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We consider critical percolation on a supercritical Galton-Watson tree. We show that, when the offspring distribution is in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law for some $\alpha \in (1,2)$, or has finite variance, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Eleanor Archer , Quirin Vogel

Consideration is given to the three different analytical methods for the computation of upper bounds for the rate of convergence to the limiting regime of one specific class of (in)homogeneous continuous-time Markov chains. This class is…

We give the asymptotics of the tail of the distribution of the first exit time of the isotropic $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process from the Lipschitz cone in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We obtain the Yaglom limit for the killed stable process for the cone.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Krzysztof Bogdan , Zbigniew Palmowski , Longmin Wang

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

Examples of stochastic processes whose state space representations involve functions of an integral type structure $$I_{t}^{(a,b)}:=\int_{0}^{t}b(Y_{s})e^{-\int_{s}^{t}a(Y_{r})dr}ds, \quad t\ge 0$$ are studied under an ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Abhishek Pal Majumder

In this paper,we consider a macro approximation of the flow of a risk reserve, The process is observed at discrete time points. Because we cannot directly observe each jump time and size then we will make use of a technique for identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Chunhao Cai , Junyi Guo , Honglong You

We address diffusion processes in a bounded domain, while focusing on somewhat unexplored affinities between the presence of absorbing and/or inaccessible boundaries. For the Brownian motion (L\'{e}vy-stable cases are briefly mentioned)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-24 Piotr Garbaczewski

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais

The evolution of several physical and biological systems, ranging from neutron transport in multiplying media to epidemics or population dynamics, can be described in terms of branching exponential flights, a stochastic process which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-10 Andrea Zoia , Eric Dumonteil , Alain Mazzolo , Sameh Mohamed

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

We consider the setting of either a general non-local branching particle process or a general non-local superprocess, in both cases, with and without immigration. Under the assumption that the mean semigroup has a Perron-Frobenious type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Emma Horton , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Ellen Powell , Victor Rivero

We provide an original and general sufficient criterion ensuring the exponential contraction of Feynman-Kac semi-groups of penalized processes. This criterion is applied to time-inhomogeneous one-dimensional diffusion processes conditioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler

Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Regis Ferriere , Viet Chi Tran

In this paper, we consider an age-structured jump model that arises as a description of continuous time random walks with infinite mean waiting time between jumps. We prove that under a suitable rescaling, this equation converges in the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Hugues Berry , Pierre Gabriel , Thomas Lepoutre , Nathan Quiblier

In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

We consider an interacting particle Markov process for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population with non-constant population size, involving a linear birth rate, a density-dependent logistic death rate, and a probability $\mu$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Champagnat

In this paper, we consider contact processes on locally compact separable metric spaces with birth and death rates heterogeneous in space. Conditions on the rates that ensure the existence of invariant measures of contact processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-28 Sergey Pirogov , Elena Zhizhina

It has been known for a long time that for birth-and-death processes started in zero the first passage time of a given level is distributed as a sum of independent exponentially distributed random variables, the parameters of which are the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-22 Jan M. Swart

This paper is focused on a class of spatial birth and death process of the Euclidean space where the birth rate is constant and the death rate of a given point is the shot noise created at its location by the other points of the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-01 Francois Baccelli , Fabien Mathieu , Ilkka Norros
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