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We propose the first comprehensive treatment of high-dimensional time series factor models with multiple change-points in their second-order structure. We operate under the most flexible definition of piecewise stationarity, and estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

While contextual bandit has a mature theory, effectively leveraging different feedback patterns to enhance the pace of learning remains unclear. Bandits with feedback graphs, which interpolates between the full information and bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Mengxiao Zhang , Yuheng Zhang , Olga Vrousgou , Haipeng Luo , Paul Mineiro

To segment a sequence of independent random variables at an unknown number of change-points, we introduce new procedures that are based on thresholding the likelihood ratio statistic. We also study confidence regions based on the likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Xiao Fang , Jian Li , David Siegmund

We study the problem of clustering a set of items based on bandit feedback. Each of the $n$ items is characterized by a feature vector, with a possibly large dimension $d$. The items are partitioned into two unknown groups such that items…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-19 Maximilian Graf , Victor Thuot , Nicolas Verzelen

We consider a version of the continuum armed bandit where an action induces a filtered realisation of a non-homogeneous Poisson process. Point data in the filtered sample are then revealed to the decision-maker, whose reward is the total…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-21 James A. Grant , Roberto Szechtman

We consider a popular online change-point problem of detecting a transient change in distributions of i.i.d. random variables. For this change-point problem, several change-point procedures are formulated and some advanced results for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Jack Noonan

In this paper we study the problem of tracking the mean of a piecewise stationary sequence of independent random variables. First we consider the case where the transition times are known and show that a direct running average performs the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Ghurumuruhan Ganesan

The field of quickest change detection (QCD) concerns design and analysis of algorithms to estimate in real time the time at which an important event takes place and identify properties of the post-change behavior. The goal is to devise a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Austin Cooper , Sean Meyn

Bandits with covariates, a.k.a. contextual bandits, address situations where optimal actions (or arms) at a given time $t$, depend on a context $x_t$, e.g., a new patient's medical history, a consumer's past purchases. While it is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-23 Joseph Suk , Samory Kpotufe

The identification of environmental changes is crucial in many fields. The present research is aimed at investigating the optimal performance for detecting change points in a quantum system when its Hamiltonian suddenly changes at a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-18 Kenji Nakahira

In this paper, we investigate the model reference adaptive control approach for uncertain piecewise affine systems with performance guarantees. The proposed approach ensures the error metric, defined as the weighted Euclidean norm of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-21 Tong Liu , Martin Buss

Data cleansing aims to improve model performance by removing a set of harmful instances from the training dataset. Data Shapley is a common theoretically guaranteed method to evaluate the contribution of each instance to model performance;…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Hiroyuki Namba , Shota Horiguchi , Masaki Hamamoto , Masashi Egi

We consider the offline change point detection and localization problem in the context of piecewise stationary networks, where the observable is a finite sequence of networks. We develop algorithms involving some suitably modified CUSUM…

Contextual bandit algorithms are extremely popular and widely used in recommendation systems to provide online personalised recommendations. A recurrent assumption is the stationarity of the reward function, which is rather unrealistic in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-29 Giuseppe Di Benedetto , Vito Bellini , Giovanni Zappella

Change detection plays an important role in most video-based applications. The first stage is to build appropriate background model, which is now becoming increasingly complex as more sophisticated statistical approaches are introduced to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-05-27 Dong Liang , Shun'ichi Kaneko

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

A random sequence having two segments being the homogeneous Markov processes is registered. Each segment has his own transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and random. The transition probabilities of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 A. Ochman-Gozdek , W. Sarnowski , K. J. Szajowski

We study contextual bandits in the presence of a stage-wise constraint when the constraint must be satisfied both with high probability and in expectation. We start with the linear case where both the reward function and the stage-wise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Aldo Pacchiano , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Peter Bartlett

We consider the rate of piecewise constant approximation to a locally stationary process $X(t),t\in [0,1]$, having a variable smoothness index $\alpha(t)$. Assuming that $\alpha(\cdot)$ attains its unique minimum at zero and satisfies the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Enkelejd Hashorva , Mikhail Lifshits , Oleg Seleznjev

We consider the problem of near-optimal arm identification in the fixed confidence setting of the infinitely armed bandit problem when nothing is known about the arm reservoir distribution. We (1) introduce a PAC-like framework within which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-22 Maryam Aziz , Jesse Anderton , Emilie Kaufmann , Javed Aslam
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