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Solar photovoltaic (PV) farms represent a major source of global renewable energy generation, yet their true operational efficiency often remains unknown at scale. In this paper, we present a comprehensive, data-driven framework for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Isaac Corley , Conor Wallace , Sourav Agrawal , Burton Putrah , Jonathan Lwowski

To address the high levels of uncertainty associated with photovoltaic energy, an increasing number of studies focusing on short-term solar forecasting (i.e. nowcasting) have been published. Most of these studies use deep-learning-based…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Lorenzo F. C. Varaschin , Danilo Silva

The energy output a photo voltaic(PV) panel is a function of solar irradiation and weather parameters like temperature and wind speed etc. A general measure for solar irradiation called Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), customarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-01 Bhaskar Pratim Mukhoty , Vikas Maurya , Sandeep Kumar Shukla

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

The integration of renewable resources has increased in power generation as a means to reduce the fossil fuel usage and mitigate its adverse effects on the environment. However, renewables like solar energy are stochastic in nature due to…

Surface solar irradiance (SSI) plays a crucial role in tackling climate change - as an abundant, non-fossil energy source, exploited primarily via photovoltaic (PV) energy production. With the growing contribution of SSI to total energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-20 Alberto Carpentieri , Doris Folini , Jussi Leinonen , Angela Meyer

The solar EUV irradiance is of key importance for space weather. Most of the time, however, surrogate quantities such as EUV indices have to be used by lack of continuous and spectrally resolved measurements of the irradiance. The ability…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 T. Dudok de Wit , M. Kretzschmar , J. Aboudarham , P. -O. Amblard , F. Auchere , J. Lilensten

Using Bayesian analyses we study the solar electron density with the NANOGrav 11-year pulsar timing array (PTA) dataset. Our model of the solar wind is incorporated into a global fit starting from pulse times-of-arrival. We introduce new…

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Renewable Energies (RES) penetration is progressing rapidly: in France, the installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) power rose from 26MW in 2007 to 8GW in 2017 [1]. Power generated by PV plants being highly dependent on variable weather…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Kevin Bellinguer , Robin Girard , Guillaume Bontron , Georges Kariniotakis

The COronal DEnsity and Temperature (CODET) model is a physics-based model (Rodr\'iguez-G\'omez et al. 2018; Rodr\'iguez-G\'omez 2017) . This model uses the relationship between the magnetic field, density, temperature, and EUV emission.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-25 Jenny M. Rodríguez-Gómez

As photovoltaic power is expanding rapidly worldwide, it is imperative to assess its promise under future climate scenarios. While a great deal of research has been devoted to trends of mean solar radiation, less attention has been paid to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-13 Jun Yin , Annalisa Molini , Amilcare Porporato

Accurate estimates of surface solar irradiance (SSI) are essential for solar resource assessments and solar energy forecasts in grid integration and building control applications. SSI estimates for spatially extended regions can be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-09 K. R. Schuurman , A. Meyer

The residential electrical energy scheduling of solar Photovoltaics (PV) is an important research area of the modern green buildings. On the demand side, factors such as building load, and the renewable PV energy resources are integrated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-16 Sara Zainaa , Shima Sadaf , Ansaruddin Kunjuc , Mohammad Meraj , Devrim Unal , Farid Touati

Context. There is no consensus on the amplitude of the historical solar forcing. The estimated magnitude of the total solar irradiance difference between Maunder minimum and present time ranges from 0.1 to 6 W/m2 making uncertain the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-18 T. Egorova , W. Schmutz , E. Rozanov , A. I. Shapiro , I. Usoskin , J. Beer , R. V. Tagirov , T. Peter

This paper describes a new way to predict real time series using complex-valued elements. An example is given in the case of the short-term probabilistic global solar irradiance forecasts with measurement as real part and an estimate of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-24 Cyril Voyant , Philippe Lauret , Gilles Notton , Jean-Laurent Duchaud , Luis Garcia-Gutierrez , Ghjuvan Antone Faggianelli

The variable Sun is the most likely candidate for natural forcing of past climate change on time scales of 50 to 1000 years. Evidence for this understanding is that the terrestrial climate correlates positively with solar activity. During…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 A. I. Shapiro , W. Schmutz , E. Rozanov , M. Schoell , M. Haberreiter , A. V. Shapiro , S. Nyeki

Solar energy is one of the most economical and clean sustainable energy sources on the planet. However, the solar energy throughput is highly unpredictable due to its dependency on a plethora of conditions including weather, seasons, and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Nirupam Bidikar , Kotoju Rajitha , P. Usha Supriya

This paper presents a classical estimation problem for calculating the energy generated by photovoltaic solar energy systems in the Netherlands, on a daily, annual and regional basis. We identify two data sources to construct our…

A number of industrial applications, such as smart grids, power plant operation, hybrid system management or energy trading, could benefit from improved short-term solar forecasting, addressing the intermittent energy production from solar…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby