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We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes (i.e., large jump discontinuities) in the rate function of a point process. The rate function is assumed to be fully unknown, non-stationary, and may itself be a random process that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Anna Brandenberger , Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

Detecting multiple change points in functional data sequences has been increasingly popular and critical in various scientific fields. In this article, we propose a novel two-stage framework for detecting multiple change points in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Zhiqing Fang , Xin Liu

The combination of lightly supervised pre-training and online fine-tuning has played a key role in recent AI developments. These new learning pipelines call for new theoretical frameworks. In this paper, we formalize core aspects of weakly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-21 Charles Arnal , Vivien Cabannes , Vianney Perchet

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

We propose a novel technique for analyzing adaptive sampling called the {\em Simulator}. Our approach differs from the existing methods by considering not how much information could be gathered by any fixed sampling strategy, but how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Max Simchowitz , Kevin Jamieson , Benjamin Recht

A novel approach to quantile estimation in multivariate linear regression models with change-points is proposed: the change-point detection and the model estimation are both performed automatically, by adopting either the quantile fused…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-10 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matus Maciak

Partial monitoring is an expressive framework for sequential decision-making with an abundance of applications, including graph-structured and dueling bandits, dynamic pricing and transductive feedback models. We survey and extend recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Johannes Kirschner , Tor Lattimore , Andreas Krause

We give a complete characterization of the complexity of best-arm identification in one-parameter bandit problems. We prove a new, tight lower bound on the sample complexity. We propose the `Track-and-Stop' strategy, which we prove to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Aurélien Garivier , Emilie Kaufmann

We consider the problem of detecting multiple changepoints in large data sets. Our focus is on applications where the number of changepoints will increase as we collect more data: for example in genetics as we analyse larger regions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 R. Killick , P. Fearnhead , I. A. Eckley

A change point problem occurs in many statistical applications. If there exist change points in a model, it is harmful to make a statistical analysis without any consideration of the existence of the change points and the results derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-24 Xiaoping Shi , Yuehua Wu , Baisuo Jin

Scale-invariance, good localization and robustness to noise and distortions are the main properties that a local feature detector should possess. Most existing local feature detectors find excessive unstable feature points that increase the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Morteza Ghahremani , Yonghuai Liu , Bernard Tiddeman

As time series data become increasingly prevalent in domains such as manufacturing, IT, and infrastructure monitoring, anomaly detection must adapt to nonstationary environments where statistical properties shift over time. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Muyan Anna Li , Aditi Gautam

This chapter overviews some of the work on detecting and estimating the location of a single change. We first consider the most common change-point problem, namely that of detecting a change in mean, before looking at extensions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz

We propose a Bayesian method to detect change points for functional data. We extract the features of a sequence of functional data by the discrete wavelet transform (DWT), and treat each sequence of feature independently. We believe there…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-06 Xiuqi Li , Subhashis Ghosal

In this paper we propose a new method for multiple change-point detection for piecewise-constant circular signals, a setting that, despite its importance in many scientific domains, remains comparatively under-explored. The proposed method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Sophia Loizidou , Andreas Anastasiou , Christophe Ley

Cascading bandits is a natural and popular model that frames the task of learning to rank from Bernoulli click feedback in a bandit setting. For the case of unstructured rewards, we prove matching upper and lower bounds for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Daniel Vial , Sujay Sanghavi , Sanjay Shakkottai , R. Srikant

This paper considers the problem of joint change detection and identification assuming multiple composite postchange hypotheses. We propose a multihypothesis changepoint detection-identification procedure that controls the probabilities of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

The extensive emergence of big data techniques has led to an increasing interest in the development of change-point detection algorithms that can perform well in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional setting. In the current paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Andreas Anastasiou , Angelos Papanastasiou

A new Bayesian modelling framework is introduced for piece-wise homogeneous variable-memory Markov chains, along with a collection of effective algorithmic tools for change-point detection and segmentation of discrete time series. Building…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Changepoint models typically assume the data within each segment are independent and identically distributed conditional on some parameters which change across segments. This construction may be inadequate when data are subject to local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Niall M. Adams