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We present "interoperability" as a guiding framework for statistical modelling to assist policy makers asking multiple questions using diverse datasets in the face of an evolving pandemic response. Interoperability provides an important set…

In retrospective assessments, internet news reports have been shown to capture early reports of unknown infectious disease transmission prior to official laboratory confirmation. In general, media interest and reporting peaks and wanes…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-02 Saurav Ghosh , Prithwish Chakraborty , Elaine O. Nsoesie , Emily Cohn , Sumiko R. Mekaru , John S. Brownstein , Naren Ramakrishnan

Many epidemic models are naturally defined as individual-based models: where we track the state of each individual within a susceptible population. Inference for individual-based models is challenging due to the high-dimensional state-space…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Lorenzo Rimella , Christopher Jewell , Paul Fearnhead

Transformers have gained attention in atmospheric time series forecasting (ATSF) for their ability to capture global spatial-temporal correlations. However, their complex architectures lead to excessive parameter counts and extended…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Yisong Fu , Fei Wang , Zezhi Shao , Boyu Diao , Lin Wu , Zhulin An , Chengqing Yu , Yujie Li , Yongjun Xu

Precipitation forecasting remains a persistent challenge in tropical regions like Vietnam, where complex topography and convective instability often limit the accuracy of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models. While data-driven…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Huyen Ngoc Tran , Dung Trung Tran , Hong Nguyen , Xuan Vu Phan , Nam-Phong Nguyen

Multi-modal ophthalmic image classification plays a key role in diagnosing eye diseases, as it integrates information from different sources to complement their respective performances. However, recent improvements have mainly focused on…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-29 Ke Zou , Tian Lin , Zongbo Han , Meng Wang , Xuedong Yuan , Haoyu Chen , Changqing Zhang , Xiaojing Shen , Huazhu Fu

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial for quantifying future uncertainty, with significant applications in fields such as energy and finance. However, existing methods often rely on computationally expensive sampling or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Lei Liu , Tengyuan Liu , Hongwei Zhao , Jiahui Huang , Ruibo Guo , Bin Li

Healthcare relies on multiple types of data, such as medical images, genetic information, and clinical records, to improve diagnosis and treatment. However, missing data is a common challenge due to privacy restrictions, cost, and technical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Nazanin Moradinasab , Saurav Sengupta , Jiebei Liu , Sana Syed , Donald E. Brown

Multimodality eye disease screening is crucial in ophthalmology as it integrates information from diverse sources to complement their respective performances. However, the existing methods are weak in assessing the reliability of each…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-30 Ke Zou , Tian Lin , Xuedong Yuan , Haoyu Chen , Xiaojing Shen , Meng Wang , Huazhu Fu

In the advent of the novel coronavirus epidemic since December 2019, governments and authorities have been struggling to make critical decisions under high uncertainty at their best efforts. Composite Monte-Carlo (CMC) simulation is a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Simon James Fong , Gloria Li , Nilanjan Dey , Ruben Gonzalez Crespo , Enrique Herrera-Viedma

Large ensembles of climate projections are essential for characterizing uncertainty in future climate and extreme weather events, yet computational constraints of numerical climate models limit ensemble sizes to a small number of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Francesco Immorlano , Elijah Tavares , Felix Draxler , Padhraic Smyth , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

Accurate forecasting of passenger flows is critical for maintaining the efficiency and resilience of airport operations. Recent advances in patch-based Transformer models have shown strong potential in various time series forecasting tasks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Wenbo Du , Lingling Han , Ying Xiong , Ling Zhang , Biyue Li , Yisheng Lv , Tong Guo

Dynamic prediction of time-to-event outcomes using longitudinal data is highly useful in clinical research and practice. A common strategy is the joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data. The shared random effect model has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Wenhao Li , Zhe Yin , Liang Li

Time series forecasting presents significant challenges due to the complex temporal dependencies at multiple time scales. This paper introduces ScatterFusion, a novel framework that synergistically integrates scattering transforms with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Wei Li

In order to learn the complex features of large spatio-temporal data, models with large parameter sets are often required. However, estimating a large number of parameters is often infeasible due to the computational and memory costs of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-02 Matthew Edwards , Stefano Castruccio , Dorit Hammerling

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin

Linear mixed-effects model (LMM) is a cornerstone of longitudinal data analysis, but is limited to adeptly make heterogeneous analyses predictable under both group-specific fixed effects and subject-specific random effects. To address this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Xinkai Yue , Xiaodong Yan , Haohui Han , Liya Fu

Estimating latent epidemic states and model parameters from partially observed, noisy data remains a major challenge in infectious disease modeling. State-space formulations provide a coherent probabilistic framework for such inference, yet…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Dhorasso Temfack , Jason Wyse

The high incidence and mortality rates associated with respiratory diseases underscores the importance of early screening. Machine learning models can automate clinical consultations and auscultation, offering vital support in this area.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Yuwei Zhang , Tong Xia , Aaqib Saeed , Cecilia Mascolo

The long-term progression of neurodegenerative diseases is commonly conceptualized as a spatiotemporal diffusion process that consists of a graph diffusion process across the structural brain connectome and a localized reaction process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Tiantian He , Keyue Jiang , An Zhao , Anna Schroder , Elinor Thompson , Sonja Soskic , Frederik Barkhof , Daniel C. Alexander
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