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The study of sums of possibly associated Bernoulli random variables has been hampered by an asymmetry between positive correlation and negative correlation. The Conway-Maxwell Binomial (COMB) distribution and its multivariate extension, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-08 Joseph B. Kadane

We show that for a sequence of random graphs Brouwer's conjecture holds true with probability tending to one as the number of vertices tends to infinity. Surprisingly, it was found that a similar statement holds true for weighted graphs…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-06-14 Israel Rocha

Let $(Y_n)$ be a sequence of i.i.d. $\mathbb Z$-valued random variables with law $\mu$. The reflected random walk $(X_n)$ is defined recursively by $X_0=x \in \mathbb N_0, X_{n+1}=|X_n+Y_{n+1}|$. Under mild hypotheses on the law $\mu$, it…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-02 Rim Essifi , Marc Peigné

Given a sequence \xi_1, \xi_2,... of X-valued, exchangeable random elements, let q(\xi^(n)) and p_m(\xi^(n)) stand for posterior and predictive distribution, respectively, given \xi^(n) = (\xi_1,..., \xi_n). We provide an upper bound for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Donato Michele Cifarelli , Emanuele Dolera , Eugenio Regazzini

Based on a sequence of numerical computations, a conjecture is presented regarding the class of functions $H(x;a)=\exp(a)-(1+a/x)^x$, and the open problem of determining the values of $a$ for which the functions are completely monotonic…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2010-06-14 E. Shemyakova , S. I. Khashin , D. J. Jeffrey

We present simple randomized and exchangeable improvements of Markov's inequality, as well as Chebyshev's inequality and Chernoff bounds. Our variants are never worse and typically strictly more powerful than the original inequalities. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Aaditya Ramdas , Tudor Manole

The evaluation of the probability of union of a large number of independent events requires several combinations involving the factorial and the use of high performance computers with several hours of processing. Bounds and simplifications…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Edson Luiz Ursini , Paulo S. Martins

Take a random variable X with some finite exponential moments. Define an exponentially weighted expectation by E^t(f) = E(e^{tX}f)/E(e^{tX}) for admissible values of the parameter t. Denote the weighted expectation of X itself by r(t) =…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-07 Marton Balazs , Timo Seppalainen

Let $X$ be a random variable with distribution function $F,$ and $X_{1},X_{2},...,X_{n}$ are independent copies of $X.$ Consider the order statistics $X_{i:n},$ $i=1,2,...,n$ and denote $F_{i:n}(x)=P\{X_{i:n}\leq x\}.$ Using majorization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Ismihan Bairamov

Let $\{\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots\}$ be a sequence of independent but not necessarily identically distributed random variables. In this paper, the sufficient conditions are found under which the tail probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Dominyka Kievinaitė , Jonas Šiaulys

We study the extremes of a sequence of random variables $(R_n)$ defined by the recurrence $R_n=M_nR_{n-1}+q$, $n\ge1$, where $R_0$ is arbitrary, $(M_n)$ are iid copies of a non--degenerate random variable $M$, $0\le M\le1$, and $q>0$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Pawel Hitczenko

Let $X_{\lambda _{1}},X_{\lambda _{2}},\ldots ,X_{\lambda _{n}}$ be independent nonnegative random variables with $X_{\lambda _{i}}\sim F(\lambda _{i}t)$, $i=1,\ldots ,n$, where $\lambda _{i}>0$, $i=1,\ldots ,n$ and $F$ is an absolutely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-19 Subhash C. Kochar , Nuria Torrado

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ $d >2$, having increments $e_1$, $-e_i+e_{i+1}$ $i=1,2,3,...,d-1$ and $-e_d$ with probabilities $\lambda$, $\mu_1$, $\mu_2$,...,$\mu_d$, where $\{e_1,e_2,..,e_d\}$ are the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Ali Devin Sezer

In this paper, we prove the equivalent conditions of complete moment convergence of the maximum for partial weighted sums of independent, identically distributed random variables under sublinear expectations space. As applications, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Mingzhou Xu , Kun Cheng

Let $X$ be a smooth projective variety defined on a finite field $\mathbb{F}_q$. On $X$ there is a special morphism $Fr_X$, which raises coordinates to exponent $q$: $t\mapsto t^q$. The two main results in this paper are: Result 1: If…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Tuyen Trung Truong

Since addition is commutative but subtraction is not, the sumset S+S of a finite set S is predisposed to be smaller than the difference set S-S. In this paper, however, we show that each of the three possibilities (|S+S|>|S-S|, |S+S|=|S-S|,…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Greg Martin , Kevin O'Bryant

Predictive mean matching (PMM) is a popular imputation strategy that imputes missing values by borrowing observed values from other cases with similar expectations. We show that, unlike other imputation strategies, PMM is not guaranteed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Paul T. von Hippel

Consider a stationary real-valued time series $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ with a priori unknown distribution. The goal is to estimate the conditional expectation $E(X_{n+1}|X_0,..., X_n)$ based on the observations $(X_0,..., X_n)$ in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

In this short note, we find an equivalent combinatorial condition only involving finite sums under which a centered Gaussian random vector with multinomial covariance matrix satisfies the Gaussian product inequality (GPI) conjecture. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-24 Frédéric Ouimet

Fluctuations of global additive quantities, like total energy or magnetization for instance, can in principle be described by statistics of sums of (possibly correlated) random variables. Yet, it turns out that extreme values (the largest…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-18 Maxime Clusel , Eric Bertin