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The ability to accelerate the design of biological sequences can have a substantial impact on the progress of the medical field. The problem can be framed as a global optimization problem where the objective is an expensive black-box…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-15 Leo Feng , Padideh Nouri , Aneri Muni , Yoshua Bengio , Pierre-Luc Bacon

2-in-1 design (Chen et al. 2018) is becoming popular in oncology drug development, with the flexibility of using different endpoints at different decision time. Based on the observed interim data, sponsors choose either to seamlessly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-15 Runjia Li , Liwen Wu , Rachael Liu , Jianchang Lin

Molecular docking is a pivotal process in drug discovery. While traditional techniques rely on extensive sampling and simulation governed by physical principles, these methods are often slow and costly. The advent of deep learning-based…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-25 Kaiyuan Gao , Qizhi Pei , Gongbo Zhang , Jinhua Zhu , Kun He , Lijun Wu

We propose a new integrated phase I/II trial design to identify the most efficacious dose combination that also satisfies certain safety requirements for drug-combination trials. We first take a Bayesian copula-type model for dose finding…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-09 Ying Yuan , Guosheng Yin

In safety-critical decision-making scenarios being able to identify worst-case outcomes, or dead-ends is crucial in order to develop safe and reliable policies in practice. These situations are typically rife with uncertainty due to unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Taylor W. Killian , Sonali Parbhoo , Marzyeh Ghassemi

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful paradigm for derivative-free global optimization of a black-box objective function (BOF) that is expensive to evaluate. However, the overhead of BO can still be prohibitive for problems with highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-18 Bin Liu

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful black-box optimization framework that looks to efficiently learn the global optimum of an unknown system by systematically trading-off between exploration and exploitation. However, the use of BO as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Dinesh Krishnamoorthy , Joel A. Paulson

Experimental design is central to science and engineering. A ubiquitous challenge is how to maximize the value of information obtained from expensive or constrained experimental settings. Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-13 Sofia Mäkinen , Andrew B. Duncan , Tapio Helin

Phase Ib/II oncology trials, despite their small sample sizes, aim to provide information for optimal internal company decision-making concerning novel drug development. Hybrid controls (a combination of the current control arm and controls…

Our open-source Python package BoFire combines Bayesian Optimization (BO) with other design of experiments (DoE) strategies focusing on developing and optimizing new chemistry. Previous BO implementations, for example as they exist in the…

Structure-Based Drug Design (SBDD) is crucial for identifying bioactive molecules. Recent deep generative models are faced with challenges in geometric structure modeling. A major bottleneck lies in the twisted probability path of…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-06 Keyue Qiu , Yuxuan Song , Zhehuan Fan , Peidong Liu , Zhe Zhang , Mingyue Zheng , Hao Zhou , Wei-Ying Ma

Robust prediction of molecular properties under extreme out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios is a pivotal bottleneck in AI-driven drug discovery. Current scaffold-splitting protocols fail to obstruct microscopic semantic overlap,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Zhuohao Lin , Kun Li , Jiameng Chen , Jiajun Yu , Duanhua Cao , Yizhen Zheng , Wenbin Hu

In real-time forecasting in public health, data collection is a non-trivial and demanding task. Often after initially released, it undergoes several revisions later (maybe due to human or technical constraints) - as a result, it may take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Alexander Rodríguez , B. Aditya Prakash

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular framework to optimize black-box functions. In many applications, the objective function can be evaluated at multiple fidelities to enable a trade-off between the cost and accuracy. To reduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Shibo Li , Wei Xing , Mike Kirby , Shandian Zhe

We propose a novel Phase I intra-patient dose-escalation design tailored for multi-cycle immunotherapy settings, in which toxicity at a fixed dose level is clinically expected to decrease over successive treatment cycles. This design was…

Questions of `how best to acquire data' are essential to modeling and prediction in the natural and social sciences, engineering applications, and beyond. Optimal experimental design (OED) formalizes these questions and creates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Xun Huan , Jayanth Jagalur , Youssef Marzouk

Group sequential designs (GSDs) are well established and the most commonly used adaptive design in confirmatory clinical trials with interim analyses. However, they remain underutilised, and their implementation involves unique theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Zhangyi He , Suzie Cro , Laurent Billot

A wide spectrum of design and decision problems, including parameter tuning, A/B testing and drug design, intrinsically are instances of black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful tool that models and optimizes such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Tianyi Bai , Yang Li , Yu Shen , Xinyi Zhang , Wentao Zhang , Bin Cui

Immunotherapy has transformed cancer treatment, yet its delayed therapeutic effects often lead to non-proportional hazards, rendering many conventional phase II designs underpowered and prone to type I error inflation. To address this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Zhongheng Cai , Haitao Pan

Given a Hyperparameter Optimization(HPO) problem, how to design an algorithm to find optimal configurations efficiently? Bayesian Optimization(BO) and the multi-fidelity BO methods employ surrogate models to sample configurations based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Yang Zhang , Haiyang Wu , Yuekui Yang
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