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A unified frequency domain cross-validation (FDCV) method is proposed to obtain a heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) standard error. This method enables model/tuning parameter selection across both parametric and…
We introduce a nonparametric nonlinear VAR prewhitened long-run variance (LRV) estimator for the construction of standard errors robust to autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity that can be used for hypothesis testing in a variety of…
We develop a theory of evolutionary spectra for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust (HAR) inference when the data may not satisfy second-order stationarity. Nonstationarity is a common feature of economic time series which may…
We consider the derivation of data-dependent simultaneous bandwidths for double kernel heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (DK-HAC) estimators. In addition to the usual smoothing over lagged autocovariances for classical HAC…
Spatial autocorrelation in regression models can lead to downward biased standard errors and thus incorrect inference. The most common correction in applied economics is the spatial heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC)…
The paper concerns the problem of pointwise adaptive estimation in regression when the noise is heteroscedastic and incorrectly known. The use of the local approximation method, which includes the local polynomial smoothing as a particular…
In this paper, we are interested in the problem of smoothing parameter selection in nonparametric curve estimation under dependent errors. We focus on kernel estimation and the case when the errors form a general stationary sequence of…
Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…
It is well-known that kernel regression estimators do not produce a constant estimator variance over a domain. To correct this problem, Nishida and Kanazawa (2015) proposed a variance-stabilizing (VS) local variable bandwidth for Local…
Standard methods, such as sequential procedures based on Johansen's (pseudo-)likelihood ratio (PLR) test, for determining the co-integration rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) system of variables integrated of order one can be…
In stochastic optimization problems using noisy zeroth-order (ZO) oracles only, the randomized counterpart of the Kiefer-Wolfowitz-type method is widely used to estimate the gradient. Existing algorithms generate randomized perturbation…
This paper considers estimation and model selection of quantile vector autoregression (QVAR). Conventional quantile regression often yields undesirable crossing quantile curves, violating the monotonicity of quantiles. To address this…
We analytically investigate size and power properties of a popular family of procedures for testing linear restrictions on the coefficient vector in a linear regression model with temporally dependent errors. The tests considered are…
Vector autoregressions (VARs) are a widely used tool for modelling multivariate time-series. It is common to assume a VAR is stationary; this can be enforced by imposing the stationarity condition which restricts the parameter space of the…
Deep heteroscedastic regression involves jointly optimizing the mean and covariance of the predicted distribution using the negative log-likelihood. However, recent works show that this may result in sub-optimal convergence due to the…
Covariance and Hessian matrices have been analyzed separately in the literature for classification problems. However, integrating these matrices has the potential to enhance their combined power in improving classification performance. We…
In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the covariance kernel and its eigenvalues and eigenfunctions from sparse, irregularly observed, noise corrupted and (possibly) correlated functional data. We present a method based on…
We consider reduced-rank modeling of the white noise covariance matrix in a large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We first propose the reduced-rank covariance estimator under the setting where independent observations are…
Deep heteroscedastic regression models the mean and covariance of the target distribution through neural networks. The challenge arises from heteroscedasticity, which implies that the covariance is sample dependent and is often unknown.…
This study introduces Variational Automatic Relevance Determination (VARD), a novel approach tailored for fitting sparse additive regression models in high-dimensional settings. VARD distinguishes itself by its ability to independently…