English
Related papers

Related papers: Tail-Risk-Safe Monte Carlo Tree Search under PAC-L…

200 papers

A recent theoretical analysis of a Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) method properly modified from the ``upper confidence bound applied to trees" (UCT) algorithm established a surprising result, due to a great deal of empirical successes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Hyeong Soo Chang

Monte-Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is one of the most-widely used methods for planning, and has powered many recent advances in artificial intelligence. In MCTS, one typically performs computations (i.e., simulations) to collect statistics…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Eren Sezener , Peter Dayan

Automated vehicles require the ability to cooperate with humans for smooth integration into today's traffic. While the concept of cooperation is well known, developing a robust and efficient cooperative trajectory planning method is still a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Philipp Stegmaier , Karl Kurzer , J. Marius Zöllner

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is a sampling best-first method to search for optimal decisions. The success of MCTS depends heavily on how the MCTS statistical tree is built and the selection policy plays a fundamental role in this. A…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Fred Valdez Ameneyro , Edgar Galvan

The maximum reachability probabilities in a Markov decision process can be computed using value iteration (VI). Recently, simulation-based heuristic extensions of VI have been introduced, such as bounded real-time dynamic programming…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Pranav Ashok , Tomáš Brázdil , Jan Křetínský , Ondřej Slámečka

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is a relatively new sampling method with multiple variants in the literature. They can be applied to a wide variety of challenging domains including board games, video games, and energy-based problems to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Fred Valdez Ameneyro , Edgar Galvan , Anger Fernando Kuri Morales

Economically responsible mitigation of multivariate extreme risks-such as extreme rainfall over large areas, large simultaneous variations in many stock prices, or widespread breakdowns in transportation systems-requires assessing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Stéphane Lhaut , Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers

Sequential decision-making under cost-sensitive tasks is prohibitively daunting, especially for the problem that has a significant impact on people's daily lives, such as malaria control, treatment recommendation. The main challenge faced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Lixin Zou , Long Xia , Linfang Hou , Xiangyu Zhao , Dawei Yin

Language models are increasingly capable and are being rapidly deployed on a population-level scale. As a result, the safety of these models is increasingly high-stakes. Fortunately, advances in alignment have significantly reduced the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Rico Angell , Raghav Singhal , Zachary Horvitz , Zhou Yu , Rajesh Ranganath , Kathleen McKeown , He He

Recent financial disasters emphasised the need to investigate the consequence associated with the tail co-movements among institutions; episodes of contagion are frequently observed and increase the probability of large losses affecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-05 Mauro Bernardi , Ghislaine Gayraud , Lea Petrella

In many risk-aware and multi-objective reinforcement learning settings, the utility of the user is derived from a single execution of a policy. In these settings, making decisions based on the average future returns is not suitable. For…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Conor F. Hayes , Mathieu Reymond , Diederik M. Roijers , Enda Howley , Patrick Mannion

This paper presents a finite-time analysis for Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) in Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs), with probabilistic concentration bounds in both discrete and continuous observation spaces. While…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Da Kong , Vadim Indelman

Despite being successful in board games and reinforcement learning (RL), Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) combined with Multi Armed Bandits (MABs) has seen limited success in domain-independent classical planning until recently. Previous work…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Masataro Asai , Stephen Wissow

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is particularly adapted to domains where the potential actions can be represented as a tree of sequential decisions. For an effective action selection, MCTS performs many simulations to build a reliable tree…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Seydou Ba , Takuya Hiraoka , Takashi Onishi , Toru Nakata , Yoshimasa Tsuruoka

Safe navigation for mobile robots demands policies that remain reliable under the high-consequence perception uncertainty of cluttered environments. Yet most existing safe reinforcement learning (RL) methods assess safety through average…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Qisong He , Xinmiao Huang , Jinwei Hu , Zhuoyun Li , Yi Dong , Changshun Wu , Xiaowei Huang

In this paper, we consider the online computation of a strategy that aims at optimizing the expected average reward in a Markov decision process. The strategy is computed with a receding horizon and using Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS). We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Damien Busatto-Gaston , Debraj Chakraborty , Jean-Francois Raskin

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a leading tail-risk measure in finance, central to both regulatory and portfolio optimization frameworks. Classical estimation of CVaR and its gradients relies on Monte Carlo simulation, incurring…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Vasilis Skarlatos , Nikos Konofaos

We consider the popular tree-based search strategy within the framework of reinforcement learning, the Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS), in the context of finite-horizon Markov decision process. We propose a dynamic sampling tree policy that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Gongbo Zhang , Yijie Peng , Yilong Xu

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a widely used risk metric in applications such as finance. We derive concentration bounds for CVaR estimates, considering separately the cases of light-tailed and heavy-tailed distributions. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Prashanth L. A. , Krishna Jagannathan , Ravi Kumar Kolla

Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) is an effective anytime algorithm with a vast amount of applications. It strategically allocates computational resources to focus on promising segments of the search tree, making it a very attractive search…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Cedric Derstroff , Jannis Brugger , Jannis Blüml , Mira Mezini , Stefan Kramer , Kristian Kersting