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Sparse models are desirable for many applications across diverse domains as they can perform automatic variable selection, aid interpretability, and provide regularization. When fitting sparse models in a Bayesian framework, however,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Jeffrey P. Spence

The Frequentist, Assisted by Bayes (FAB) framework constructs confidence regions that leverage prior information about parameter values. FAB confidence regions (FAB-CRs) have smaller volume for values of the parameter that are likely under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Stefano Cortinovis , François Caron

The key idea of variational auto-encoders (VAEs) resembles that of traditional auto-encoder models in which spatial information is supposed to be explicitly encoded in the latent space. However, the latent variables in VAEs are vectors,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Zhengyang Wang , Hao Yuan , Shuiwang Ji

An empirical best linear unbiased prediction (EBLUP) estimator is utilized for efficient inference in small-area estimation. To measure its uncertainty, we need to estimate its mean squared error (MSE) since the true MSE cannot generally be…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-14 Masayo Yoshimori Hirose

The nested error regression model is a useful tool for analyzing clustered (grouped) data, and is especially used in small area estimation. The classical nested error regression model assumes normality of random effects and error terms, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

When mapping subnational health and demographic indicators, direct weighted estimators of small area means based on household survey data can be unreliable when data are limited. If survey microdata are available, unit level models can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

Subnational monitoring of public health often relies on household surveys where data are sparse at the desired spatial resolution. Small area estimation (SAE) methods address this challenge by borrowing strength across areas and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Qianyu Dong , Zehang Richard Li

Environmental processes resolved at a sufficiently small scale in space and time will inevitably display non-stationary behavior. Such processes are both challenging to model and computationally expensive when the data size is large.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-21 Amanda Lenzi , Stefano Castruccio , Haavard Rue , Marc G. Genton

Optimal computations under uncertainty require an adequate probabilistic representation about beliefs. Deep generative models, and specifically Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), have the potential to meet this demand by building latent…

Bayesian Model Calibration is used to revisit the problem of scaling factor calibration for semi-empirical correction of ab initio harmonic properties (e.g. vibrational frequencies and zero-point energies). A particular attention is devoted…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-11-15 Pascal Pernot , Fabien Cailliez

A bias-reduced estimator is proposed for the mean absolute deviation parameter of a median regression model. A workaround is devised for the lack of smoothness in the sense conventionally required in general bias-reduced estimation. A local…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato

We propose a scalable variational Bayes method for statistical inference for a single or low-dimensional subset of the coordinates of a high-dimensional parameter in sparse linear regression. Our approach relies on assigning a mean-field…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Ismaël Castillo , Alice L'Huillier , Kolyan Ray , Luke Travis

We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-06 Wei Han , Yun Yang

We tackle covariance estimation in low-sample scenarios, employing a structured covariance matrix with shrinkage methods. These involve convexly combining a low-bias/high-variance empirical estimate with a biased regularization estimator,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-28 Olivier Flasseur , Eric Thiébaut , Loïc Denis , Maud Langlois

Variational auto-encoders (VAEs) are a powerful approach to unsupervised learning. They enable scalable approximate posterior inference in latent-variable models using variational inference (VI). A VAE posits a variational family…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Samarth Sinha , Adji B. Dieng

This article considers Bayesian model selection via mean-field (MF) variational approximation. Towards this goal, we study the non-asymptotic properties of MF inference under the Bayesian framework that allows latent variables and model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Yangfan Zhang , Yun Yang

We generalize the na\"ive estimator of a Poisson regression model with measurement errors as discussed in Kukush et al. [1]. The explanatory variable is not always normally distributed as they assume. In this study, we assume that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Kentarou Wada , Takeshi Kurosawa

In a thought-provoking paper, Efron (2011) investigated the merit and limitation of an empirical Bayes method to correct selection bias based on Tweedie's formula first reported by \cite{Robbins:1956}. The exceptional virtue of Tweedie's…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Lilun Du , Inchi Hu

In this paper, we propose a transformed na\"ive ratio and product based estimators using the characterizing scalar in presence of auxiliary information of the study variable for estimating the population mode following simple random…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Sanjay Kumar , Nirmal Tiwari

The Normal Means problem plays a fundamental role in many areas of modern high-dimensional statistics, both in theory and practice. And the Empirical Bayes (EB) approach to solving this problem has been shown to be highly effective, again…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-27 Lei Sun , Matthew Stephens