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Many biological systems exhibit multiscale dynamics, where some species occur in high copy numbers while others remain rare. This heterogeneity necessitates hybrid modelling approaches: deterministic models are computationally efficient but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Tom Kimpson , Domenic P. J. Germano , Jennifer A. Flegg , Mark B. Flegg

We link two phenomena concerning the asymptotical behavior of stochastic processes: (i) abrupt convergence or cut-off phenomenon, and (ii) the escape behavior usually associated to exit from metastability. The former is characterized by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Javiera Barrera , Olivier Bertoncini , Roberto Fernández

A $p$-jump process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process with jumps by a factor of $p$. We prove a limit theorem for such processes on the unit interval. Via duality with respect to probability generating functions, we deduce limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 F. Hermann , P. Pfaffelhuber

Studies of fixation dynamics in Markov processes predominantly focus on the mean time to absorption. This may be inadequate if the distribution is broad and skewed. We compute the distribution of fixation times in one-step birth-death…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-30 Peter Ashcroft , Arne Traulsen , Tobias Galla

Consider a branching Markov process, $X = (X(t), t \ge 0)$, with non-local branching mechanism. Studying the asymptotic behaviour of the moments of X has recently received attention in the literature [6, 7] due to the importance of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

Branching random walks are key to the description of several physical and biological systems, such as neutron multiplication, genetics and population dynamics. For a broad class of such processes, in this Letter we derive the discrete…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-10 Andrea Zoia , Eric Dumonteil , Alain Mazzolo

Extreme mutation rates in microbes and cancer cells can result in error-induced extinction (EEX), where every descendant cell eventually acquires a lethal mutation. In this work, we investigate critical birth-death processes with $n$…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-08 Meritxell Brunet Guasch , P. L. Krapivsky , Tibor Antal

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of continuous-state branching processes in a Brownian random environment (CBBRE) conditioned on non-extinction. For the subcritical case, we prove the existence of the Yaglom limit and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Pei-Sen Li , Xiangqi Zheng , Xiaowen Zhou

In this work we study the long-time behavior for subcritical measure-valued branching processes with immigration on the space of tempered measures. Under some reasonable assumptions on the spatial motion, the branching and immigration…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Martin Friesen

We consider a risk-sensitive continuous-time Markov decision process over a finite time duration. Under the conditions that can be satisfied by unbounded transition and cost rates, we show the existence of an optimal policy, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-29 Xin Guo , Qiuli Liu , Yi Zhang

A subcritical branching process in random environment (BPRE) is considered whose associated random walk does not satisfy the Cramer condition. The asymptotics for the survival probability of the process is investigated, and a Yaglom type…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-11 Vladimir Vatutin , Xinghua Zheng

In this paper we propose a new method for approximating the nonstationary moment dynamics of one dimensional Markovian birth-death processes. By expanding the transition probabilities of the Markov process in terms of Poisson-Charlier…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Stefan Engblom , Jamol Pender

We consider the critical Galton-Watson process with overlapping generations stemming from a single founder. Assuming that both the variance of the offspring number and the average generation length are finite, we establish the convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Serik Sagitov

This paper is devoted to the long-term dynamics of solutions to the Gurtin-MacCamy population model with a bistable birth function. We consider a one-parameter monotone family of initial distributions for the population such that for small…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Quentin Griette , Franco Herrera

We analyze almost sure asymptotic behavior of extreme values of a regenerative process. We show that under certain conditions a properly centered and normalized running maximum of a regenerative process satisfies a law of the iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Alexander Marynych , Ivan Matsak

We study rare events in the extreme value statistics of stochastic symmetric jump processes with power tails in the distributions of the jumps, using the big-jump principle. The principle states that in the presence of stochastic processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-04 Alberto Bassanoni , Alessandro Vezzani , Raffaella Burioni

Using Foster-Lyapunov techniques we establish new conditions on non-extinction, non-explosion, coming down from infinity and staying infinite, respectively, for the general continuous-state nonlinear branching processes introduced in Li et…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Shaojuan Ma , Xu Yang , Xiaowen Zhou

Achieving fault tolerance with superconducting quantum processors requires qubits to operate within the regime of threshold theorems based on the Born-Markov approximation. This approximation, which models dissipation as constant energy…

We consider quasi-stationary distributions for one-dimensional diffusions via the renewal dynamical approach. We show that convergence of the iterative renewal transform to quasi-stationary distributions is equivalent to a condition on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-22 Kosuke Yamato

The fractional birth and the fractional death processes are more desirable in practice than their classical counterparts as they naturally provide greater flexibility in modeling growing and decreasing systems. In this paper, we propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-30 Dexter O. Cahoy , Federico Polito