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Model ensembles are effective tools for estimating prediction uncertainty in deep learning atomistic force fields. However, their widespread adoption is hindered by high computational costs and overconfident error estimates. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Joshua A. Vita , Amit Samanta , Fei Zhou , Vincenzo Lordi

Uncertainty quantification is critical for ensuring robustness in high-stakes machine learning applications. We introduce HybridFlow, a modular hybrid architecture that unifies the modeling of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Peter Van Katwyk , Karianne J. Bergen

Classification and segmentation are crucial in medical image analysis as they enable accurate diagnosis and disease monitoring. However, current methods often prioritize the mutual learning features and shared model parameters, while…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Kai Ren , Ke Zou , Xianjie Liu , Yidi Chen , Xuedong Yuan , Xiaojing Shen , Meng Wang , Huazhu Fu

Foundational machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) are being developed at a rapid pace, promising closer and closer approximation to ab initio accuracy. This unlocks the possibility to simulate much larger length and time scales.…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-27 Luuk H. E. Kempen , Raffaele Cheula , Mie Andersen

While density functional theory (DFT) serves as a prevalent computational approach in electronic structure calculations, its computational demands and scalability limitations persist. Recently, leveraging neural networks to parameterize the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-06-18 Yang Zhong , Hongyu Yu , Jihui Yang , Xingyu Guo , Hongjun Xiang , Xingao Gong

Uranium monocarbide (UC) is an advanced ceramic fuel candidate due to its superior uranium density and thermal conductivity compared to traditional fuels. To accurately model UC at reactor operating conditions, we developed a machine…

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have transformed materials discovery by leveraging graph neural networks (GNNs) to predict material properties with near density functional theory (DFT) accuracy. While large-scale pretrained…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-29 Rushikesh Pawar , Harshit Rawat , Ayush Kumar , Phani Motamarri

Atomic vibrations play a critical role in phonon-assisted electron transitions at defects in solids. However, accurate phonon calculations in defect systems are often hindered by the high computational cost of large-supercell…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-12-19 Junjie Zhou , Xinpeng Li , Menglin Huang , Shiyou Chen

Data-driven methods based on machine learning have the potential to accelerate computational analysis of atomic structures. In this context, reliable uncertainty estimates are important for assessing confidence in predictions and enabling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Jonas Busk , Peter Bjørn Jørgensen , Arghya Bhowmik , Mikkel N. Schmidt , Ole Winther , Tejs Vegge

Shallow ensembles provide a convenient strategy for uncertainty quantification in machine learning interatomic potentials, that is computationally efficient because the different ensemble members share a large part of the model weights. In…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-02-18 Moritz Schäfer , Matthias Kellner , Johannes Kästner , Michele Ceriotti

Accurate yet transferable machine-learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) are essential for accelerating materials and chemical discovery. However, most universal MLIPs overfit to narrow datasets or computational protocols, limiting their…

Statistical learning algorithms provide a generally-applicable framework to sidestep time-consuming experiments, or accurate physics-based modeling, but they introduce a further source of error on top of the intrinsic limitations of the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-05-17 Matthias Kellner , Michele Ceriotti

We present a "module-based hybrid" Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) framework for general nonlinear multi-physics simulation. The proposed methodology, introduced in [\hyperlink{ref1}{1}], supports the independent development of each…

Computational Physics · Physics 2014-10-21 Akshay Mittal , Xiao Chen , Charles Tong , Gianluca Iaccarino

Computational quantum chemistry plays a critical role in drug discovery, chemical synthesis, and materials science. While first-principles methods, such as density functional theory (DFT), provide high accuracy in modeling electronic…

Machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) based on message passing neural networks hold promise to enable large-scale atomistic simulations of complex materials with ab initio accuracy. A number of MLIPs trained on energies and forces…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-04-09 Mikkel Ohm Sauer , Peder Meisner Lyngby , Kristian Sommer Thygesen

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) trained on large, chemically diverse datasets are revolutionizing computational chemistry, enabling molecular dynamics simulations of battery electrolytes with near-DFT accuracy over 10,000…

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have revolutionized molecular and materials modeling, but existing benchmarks suffer from data leakage, limited transferability, and an over-reliance on error-based metrics tied to specific…

This paper introduces a novel uncertainty quantification framework for regression models where the response takes values in a separable metric space, and the predictors are in a Euclidean space. The proposed algorithms can efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

Dopants can tune the performance of MoS2 in various applications, but use of molecular dynamics simulations for doped MoS2 materials discovery is limited by the lack of multi-dopant interatomic potentials. Universal machine learning…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-03-02 Abrar Faiyad , Ashlie Martini

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown remarkable performance in the healthcare domain. However, what remained challenging is quantifying the predictive uncertainty of GNNs, which is an important aspect of trustworthiness in clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Hirad Daneshvar , Reza Samavi