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A growing number of researchers are conducting randomized experiments to analyze causal relationships in network settings where units influence one another. A dominant methodology for analyzing these experiments is design-based, leveraging…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Kosuke Imai , Jose R. Zubizarreta

The conventional phase II trial design paradigm is to make the go/no-go decision based on the hypothesis testing framework. Statistical significance itself alone, however, may not be sufficient to establish that the drug is clinically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Yujie Zhao , Daniel Li , Rong Liu , Ying Yuan

We develop a nonparametric approach to identify and estimate consumer preferences and unobserved heterogeneity under nonlinear price schedules. Leveraging variation across multiple price schedules, we show that both the utility function and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-29 Samuele Centorrino , Frédérique Fève , Jean-Pierre Florens

Explainable AI has brought transparency into complex ML blackboxes, enabling, in particular, to identify which features these models use for their predictions. So far, the question of explaining predictive uncertainty, i.e. why a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Florian Bley , Sebastian Lapuschkin , Wojciech Samek , Grégoire Montavon

This paper studies how to design two-wave experiments in the presence of spillovers for precise inference on treatment effects. We consider units connected through a single network, local dependence among individuals, and a general class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-25 Davide Viviano

This paper considers the estimation of treatment effects in randomized experiments with complex experimental designs, including cases with interference between units. We develop a design-based estimation theory for arbitrary experimental…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-27 Haoge Chang

We consider the problem of estimating assortment probabilities, which is common in operations management applications, including product bundling, advertising, etc. Existing approaches typically model each assortment as a category and apply…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Alexandre Belloni , Yan Chen , Matthew Harding

In the first stage of a two-stage study, the researcher uses a statistical model to impute the unobserved exposures. In the second stage, imputed exposures serve as covariates in epidemiological models. Imputation error in the first stage…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-19 Ron Sarafian , Itai Kloog , Jonathan D. Rosenblatt

Participatory budgeting (PB) is a voting paradigm for distributing a divisible resource, usually called a budget, among a set of projects by aggregating the preferences of individuals over these projects. It is implemented quite extensively…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Gogulapati Sreedurga

We propose an estimation procedure for discrete choice models of differentiated products with possibly high-dimensional product attributes. In our model, high-dimensional attributes can be determinants of both mean and variance of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-21 Masayuki Sawada , Kohei Kawaguchi

The consumers' willingness to pay plays an important role in economic theory and in setting policy. For a market, this function can often be estimated from observed behavior -- preferences are revealed. However, economists would like to…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-02 Edoh Y. Amiran , Joni S. James Charles

Participatory budgeting (PB) has attracted much attention in recent times due to its wide applicability in social choice settings. In this paper, we consider indivisible PB which involves allocating an available, limited budget to a set of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Gogulapati Sreedurga , Yadati Narahari

Blocking is often used to reduce known variability in designed experiments by collecting together homogeneous experimental units. A common modelling assumption for such experiments is that responses from units within a block are dependent.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-07 W. G. Mueller , A. Rappold , D. C. Woods

We address the challenging problem of dynamically pricing complementary items that are sequentially displayed to customers. An illustrative example is the online sale of flight tickets, where customers navigate through multiple web pages.…

Experiments deliver credible treatment-effect estimates but, because they are costly, are often restricted to specific sites, small populations, or particular mechanisms. A common practice across several fields is therefore to combine…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Aristotelis Epanomeritakis , Davide Viviano

In this paper, we examine the biases that arise when firms run A/B tests on continuous parameters to estimate global treatment effects on performance metrics of interest; we particularly focus on price experiments to measure the price…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Ramesh Johari , Orrie B. Page , Gabriel Y. Weintraub

In paired comparison experiments respondents usually evaluate pairs of competing options. For this situation we introduce an appropriate model and derive optimal designs in the presence of second-order interactions when all attributes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-24 Eric Nyarko , Rainer Schwabe

Although behavioral economics has demonstrated that there are many situations where rational choice is a poor empirical model, it has so far failed to provide quantitative models of economic problems such as price formation. We make a step…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Szabolcs Mike , J. Doyne Farmer

Extensive research shows that consumers are generally averse to price discrimination. However, instruments of differential pricing can benefit consumer surplus and alleviate inequity through targeted price discounts. This paper examines how…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-05 Alexander Erlei , Mattheus Brenig , Nils Engelbrecht

The $\textit{data market design}$ problem is a problem in economic theory to find a set of signaling schemes (statistical experiments) to maximize expected revenue to the information seller, where each experiment reveals some of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Sai Srivatsa Ravindranath , Yanchen Jiang , David C. Parkes