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We develop new robust discrete choice tools to learn about the average willingness to pay for a price subsidy and its effects on demand given exogenous, discrete variation in prices. Our starting point is a nonparametric, nonseparable model…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-21 Vishal Kamat , Samuel Norris

In Regression Discontinuity (RD) design, self-selection leads to different distributions of covariates on two sides of the policy intervention, which essentially violates the continuity of potential outcome assumption. The standard RD…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-22 Sida Peng , Yang Ning

Several new estimation methods have been recently proposed for the linear regression model with observation error in the design. Different assumptions on the data generating process have motivated different estimators and analysis. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Alexandre Belloni , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

The BLP model is the workhorse framework in empirical IO and enables estimation of demand models for differentiated products using aggregate product shares. In practice, however, the share of the outside good is often unobserved. This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Federico A. Bugni , Joel L. Horowitz , Linqi Zhang

The regression discontinuity design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental design that can be used to identify and estimate the causal effect of a treatment using observational data. In an RDD, a pre-specified rule is used for treatment assignment,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-05 Panayiota Constantinou , Aidan G. O'Keeffe

We consider the problem of a firm seeking to use personalized pricing to sell an exogenously given stock of a product over a finite selling horizon to different consumer types. We assume that the type of an arriving consumer can be observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Ningyuan Chen , Guillermo Gallego

This paper proposes a novel method for demand forecasting in a pricing context. Here, modeling the causal relationship between price as an input variable to demand is crucial because retailers aim to set prices in a (profit) optimal manner…

The present paper deals with the problem of allocating patients to two competing treatments in the presence of covariates or prognostic factors in order to achieve a good trade-off among ethical concerns, inferential precision and…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-17 Alessandro Baldi Antognini , Maroussa Zagoraiou

With the rise of increasingly powerful and user-facing NLP systems, there is growing interest in assessing whether they have a good representation of uncertainty by evaluating the quality of their predictive distribution over outcomes. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Joris Baan , Raquel Fernández , Barbara Plank , Wilker Aziz

We develop a marginal treatment effect based method to learn about causal effects in multiple treatment models with discrete instruments. We allow selection into treatment to be governed by a general class of threshold crossing models that…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Vishal Kamat , Samuel Norris , Matthew Pecenco

Difference-in-differences (DiD) is arguably the most popular quasi-experimental research design. Its canonical form, with two groups and two periods, is well-understood. However, empirical practices can be ad hoc when researchers go beyond…

Online platforms collect rich information about participants and then share some of this information back with them to improve market outcomes. In this paper we study the following information disclosure problem in two-sided markets: If a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-09-01 Bar Light , Ramesh Johari , Gabriel Weintraub

The sorting and filtering capabilities offered by modern e-commerce platforms significantly impact customers' purchase decisions, as well as the resulting prices set by competing sellers on these platforms. Motivated by this practical…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Siddhartha Banerjee , Chamsi Hssaine , Vijay Kamble

Many real-life settings of consumer-choice involve social interactions, causing targeted policies to have spillover-effects. This paper develops novel empirical tools for analyzing demand and welfare-effects of policy-interventions in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-09 Debopam Bhattacharya , Pascaline Dupas , Shin Kanaya

We propose a dependence-aware predictive modeling framework for multivariate risks stemmed from an insurance contract with bundling features - an important type of policy increasingly offered by major insurance companies. The bundling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

Bilateral bargaining under incomplete information provides a controlled testbed for evaluating large language model (LLM) agent capabilities. Bilateral trade demands individual rationality, strategic surplus maximization, and cooperation to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Dirk Bergemann , Soheil Ghili , Xinyang Hu , Chuanhao Li , Zhuoran Yang

Understanding human preferences is crucial for improving foundation models and building personalized AI systems. However, preferences are inherently diverse and complex, making it difficult for traditional reward models to capture their…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Feng Luo , Rui Yang , Hao Sun , Chunyuan Deng , Jiarui Yao , Jingyan Shen , Huan Zhang , Hanjie Chen

Healthcare companies must submit pharmaceutical drugs or medical devices to regulatory bodies before marketing new technology. Regulatory bodies frequently require transparent and interpretable computational modelling to justify a new…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-15 Simon Olofsson , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ruth Misener

We consider the optimal experimental design problem of allocating subjects to treatment or control when subjects participate in multiple, separate controlled experiments within a short time-frame and subject covariate information is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 William Fisher , Qiong Zhang , Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng

We show that on-policy policy gradient (PG) and its variance reduction variants can be derived by taking finite difference of function evaluations supplied by estimators from the importance sampling (IS) family for off-policy evaluation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Jiawei Huang , Nan Jiang
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