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Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning regression is of wide interest, as it supports critical applications including sequential decision making and risk-sensitive tasks. In heteroskedastic regression, where the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Mikkel Jordahn , Jonas Vestergaard Jensen , James Harrison , Michael Riis Andersen , Mikkel N. Schmidt

Uncertainty quantification in a neural network is one of the most discussed topics for safety-critical applications. Though Neural Networks (NNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performance for many applications, they still provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Mehedi Hasan , Abbas Khosravi , Ibrahim Hossain , Ashikur Rahman , Saeid Nahavandi

Quantum annealers can solve QUBO problems efficiently but struggle with continuous optimization tasks like regression due to their discrete nature. We introduce Quadratic Continuous Quantum Optimization (QCQO), an anytime algorithm that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-01 Sascha Mücke , Thore Gerlach , Nico Piatkowski

Operator learning is a recently developed generalization of regression to mappings between functions. It promises to drastically reduce expensive numerical integration of PDEs to fast evaluations of mappings between functional states of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Tian Yu Yen , Reese E. Jones , Ravi G. Patel

This paper presents a unified and scalable framework for predictive and safe autonomous navigation in dynamic transportation environments by integrating model predictive control (MPC) with distributed Koopman operator learning.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-06 Ali Azarbahram , Shenyu Liu , Gian Paolo Incremona

The Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method is the gold standard for non-equilibrium rarefied gas dynamics, yet its computational cost can be prohibitive, especially for near-continuum regimes and high-fidelity \emph{ab initio}…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-26 Ehsan Roohi , Ahmad Shoja-Sani , Stefan Stefanov

Deep neural networks have shown great success in prediction quality while reliable and robust uncertainty estimation remains a challenge. Predictive uncertainty supplements model predictions and enables improved functionality of downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Johanna Rock , Tiago Azevedo , René de Jong , Daniel Ruiz-Muñoz , Partha Maji

Bayesian quadrature optimization (BQO) maximizes the expectation of an expensive black-box integrand taken over a known probability distribution. In this work, we study BQO under distributional uncertainty in which the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Thanh Tang Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Huong Ha , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

Trajectory prediction models that can infer both finite future trajectories and their associated uncertainties of the target vehicles in an online setting (e.g., real-world application scenarios) is crucial for ensuring the safe and robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Huiqun Huang , Sihong He , Fei Miao

Faithful uncertainty quantification (UQ) is paramount in high stakes climate prediction. Deep ensembles, or ensembles of probabilistic neural networks, are state of the art for UQ in machine learning (ML) and are growing increasingly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Devin M. McAfee , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

Most neural network quantization methods apply uniform bit precision across spatial regions, disregarding the heterogeneous complexity inherent in visual data. This paper introduces MCAQ-YOLO, a practical framework for tile-wise spatial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yoonjae Seo , Ermal Elbasani , Jaehong Lee

We have reformulated the quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) technique so that a large part of the calculation scales linearly with the number of atoms. The reformulation is related to a recent alternative proposal for achieving linear-scaling QMC,…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 D. Alfe` , M. J. Gillan

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques are frequently used to ascertain output variability in systems with parametric uncertainty. Traditional algorithms for UQ are either system-agnostic and slow (such as Monte Carlo) or fast with…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-19 Tuhin Sahai , Jose Miguel Pasini

The generation of connectional brain templates (CBTs) has recently garnered significant attention for its potential to identify unique connectivity patterns shared across individuals. However, existing methods for CBT learning such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Mayssa Soussia , Mohamed Ali Mahjoub , Islem Rekik

Accurately forecasting the long-term evolution of turbulence represents a grand challenge in scientific computing and is crucial for applications ranging from climate modeling to aerospace engineering. Existing deep learning methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Hao Wu , Yuan Gao , Fan Xu , Fan Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Kun Wang , Xiaomeng Huang , Xian Wu

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in mathematical models is essential for accurately predicting system behavior under variability. This study provides guidance on method selection for reliable UQ across varied functional behaviors in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Alina Chertock , Arsen S. Iskhakov , Anna Iskhakova , Alexander Kurganov

Although AI agents have demonstrated impressive capabilities in long-horizon reasoning, their reliability is severely hampered by the ``Spiral of Hallucination,'' where early epistemic errors propagate irreversibly. Existing methods face a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Jiaxin Zhang , Prafulla Kumar Choubey , Kung-Hsiang Huang , Caiming Xiong , Chien-Sheng Wu

Vision foundation models have demonstrated strong generalization in medical image segmentation by leveraging large-scale, heterogeneous pretraining. However, they often struggle to generalize to specialized clinical tasks under limited…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Wenjing Lu , Yi Hong , Yang Yang
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