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International trade has been in the forefront of economic development and growth debates. Trade openness, its definition, scope, and impacts have also been studied numerously. Tariff has been dubbed as negative influencer of economic growth…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-15 S M Toufiqul Huq Sowrov

We develop a two-region economic geography model with vertical innovations that improve the quality of manufactured varieties produced in each region. The chance of innovation depends on the \emph{related variety}, i.e. the importance of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-16 José M. Gaspar , Minoru Osawa

To empirically study the policy impact of a National New Area on the local economy, this paper evaluates the effect of the Zhoushan Archipelago New Area on local GDP growth rate and economic efficiency. By collecting input and output data…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-26 Yi Zheng

All economies require physical resource consumption to grow and maintain their structure. The modern economy is additionally characterized by private debt. The Human and Resources with MONEY (HARMONEY) economic growth model links these…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-07 Carey W. King

In response to the call for a science of science policy, we discuss the contribution of indicators at the macro-level of nations from a scientometric perspective. In addition to global trends such as the rise of China, one can relate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-06 Loet Leydesdorff , Caroline Wagner

Once carbon emission neutrality and other sustainability goals have been achieved, a widespread assumption is that economic growth at current rates can be sustained beyond the 21st century. However, even if we achieve these goals, this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Andreas M. Hein , Jean-Baptiste Rudelle

We use generative AI to extract managerial expectations about their economic outlook from 120,000+ corporate conference call transcripts. The resulting AI Economy Score predicts GDP growth, production, and employment up to 10 quarters…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Manish Jha , Jialin Qian , Michael Weber , Baozhong Yang

The analysis of the demographic transition of the past century and a half, using both empirical data and mathematical models, has rendered a wealth of well-established facts, including the dramatic increases in life expectancy. Despite…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-02 Albert Solé-Ribalta , Javier Borge-Holthoefer

An information entropy statistical methodology was used to evaluate the growth of the UK economy over the period 2000 to 2019, with an emphasis on the impact of labour productivity on gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and the average…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-09 Laurence Francis Lacey

This paper presents a novel machine learning approach to GDP prediction that incorporates volatility as a model weight. The proposed method is specifically designed to identify and select the most relevant macroeconomic variables for…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-12 Ali Lashgari

Global inequality has shifted inward, with rising dispersion increasingly occurring within countries rather than between them. Using 8,790 newly harmonised Functional Urban Areas (FUAs), micro-founded labour-market regions encompassing 3.9…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-21 Isaak Mengesha , Debraj Roy

Complex networks are commonly used to explore human behavior. However, previous studies largely overlooked the geographical and economic factors embedded in collective attention. To address this, we construct attention networks from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-13 Ke-ke Shang , Jiangli Zhu , Junfan Yi , Liwen Zhang , Junjie Yang , Ge Guo , Zixuan Jin , Michael Small

Do governments adjust budgetary policy to rising public debt, precluding fiscal unsustainability? Using budget data for 52 industrial and emerging economies since 1990, we apply panel methods accounting for cross-sectional dependence and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-18 Paolo Canofari , Alessandro Piergallini , Marco Tedeschi

Industrial development is the process by which economies learn how to produce new products and services. But how do economies learn? And who do they learn from? The literature on economic geography and economic development has emphasized…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-07 Jian Gao , Bogang Jun , Alex "Sandy" Pentland , Tao Zhou , Cesar A. Hidalgo

In accordance with "Democracy's Effect on Development: More Questions than Answers", we seek to carry out a study in following the description in the 'Questions for Further Study.' To that end, we studied 33 countries in the Sub-Saharan…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-12-13 Jacob Ferguson

In a globalised world, inflation in a given country may be becoming less responsive to domestic economic activity, while being increasingly determined by international conditions. Consequently, understanding the international sources of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-30 Ignacio Garrón , C. Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero , Esther Ruiz

Peacefulness is a principal dimension of well-being and is the way out of inequity and violence. Thus, its measurement has drawn the attention of researchers, policymakers, and peacekeepers. During the last years, novel digital data streams…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Vasiliki Voukelatou , Ioanna Miliou , Fosca Giannotti , Luca Pappalardo

Quantifying the improvement in human living standard, as well as the city growth in developing countries, is a challenging problem due to the lack of reliable economic data. Therefore, there is a fundamental need for alternate, largely…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Jiqian Dong , Gopaljee Atulya , Kartikeya Bhardwaj , Radu Marculescu

Urban green space has been regarded as contributing to citizen happiness by promoting physical and mental health. However, how urban green space and happiness are related across many countries of different socioeconomic conditions has not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-03 Oh-Hyun Kwon , Inho Hong , Jeasurk Yang , Donghee Yvette Wohn , Woo-Sung Jung , Meeyoung Cha

We study how efficient resource reallocation across cities affects potential aggregate growth. Using optimal resource allocation models and data on 284 China's prefecture-level cities in the years 2003--2019, we quantitatively measure the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-08 Sheng Dai , Timo Kuosmanen , Zhiqiang Liao