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We propose to use Bayesian optimization (BO) to improve the efficiency of the design selection process in clinical trials. BO is a method to optimize expensive black-box functions, by using a regression as a surrogate to guide the search.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Jakob Richter , Tim Friede , Jörg Rahnenführer

We develop a framework for goal-oriented optimal design of experiments (GOODE) for large-scale Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by PDEs. This framework differs from classical Bayesian optimal design of experiments (ODE) in the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-08-15 Ahmed Attia , Alen Alexanderian , Arvind K. Saibaba

The primary objective of phase I cancer clinical trials is to evaluate the safety of a new experimental treatment and to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). We show that the MTD estimation problem can be regarded as a level set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Keiichiro Seno , Kota Matsui , Shogo Iwazaki , Yu Inatsu , Shion Takeno , Shigeyuki Matsui

Bayesian optimization (BO) is increasingly employed in critical applications such as materials design and drug discovery. An increasingly popular strategy in BO is to forgo the sole reliance on high-fidelity data and instead use an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-22 Zahra Zanjani Foumani , Mehdi Shishehbor , Amin Yousefpour , Ramin Bostanabad

Recent studies have proven that deep neural networks are vulnerable to backdoor attacks. Specifically, by mixing a small number of poisoned samples into the training set, the behavior of the trained model can be maliciously controlled.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Pengfei Xia , Ziqiang Li , Wei Zhang , Bin Li

The landscape of dose-finding designs for phase I clinical trials is rapidly shifting in the recent years, noticeably marked by the emergence of interval-based designs. We categorize them as the iDesigns and the IB-Designs. The iDesigns are…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-15 Yuan Ji , Shengjie Yang

Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) is a powerful tool to reduce the cost of running a sequence of experiments. When based on the Expected Information Gain (EIG), design optimization corresponds to the maximization of some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Jacopo Iollo , Christophe Heinkelé , Pierre Alliez , Florence Forbes

Development and optimization of biopharmaceutical production processes with cell cultures is cost- and time-consuming and often performed rather empirically. Efficient optimization of multiple-objectives like process time, viable cell…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Tanja Hernández Rodríguez , Anton Sekulic , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Björn Frahm

An important experimental design problem in early-stage drug discovery is how to prioritize available compounds for testing when very little is known about the target protein. Informer based ranking (IBR) methods address the prioritization…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-26 Peng Yu , Spencer S. Ericksen , Anthony Gitter , Michael A. Newton

We derive an optimal policy for adaptively restarting a randomized algorithm, based on observed features of the run-so-far, so as to minimize the expected time required for the algorithm to successfully terminate. Given a suitable Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Matthew Streeter

We propose a frequentist adaptive phase 2 trial design to evaluate the safety and efficacy of three treatment regimens (doses) compared to placebo for four types of helminth (worm) infections. This trial will be carried out in four…

The United States is experiencing an opioid epidemic, and there were more than 10 million opioid misusers aged 12 or older each year. Identifying patients at high risk of Opioid Use Disorder (OUD) can help to make early clinical…

In the fast-moving world of AI, as organizations and researchers develop more advanced models, they face challenges due to their sheer size and computational demands. Deploying such models on edge devices or in resource-constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Oussama Bouaggad , Natalia Grabar

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a data-efficient method for global black-box optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate fitness function. BO typically assumes that computation cost of BO is cheap, but experiments are time consuming or costly.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-18 Doniyor Ulmasov , Caroline Baroukh , Benoit Chachuat , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ruth Misener

Recent years have seen increasing employment of decision intelligence in electronic design automation (EDA), which aims to reduce the manual efforts and boost the design closure process in modern toolflows. However, existing approaches…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Walter Lau Neto , Yingjie Li , Pierre-Emmanuel Gaillardon , Cunxi Yu

We propose a novel Bayesian optimization (BO) procedure aimed at identifying the ``profile optima'' of a deterministic black-box computer simulation that has a single control parameter and multiple nuisance parameters. The profile optima…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Courtney Kyger , James Fernandez , John A. Grunenwald , James Braun , Annie Booth

There has been an increasing interest in using interval-based Bayesian designs for dose finding, one of which is the modified toxicity probability interval (mTPI) method. We show that the decision rules in mTPI correspond to an optimal rule…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-29 Wentian Guo , Sue-Jane Wang , Shengjie Yang , Suiheng Lin , Yuan Ji

We study the problem of learning individualized dose intervals using observational data. There are very few previous works for policy learning with continuous treatment, and all of them focused on recommending an optimal dose rather than an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-25 Guanhua Chen , Xiaomao Li , Menggang Yu

This paper presents a quasi-sequential optimal design framework for toxicology experiments, specifically applied to sea urchin embryos. The authors propose a novel approach combining robust optimal design with adaptive, stage-based testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Elvis Han Cui , Michael Collins , Jessica Munson , Weng Kee Wong

The opioid epidemic is a crisis that has plagued the United States (US) for decades. One central issue is inequitable access to treatment for opioid use disorder (OUD), which puts certain populations at a higher risk of opioid overdose. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Joyce Luo , Bartolomeo Stellato
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