation for high-dimensional time series within a new framework that combines low-rank factor and latent variable-specific cluster structures. The popular methods based on assuming the sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Dong Li , Xinghao Qiao , Cheng Yu

The reduced-rank vector autoregressive (VAR) model can be interpreted as a supervised factor model, where two factor modelings are simultaneously applied to response and predictor spaces. This article introduces a new model, called vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-16 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Ruey Tsay

Online A/B tests have become increasingly popular and important for social platforms. However, accurately estimating the global average treatment effect (GATE) has proven to be challenging due to network interference, which violates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Qianyi Chen , Bo Li , Lu Deng , Yong Wang

We propose two approaches to estimate semiparametric discrete choice models for bundles. Our first approach is a kernel-weighted rank estimator based on a matching-based identification strategy. We establish its complete asymptotic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-18 Fu Ouyang , Thomas Tao Yang

We propose two approaches to estimate semiparametric discrete choice models for bundles. Our first approach is a kernel-weighted rank estimator based on a matching-based identification strategy. We establish its complete asymptotic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-18 Fu Ouyang , Thomas T. Yang

We propose an adaptive ridge (AR) estimation scheme for a heteroscedastic linear regression model with log-linear noise in data. We simultaneously estimate the mean and variance parameters, demonstrating new asymptotic distributional and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Ka Long Keith Ho , Hiroki Masuda

Prediction error is critical to assessing the performance of statistical methods and selecting statistical models. We propose the cross-validation and approximated cross-validation methods for estimating prediction error under a broad…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Chunming Zhang

BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) has become increasingly popular as a flexible and scalable nonparametric regression approach for modern applied statistics problems. For the practitioner dealing with large and complex nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-11 Matthew Pratola , Hugh Chipman , Edward George , Robert McCulloch

Inspired by the success of self-supervised autoregressive representation learning in natural language (GPT and its variants), and advances in recent visual architecture design with Vision Transformers (ViTs), in this paper, we explore the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Tianyu Hua , Yonglong Tian , Sucheng Ren , Michalis Raptis , Hang Zhao , Leonid Sigal

Consider one realization of a continuous-time Gaussian process $Z$ which belongs to the Mat\' ern family with known ``regularity'' index $\nu >0$. For estimating the autocorrelation-range and the variance of $Z$ from $n$ observations on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Didier A. Girard

In machine learning, model calibration and predictive inference are essential for producing reliable predictions and quantifying uncertainty to support decision-making. Recognizing the complementary roles of point and interval predictions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-01 Lars van der Laan , Ahmed M. Alaa

This paper investigates the critical role of eigenalignments between the kernel matrix and learning targets in achieving robust generalization in learning problems. We establish a direct connection between generalization performance in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Yang Liu , Ernest Fokoue , Richard Lange , Daniel Krutz

In multivariate time series, the estimation of the covariance matrix of the observation innovations plays an important role in forecasting as it enables the computation of the standardized forecast error vectors as well as it enables the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-04 K. Triantafyllopoulos

In this paper, we consider the log-concave ensemble of random matrices, a class of covariance-type matrices $XX^*$ with isotropic log-concave $X$-columns. A main example is the covariance estimator of the uniform measure on isotropic convex…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-23 Zhigang Bao , Xiaocong Xu

Popular sparse estimation methods based on $\ell_1$-relaxation, such as the Lasso and the Dantzig selector, require the knowledge of the variance of the noise in order to properly tune the regularization parameter. This constitutes a major…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-17 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Mohamed Hebiri , Katia Méziani , Joseph Salmon

In this article, we propose the fractional lower order covariance method (FLOC) for estimating the parameters of vector autoregressive process (VAR) of order $p$, $p\geq 1$ with symmetric stable noise. Further, we show the efficiency,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-16 Aastha M. Sathe , N. S. Upadhye

The spatial error model (SEM) is a type of simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) model for analysing spatially correlated data. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is one of the most widely used Bayesian methods for estimating SEM, but it has…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Anjana Wijayawardhana , David Gunawan , Thomas Suesse

CoVariance Neural Networks (VNNs) perform graph convolutions on the empirical covariance matrix of signals defined over finite-dimensional Hilbert spaces, motivated by robustness and transferability properties. Yet, little is known about…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Claudio Battiloro , Andrea Cavallo , Elvin Isufi

Despite its prevalence in statistical datasets, heteroscedasticity (non-constant sample variances) has been largely ignored in the high-dimensional statistics literature. Recently, studies have shown that the Lasso can accommodate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-31 James Sharpnack , Mladen Kolar
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