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In applied time-to-event analysis, a flexible parametric approach is to model the hazard rate as a piecewise constant function of time. However, the change points and values of the piecewise constant hazard are usually unknown and need to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Manuel Rosenbaum , Jan Beyersmann , Michael Vogt

We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length $T$ time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning $\alpha$-level credible sets around the estimated locations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Davis Berlind , Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

This paper proposes a new methodology to perform Bayesian inference for a class of multidimensional Cox processes in which the intensity function is piecewise constant. Poisson processes with piecewise constant intensity functions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-16 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Barbara C. C. Dias

Fundamental limits on the performance of feedback controllers are essential for benchmarking algorithms, guiding sensor selection, and certifying task feasibility -- yet few general-purpose tools exist for computing them. Existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Vincent Pacelli , Evangelos A. Theodorou

In the stochastic bandit problem, the goal is to maximize an unknown function via a sequence of noisy evaluations. Typically, the observation noise is assumed to be independent of the evaluation point and to satisfy a tail bound uniformly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-20 Johannes Kirschner , Andreas Krause

Non-stationary multi-armed bandits enable agents to adapt to changing environments by incorporating mechanisms to detect and respond to shifts in reward distributions, making them well-suited for dynamic settings. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Shaoang Li , Jian Li

We propose a piecewise learning framework for controlling nonlinear systems with unknown dynamics. While model-based reinforcement learning techniques in terms of some basis functions are well known in the literature, when it comes to more…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Milad Farsi , Yinan Li , Ye Yuan , Jun Liu

We propose an algorithm for nonparametric online change point detection based on sequential score function estimation and the tracking the best expert approach. The core of the procedure is a version of the fixed share forecaster tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Anna Markovich , Nikita Puchkin

We consider the contextual bandit problem on general action and context spaces, where the learner's rewards depend on their selected actions and an observable context. This generalizes the standard multi-armed bandit to the case where side…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-03 Moise Blanchard , Steve Hanneke , Patrick Jaillet

Adaptive fuzzy control strategies are established to achieve global prescribed performance with prescribed-time convergence for strict-feedback systems with mismatched uncertainties and unknown nonlinearities. Firstly, to quantify the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-29 Bing Mao , Xiaoqun Wu , Hui Liu , Yuhua Xu , Jinhu Lü

Among the various critical systems that worth to be formally analyzed, a wide set consists of controllers for dynamical systems. Those programs typically execute an infinite loop in which simple com putations update internal states and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-18 Assalé Adje , Pierre-Loïc Garoche

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

We consider the problem of bandit optimization, inspired by stochastic optimization and online learning problems with bandit feedback. In this problem, the objective is to minimize a global loss function of all the actions, not necessarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-07 Quentin Berthet , Vianney Perchet

Many inference problems, such as sequential decision problems like A/B testing, adaptive sampling schemes like bandit selection, are often online in nature. The fundamental problem for online inference is to provide a sequence of confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Qinqing Zheng

Sequences of random objects arise from many real applications, including high throughput omic data and functional imaging data. Those sequences are usually dependent, non-linear, or even Non-Euclidean, and an important problem is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-28 Xueqin Wang , Qiang Zhang , Wenliang Pan , Xin Chen , Heping Zhang

Detection of change-points in a sequence of high-dimensional observations is a very challenging problem, and this becomes even more challenging when the sample size (i.e., the sequence length) is small. In this article, we propose some…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Trisha Dawn , Angshuman Roy , Alokesh Manna , Anil K. Ghosh

One of the most popular methods of controlling dynamical systems is feedback. It can be used without acquiring detailed knowledge of the underlying system. In this work, we study the stability of fractional-order linear difference equations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Divya D. Joshi , Sachin Bhalekar , Prashant M. Gade

Bandit structured prediction describes a stochastic optimization framework where learning is performed from partial feedback. This feedback is received in the form of a task loss evaluation to a predicted output structure, without having…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-14 Julia Kreutzer , Artem Sokolov , Stefan Riezler

As an extension of the classical multi-armed bandit problem, multi-fidelity multi-armed bandits (MF-MAB) enable individual arms to be evaluated using diverse feedback sources that vary in both cost and accuracy. Prior stochastic models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Muyun Lu , Haoyang Hong , Huazheng Wang , Ying Lin

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem in pointwise and minimax settings for general dependent data models. Two new classes of sequential detection procedures associated with the maximal "local" probability of a false alarm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Serguei M. Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander G. Tartakovsky
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