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Numerical simulations play a critical role in design and development of engineering products and processes. Traditional computational methods, such as CFD, can provide accurate predictions but are computationally expensive, particularly for…

Neural operators extend data-driven models to map between infinite-dimensional functional spaces. While these operators perform effectively in either the time or frequency domain, their performance may be limited when applied to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Karn Tiwari , N M Anoop Krishnan , A P Prathosh

We analyze an ensemble-based approach for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in atomistic neural networks. This method generates an epistemic uncertainty signal without requiring changes to the underlying multi-headed regression neural network…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-11-21 Idan Fonea , Amir Peles , Sivan Niv , Goren Gordon , Amir Natan

While deep learning offers tremendous promise for scientific and medical imaging, any failures and hallucinations (predictions that do not coincide with reality) are hard to pinpoint and can have serious downstream consequences. Uncertainty…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Cassandra Tong Ye , Shamus Li , Tyler King , Kristina Monakhova

Turbulence poses challenges for numerical simulation due to its chaotic, multiscale nature and high computational cost. Traditional turbulence modeling often struggles with accuracy and long-term stability. Recent scientific machine…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-06 Xintong Zou , Zhijie Li , Yunpeng Wang , Huiyu Yang , Jianchun Wang

We describe modern variants of Monte Carlo methods for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) of the Neutron Transport Equation, when it is approximated by the discrete ordinates method with diamond differencing. We focus on the mono-energetic 1D…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Ivan G. Graham , Matthew J. Parkinson , Robert Scheichl

The Monte Carlo-type Neural Operator (MCNO) introduces a lightweight architecture for learning solution operators for parametric PDEs by directly approximating the kernel integral using a Monte Carlo approach. Unlike Fourier Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Salah Eddine Choutri , Prajwal Chauhan , Othmane Mazhar , Saif Eddin Jabari

For the temperature field reconstruction (TFR), a complex image-to-image regression problem, the convolutional neural network (CNN) is a powerful surrogate model due to the convolutional layer's good image feature extraction ability.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Zhiqiang Gong , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoyu Zhao , Tingsong Jiang

Traditional deep learning (DL) models are powerful classifiers, but many approaches do not provide uncertainties for their estimates. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for DL models have received increased attention in the literature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Daniel Ries , Joshua Michalenko , Tyler Ganter , Rashad Imad-Fayez Baiyasi , Jason Adams

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in Large Language Models (LLMs) is essential for their safe and reliable deployment, particularly in critical applications where incorrect outputs can have serious consequences. Current UQ methods typically…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Nicola Cecere , Andrea Bacciu , Ignacio Fernández Tobías , Amin Mantrach

Neural network (NN) potentials promise highly accurate molecular dynamics (MD) simulations within the computational complexity of classical MD force fields. However, when applied outside their training domain, NN potential predictions can…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-07-28 Stephan Thaler , Gregor Doehner , Julija Zavadlav

Knowing the uncertainty associated with the output of a deep neural network is of paramount importance in making trustworthy decisions, particularly in high-stakes fields like medical diagnosis and autonomous systems. Monte Carlo Dropout…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Hamzeh Asgharnezhad , Afshar Shamsi , Roohallah Alizadehsani , Arash Mohammadi , Hamid Alinejad-Rokny

Deep learning models for semantic segmentation are prone to poor performance in real-world applications due to the highly challenging nature of the task. Model uncertainty quantification (UQ) is one way to address this issue of lack of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Rishabh Singh , Jose C. Principe

Efficient uncertainty quantification algorithms are key to understand the propagation of uncertainty -- from uncertain input parameters to uncertain output quantities -- in high resolution mathematical models of brain physiology. Advanced…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Matteo Croci , Vegard Vinje , Marie E. Rognes

A critical limitation in large-scale multi-agent systems is the cascading of errors. And without intermediate verification, downstream agents exacerbate upstream inaccuracies, resulting in significant quality degradation. To bridge this…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Churong Liang , Jinling Gan , Kairan Hong , Qiushi Tian , Zongze Wu , Runnan Li

Conformal prediction (CP), a distribution-free uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework, reliably provides valid predictive inference for black-box models. CP constructs prediction sets that contain the true output with a specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Xiaofan Zhou , Baiting Chen , Yu Gui , Lu Cheng

Current approaches to model-based offline reinforcement learning often incorporate uncertainty-based reward penalization to address the distributional shift problem. These approaches, commonly known as pessimistic value iteration, use Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Abdullah Akgül , Manuel Haußmann , Melih Kandemir

While neural symbolic methods demonstrate impressive performance in visual question answering on synthetic images, their performance suffers on real images. We identify that the long-tail distribution of visual concepts and unequal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Zhuowan Li , Elias Stengel-Eskin , Yixiao Zhang , Cihang Xie , Quan Tran , Benjamin Van Durme , Alan Yuille

Neural operators aim to approximate the solution operator of a system of differential equations purely from data. They have shown immense success in modeling complex dynamical systems across various domains. However, the occurrence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok