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Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To address this need, we present a deep learning model that can be adapted to different hazard…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Ioannis V. Sideris , Urs Germann

Electronic records contain sequences of events, some of which take place all at once in a single visit, and others that are dispersed over multiple visits, each with a different timestamp. We postulate that fine temporal detail, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Mohammad Taha Bahadori , Zachary Chase Lipton

Fitting spatio-temporal models for areal data is crucial in many fields such as cancer epidemiology. However, when data sets are very large, many issues arise. The main objective of this paper is to propose a general procedure to analyze…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 E. Orozco-Acosta , A. Adin , M. D. Ugarte

Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Kevin Valencia , Ziyang Liu , Justin Cui

Much traditional statistical modelling assumes that the outcome variables of interest are independent of each other when conditioned on the explanatory variables. This assumption is strongly violated in the case of infectious diseases,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-28 Timothy Kinyanjui , Thomas House

Influenza epidemics result in a public health and economic burden around the globe. Traditional surveillance techniques, which rely on doctor visits, provide data with a delay of 1-2 weeks. A means of obtaining real-time data and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-11 Wendy K. Caldwell , Geoffrey Fairchild , Sara Y. Del Valle

Big Bayes is the computationally intensive co-application of big data and large, expressive Bayesian models for the analysis of complex phenomena in scientific inference and statistical learning. Standing as an example, Bayesian…

Cancer data, particularly cancer incidence and mortality, are fundamental to understand the cancer burden, to set targets for cancer control and to evaluate the evolution of the implementation of a cancer control policy. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Garazi Retegui , Jaione Etxeberria , María Dolores Ugarte

Predicting individual mobility patterns is crucial across various applications. While current methods mainly focus on predicting the next location for personalized services like recommendations, they often fall short in supporting broader…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Zongyuan Huang , Weipeng Wang , Shaoyu Huang , Marta C. Gonzalez , Yaohui Jin , Yanyan Xu

Ensemble model output statistics (EMOS) is a statistical tool for post-processing forecast ensembles of weather variables obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models in order to produce calibrated predictive…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-31 Sándor Baran , Sebastian Lerch

Infectious diseases have severe health and economic consequences for society. It is important in controlling the spread of an emerging infectious disease to be able to both estimate the parameters of the underlying model and identify those…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-26 Jessica Welding , Peter Neal

Large language models like ChatGPT have shown substantial progress in natural language understanding and generation, proving valuable across various disciplines, including the medical field. Despite advancements, challenges persist due to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Yusheng Liao , Shuyang Jiang , Yu Wang , Yanfeng Wang

Mixed membership models are an extension of finite mixture models, where each observation can partially belong to more than one mixture component. A probabilistic framework for mixed membership models of high-dimensional continuous data is…

Massive datasets in the gigabyte and terabyte range combined with the availability of increasingly sophisticated statistical tools yield analyses at the boundary of what is computationally feasible. Compromising in the face of this…

Applications · Statistics 2011-01-06 Jennifer A. Tom , Janet S. Sinsheimer , Marc A. Suchard

This article reviews quantitative methods to estimate the basic reproduction number of pandemic influenza, a key threshold quantity to help determine the intensity of interventions required to control the disease. Although it is difficult…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Gerardo Chowell , Hiroshi Nishiura

The forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) is crucial in key areas such as healthcare, biomechanics, climate science, and astronomy. However, achieving accurate and practical predictions is challenging due to two main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Xvyuan Liu , Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Zhengyu Li , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

With the increasing availability of diverse data types, particularly images and time series data from medical experiments, there is a growing demand for techniques designed to combine various modalities of data effectively. Our motivation…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-27 Ali Rasekh , Reza Heidari , Amir Hosein Haji Mohammad Rezaie , Parsa Sharifi Sedeh , Zahra Ahmadi , Prasenjit Mitra , Wolfgang Nejdl

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) presents a naturally compatible and scalable framework for multimodal learning, demonstrating strong adaptability across diverse modalities and tasks. Despite its growing success, a comprehensive and systematic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Liangwei Nathan Zheng , Wei Emma Zhang , Olaf Maennel , Lin Yue , Weitong Chen

As COVID-19 pandemic progresses, severe flu seasons may happen alongside an increase in cases in cases and death of COVID-19, causing severe burdens on health care resources and public safety. A consequence of a twindemic may be a mixture…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-08 Simin Ma , Shaoyang Ning , Shihao Yang

Accurate residential load forecasting is critical for power system reliability with rising renewable integration and demand-side flexibility. However, most statistical and machine learning models treat external factors, such as weather,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Haoran Li , Muhao Guo , Marija Ilic , Yang Weng , Guangchun Ruan