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Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec

Simulating stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in bounded domains, presents significant computational challenges due to particle exit phenomena, which requires accurate modeling of interior stochastic dynamics and boundary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Minglei Yang , Yanfang Liu , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

Extreme events occur across the natural, engineering, and socioeconomic sciences, where rare but high-impact episodes can lead to disproportionate consequences that pose major challenges for prediction and risk management. Existing studies…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Charlotte Moser , Nan Chen , Marios Andreou

We consider a Markov process on a Riemannian manifold, which solves a stochastic differential equation in the interior of the manifold and jumps according to a deterministic reset map when it reaches the boundary. We derive a partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Julien Bect , Hana Baili , Gilles Fleury

We consider the usual Langevin equation depending on an internal time. This parameter is substituted by a first passage time of a self-similar Markov process. Then the Gaussian process is parent, and the hitting time process is directing.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-11-15 Aleksander Stanislavsky

We present a theoretical investigation of the stochastic dynamics of a damped particle in a tilted periodic potential with a double well per period. By applying the matrix continued fraction technique to the Fokker-Planck equation in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-15 Martin Žonda , Wolfgang Belzig , Edward Goldobin , Tomáš Novotný

Let $\mathbb{F}$ be a filtration and $\tau$ be a random time. Let $\mathbb{G}$ be the progressive enlargement of $\mathbb{F}$ with $\tau$. We study the validity of the following formula, called optional splitting formula : For any…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Shiqi Song

In this article the almost semi-continuous step-process $\xi (t)$ is considered. The conditional characteristic functions of the jumps of $\xi (t)$ have the form $\mathrm{E} [ e^{i\alpha \xi_k}/\xi_k>0 ]=c(c-i\alpha)^{-1}$. For such…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-08 D. V. Gusak , E. V. Karnaukh

A novel approach called Moate Simulation is presented to provide an accurate numerical evolution of probability distribution functions represented on grids arising from stochastic differential processes where initial conditions are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-19 Michael E. Mura

Macroscopic traffic flow is stochastic, but the physics-informed deep learning methods currently used in transportation literature embed deterministic PDEs and produce point-valued outputs; the stochasticity of the governing dynamics plays…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-11 Wuping Xin

We tackle the problem of conditioning probabilistic programs on distributions of observable variables. Probabilistic programs are usually conditioned on samples from the joint data distribution, which we refer to as deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 David Tolpin , Yuan Zhou , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang

We derive the exact solution of a one-dimensional Markov functional model with log-normally distributed interest rates in discrete time. The model is shown to have two distinct limiting states, corresponding to small and asymptotically…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 Dan Pirjol

We study a triple of stochastic processes: a Wiener process $W_t$, $t \geq 0$, its running maxima process $M_t=\sup \{W_s: s \in [0,t]\}$ and its running minima process $m_t=\inf \{W_s: s \in [0,t]\}$. We derive the analytical formulas for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Karol Dąbrowski , Piotr Jaworski

The mean first exit time and escape probability are utilized to quantify dynamical behaviors of stochastic differential equations with non-Gaussian alpha-stable type Levy motions. Both deterministic quantities are characterized by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

We study parameter estimation for univariate stochastic differential equations with locally Lipschitz drift and H\"older continuous multiplicative diffusion, a class commonly arising in several applications. Existing inference methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Bowen Fang , Dario Spanò , Massimiliano Tamborrino

The goal of this work is to formally abstract a Markov process evolving in discrete time over a general state space as a finite-state Markov chain, with the objective of precisely approximating its state probability distribution in time,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

Several Artificial Intelligence schemes for reasoning under uncertainty explore either explicitly or implicitly asymmetries among probabilities of various states of their uncertain domain models. Even though the correct working of these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Marek J. Druzdzel

This paper is an extended and reworked version of a short course given by the author at ''Uzbekistan-Ukrainian readings in stochastic processes'', Tashkent-Kyiv, 2022, and was prepared for a special issue of ''Theory of stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-03 M. B. Vovchanskyi

A general method is proposed which allows one to estimate drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic process governed by a Langevin equation. It extends a previously devised approach [R. Friedrich et al., Physics Letters A 271, 217…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich , A. Nawroth , J. Peinke

This work is an enquiry into the circumstances under which entropy methods can give an answer to the questions of both quantum separability and classical correlations of a composite state. Several entropy functionals are employed to examine…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. K. Rajagopal , R. W. Rendell