Related papers: An equivalent conjecture to Feige's Conjecture

Several proofs of the monotonicity of the non-Gaussianness (divergence with respect to a Gaussian random variable with identical second order statistics) of the sum of n independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables were…

Let $f(n)$ be a random completely multiplicative function such that $f(p) = \pm 1$ with probabilities $1/2$ independently at each prime. We study the conditional probability, given that $f(p) = 1$ for all $p < y$, that all partial sums of…

We extend a general Bernstein-type maximal inequality of Kevei and Mason (2011) for sums of random variables.

This article presents methods for estimating extreme probabilities, beyond the range of the observations. These methods are model-free and applicable to almost any sample size. They are grounded in order statistics theory and have a wide…

Neglecting many motivating details for the Park-Pham theorem (previously known as the Kahn-Kalai conjecture), the result starts with a finite set $X$, a non-trivial upper set $\mathcal{F} \subseteq 2^X$, and a particular parameterized…

For a fixed unit vector $a=(a_1,a_2,\ldots,a_n)\in S^{n-1}$, we consider the $2^n$ sign vectors $\varepsilon=(\varepsilon^1,\varepsilon^2,\ldots,\varepsilon^n)\in \{+1,-1\}^n$ and the corresponding scalar products $\varepsilon\cdot…

Statistical inference for extreme values of random events is difficult in practice due to low sample sizes and inaccurate models for the studied rare events. If prior knowledge for extreme values is available, Bayesian statistics can be…

A consequence of de Finetti's representation theorem is that for every infinite sequence of exchangeable 0-1 random variables $(X_k)_{k\geq1}$, there exists a probability measure $\mu$ on the Borel sets of $[0,1]$ such that $\bar X_n =…

For $p > 1$ let a function $\varphi_p(x) = x^2/2$ if $|x|\le 1$ and $\varphi_p(x) = 1/p|x|^p -1/p + 1/2$ if $|x| > 1$. For a random variable $\xi$ let $\tau_{\varphi_p}(\xi)$ denote $\inf\{c\ge 0 :\; \forall_{\lambda\in\mathbb{R}}\;…

Bayesian inference typically relies on specifying a parametric model that approximates the data-generating process. However, misspecified models can yield poor convergence rates and unreliable posterior calibration. Bayesian empirical…

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

We consider the class of all non-negative on $\mathbb{R_+}$ functions such that each of them satisfies the Reverse H\"older Inequality uniformly over all intervals with some constant the minimum value of which can be regarded as the…

The distribution of the sum of independent identically distributed uniform random variables is well-known. However, it is sometimes necessary to analyze data which have been drawn from different uniform distributions. By inverting the…

We discuss estimating the probability that the sum of nonnegative independent and identically distributed random variables falls below a given threshold, i.e., $\mathbb{P}(\sum_{i=1}^{N}{X_i} \leq \gamma)$, via importance sampling (IS). We…

Let X be a second countable locally compact Abelian group. Let $\xi_1, \xi_2$ be independent random variables with values in the group X and distributions $\mu_1, \mu_2$ such that the sum $\xi_1+\xi_2$ and the difference $\xi_1-\xi_2$ are…

We study the distribution of partial sums of Rademacher random multiplicative functions $(f(n))_n$ evaluated at polynomial arguments. We show that for a polynomial $P\in \mathbb Z[x]$ that is a product of at least two distinct linear…

For a jointly measurable probability-preserving action $\tau:\mathbb{R}^D\curvearrowright (X,\mu)$ and a tuple of polynomial maps $p_i:\mathbb{R}\to \mathbb{R}^D$, $i=1,2,...,k$, the multiple ergodic averages \[ \frac{1}{T}\int_0^T…

In this paper we improve Bernoulli comparison. The result works for independent Rademacher random variables $(\varepsilon_i)_{i\geq1}$ and states that we can compare $\mathbb{E}\sup_{t\in T}\sum_{i\geq1}\varphi_{i}(t)\varepsilon_i$ with…

The average properties of the well-known Subset Sum Problem can be studied by the means of its randomised version, where we are given a target value $z$, random variables $X_1, \ldots, X_n$, and an error parameter $\varepsilon > 0$, and we…

Let $\mathcal{D}=(d_n)_{n=1}^\infty$ be a bounded sequence of integers with $d_n\ge 2$ and let $(i, j)$ be a pair of strictly positive numbers with $i+j=1$. We prove that the set of $x \in \RR$ for which there exists some constant $c(x) >…