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When a territory is poorly instrumented, geostationary satellites data can be useful to predict global solar radiation. In this paper, we use geostationary satellites data to generate 2-D time series of solar radiation for the next hour.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-01-21 Cyril Voyant , Pierrick Haurant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-26 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Nhu Tran , Mahdi Motalleb , Elham Foruzan

This paper is a continuation of a study by Douglass and Clader. We extend the analysis through December 2003 using the latest updates of the observational temperature and solar irradiance data sets in addition to a new volcano proxy data…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 David H. Douglass , B. David Clader , Robert S. Knox

Most solar applications and systems can be reliably used to generate electricity and power in many homes and offices. Recently, there is an increase in many solar required systems that can be found not only in electricity generation but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Shahriar Rahman , Shazzadur Rahman , A K M Bahalul Haque

This work deals with the problem of estimating a photovoltaic generation forecasting model in scenarios where measurements of meteorological variables (i.e. solar irradiance and temperature) at the plant site are not available. A novel…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Gianni Bianchini , Daniele Pepe , Antonio Vicino

Effective utilization of photovoltaic (PV) plants requires weather variability robust global solar radiation (GSR) forecasting models. Random weather turbulence phenomena coupled with assumptions of clear sky model as suggested by Hottel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-12 Subhadip Dey , Sawon Pratiher , Saon Banerjee , Chanchal Kumar Mukherjee

Reliable forecasts of the power output from variable renewable energy generators like solar photovoltaic systems are important to balancing load on real-time electricity markets and ensuring electricity supply reliability. However, solar PV…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Andea Scott , Sindhu Sreedhara , Folasade Ayoola

Solar panels are increasingly deployed in cities on rooftops, walls, and urban infrastructure. Although the panel costs have fallen in recent years, the soft costs of installing them have not. These soft costs include assessing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Jeremy Klotz , Shree K. Nayar

As solar power continues to grow and replace traditional energy sources, the need for reliable forecasting models becomes increasingly important to ensure the stability and efficiency of the grid. However, the management of these models…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-25 José L. Risco-Martín , Ignacio-Iker Prado-Rujas , Javier Campoy , María S. Pérez , Katzalin Olcoz

This study proposes an approximate model to estimate the solar radiation spectrum intensity in Seoul, Republic of Korea, for the year 2024, aiming to analyze optimal conditions related to energy generation. Since the solar radiation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-14 Jeonggyu Hwang

The rapid global expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity-reaching a record 597 GW in 2024-highlights the urgent need for robust forecasting models to mitigate the grid instability caused by the intermittent nature of solar irradiance.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Sumit Laha , Ankit Sharma , Hassan Foroosh

Solar energy supply is usually highly volatile which limits its integration in the power grid. Accurate probabilistic intraday forecasts of solar resources are essential to increase the share of photovoltaic (PV) energy in the grid and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-15 Alberto Carpentieri , Seppo Pulkkinen , Daniele Nerini , Doris Folini , Martin Wild , Angela Meyer

With the increasing penetration of solar power into power systems, forecasting becomes critical in power system operations. In this paper, an hourly-similarity (HS) based method is developed for 1-hour-ahead (1HA) global horizontal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-12 Cong Feng , Jie Zhang

In this work, we extend the data-driven It\^{o} stochastic differential equation (SDE) framework for the pathwise assessment of short-term forecast errors to account for the time-dependent upper bound that naturally constrains the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Khaoula Ben Chaabane , Ahmed Kebaier , Marco Scavino , Raúl Tempone

This paper addresses the pressing need for an accurate solar energy prediction model, which is crucial for efficient grid integration. We explore the influence of the Air Quality Index and weather features on solar energy generation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Arjun Shah , Varun Viswanath , Kashish Gandhi , Nilesh Madhukar Patil

Modelling long time series of photovoltaic electricity generation in high temporal resolution using reanalysis data has become a commonly used alternative to assess the viability of systems with high shares of renewables, their risks of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-06 Luis Ramirez Camargo , Johannes Schmidt

The estimation of total solar irradiance falling on the earth's surface is important in the field of solar energy generation and forecasting. Several clear-sky solar radiation models have been developed over the last few decades. Most of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-30 Soumyabrata Dev , Shilpa Manandhar , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

The quantity of small scale solar photovoltaic (PV) arrays in the United States has grown rapidly in recent years. As a result, there is substantial interest in high quality information about the quantity, power capacity, and energy…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-03 Jordan M. Malof , Kyle Bradbury , Leslie M. Collins , Richard G. Newell

We present spectral synthesis calculations of the solar extreme UV (EUV) in spherical symmetry carried out with the 'Solar Modeling in 3D' code. The calculations are based on one-dimensional atmospheric structures that represent a temporal…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Margit Haberreiter

Utilizing solar energy to meet space heating and domestic hot water demand is very efficient (in terms of environmental footprint as well as cost), but in order to ensure that user demand is entirely covered throughout the year needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tatiana Boura , Natalia Koliou , George Meramveliotakis , Stasinos Konstantopoulos , George Kosmadakis
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