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We study tournaments where winning a rank-dependent prize requires passing a minimum performance standard. We show that, for any prize allocation, the optimal standard is always at a mode of performance that is weakly higher than the global…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-12-03 Mikhail Drugov , Dmitry Ryvkin , Jun Zhang

Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

Rankings are central to decision-making in fields ranging from education to online platforms, yet classical deterministic methods such as the Borda count method or Copeland-type pairwise methods ignore uncertainty due to sampling noise or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Shunpu Zhang

Discrimination in selection problems such as hiring or college admission is often explained by implicit bias from the decision maker against disadvantaged demographic groups. In this paper, we consider a model where the decision maker…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Vitalii Emelianov , Nicolas Gast , Krishna P. Gummadi , Patrick Loiseau

Our work revisits the design of mechanisms via the learning-augmented framework. In this model, the algorithm is enhanced with imperfect (machine-learned) information concerning the input, usually referred to as prediction. The goal is to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-29 George Christodoulou , Alkmini Sgouritsa , Ioannis Vlachos

Stochastic min-max optimization has gained interest in the machine learning community with the advancements in GANs and adversarial training. Although game optimization is fairly well understood in the deterministic setting, some issues…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Juan Ramirez , Rohan Sukumaran , Quentin Bertrand , Gauthier Gidel

The organizer of a machine learning competition faces the problem of maintaining an accurate leaderboard that faithfully represents the quality of the best submission of each competing team. What makes this estimation problem particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-17 Avrim Blum , Moritz Hardt

The classical paradigm of scoring rules is to discriminate between two different forecasts by comparing them with observations. The probability distribution of the observed record is assumed to be perfect as a verification benchmark. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-06 Julie Bessac , Philippe Naveau

Crowdsourcing has emerged as a paradigm for leveraging human intelligence and activity to solve a wide range of tasks. However, strategic workers will find enticement in their self-interest to free-ride and attack in a crowdsourcing contest…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Jianfeng Lu , Yun Xin , Zhao Zhang , Shaojie Tang , Songyuan Yan , Changbing Tang

Machine learning models play a key role for service providers looking to gain market share in consumer markets. However, traditional learning approaches do not take into account the existence of additional providers, who compete with each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Ohad Einav , Nir Rosenfeld

The Wisdom of Crowds (WOC), as a theory in the social science, gets a new paradigm in computer science. The WOC theory explains that the aggregate decision made by a group is often better than those of its individual members if specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Muhammad Yousefnezhad , Sheng-Jun Huang , Daoqiang Zhang

Decision-makers often deploy the best-performing treatment from a randomized experiment, creating a winner's curse: selection favors treatments whose observed outcomes are high partly because of statistical noise, so the na\"ive estimate of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Ron Berman , Walter W. Zhang , Hangcheng Zhao

Elections and opinion polls often have many candidates, with the aim to either rank the candidates or identify a small set of winners according to voters' preferences. In practice, voters do not provide a full ranking; instead, each voter…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-16 Nikhil Garg , Lodewijk Gelauff , Sukolsak Sakshuwong , Ashish Goel

Algorithmic decision making systems are ubiquitous across a wide variety of online as well as offline services. These systems rely on complex learning methods and vast amounts of data to optimize the service functionality, satisfaction of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-27 Muhammad Bilal Zafar , Isabel Valera , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , Krishna P. Gummadi

Dynamical generative models that produce samples through an iterative process, such as Flow Matching and denoising diffusion models, have seen widespread use, but there have not been many theoretically-sound methods for improving these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Carles Domingo-Enrich , Michal Drozdzal , Brian Karrer , Ricky T. Q. Chen

This research work aims to develop an analytical approach for optimizing team formation and predicting team performance in a competitive environment based on data on the competitors' skills prior to the team formation. There are several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Federico Galbiati , Ranier X. Gran , Brendan D. Jacques , Sullivan J. Mulhern , Chun-Kit Ngan

Collective action against algorithmic systems provides an opportunity for a small group of individuals to strategically manipulate their data to get specific outcomes, from classification to recommendation models. This effectiveness will…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-20 Aditya Karan , Prabhat Kalle , Nicholas Vincent , Hari Sundaram

A leaderboard is a tabular presentation of performance scores of the best competing techniques that address a specific scientific problem. Manually maintained leaderboards take time to emerge, which induces a latency in performance…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Mayank Singh , Rajdeep Sarkar , Atharva Vyas , Pawan Goyal , Animesh Mukherjee , Soumen Chakrabarti

Standard uncertainty estimation techniques, such as dropout, often struggle to clearly distinguish reliable predictions from unreliable ones. We attribute this limitation to noisy classifier weights, which, while not impairing overall…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Haripriya Harikumar , Santu Rana

A new game-theoretic approach for combining multiple classifiers is proposed. A short introduction in Game Theory and coalitions illustrate the way any collective decision scheme can be viewed as a competitive game of coalitions that are…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-02-10 Harris V. Georgiou