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Related papers: A Real-Time Digital Twin for Type 1 Diabetes using…

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Simulation-based inference (SBI) is constantly in search of more expressive and efficient algorithms to accurately infer the parameters of complex simulation models. In line with this goal, we present consistency models for posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Marvin Schmitt , Valentin Pratz , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T Radev

With continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), data-driven models on blood glucose prediction have been shown to be effective in related work. However, such (CGM) systems are not always available, e.g., for a patient at home. In this work, we…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Tu Nguyen , Markus Rokicki

Recent advances in probabilistic deep learning enable efficient amortized Bayesian inference in settings where the likelihood function is only implicitly defined by a simulation program (simulation-based inference; SBI). But how faithful is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Marvin Schmitt , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ullrich Köthe , Stefan T. Radev

The rising prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) necessitates the development of predictive models for T2DM risk assessment. Artificial intelligence (AI) models are being extensively used for this purpose, but a comprehensive review…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Farida Mohsen , Hamada R. H. Al-Absi , Noha A. Yousri , Nady El Hajj , Zubair Shah

Accurate blood glucose prediction can enable novel interventions for type 1 diabetes treatment, including personalized insulin and dietary adjustments. Although recent advances in transformer-based architectures have demonstrated the power…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-15 Meryem Altin Karagoz , Marc D. Breton , Anas El Fathi

Objective: The design of an Artificial Pancreas (AP) to regulate blood glucose levels requires reliable control methods. Model Predictive Control has emerged as a promising approach for glycemia control. However, model--based control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-02 Claudia Lopez-Zazueta , Øyvind Stavdahl , Anders Lyngvi Fougner

Digital twins are transforming engineering and applied sciences by enabling real-time monitoring, simulation, and predictive analysis of physical systems and processes. However, conventional digital twins rely primarily on passive data…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Matteo Torzoni , Domenico Maisto , Andrea Manzoni , Francesco Donnarumma , Giovanni Pezzulo , Alberto Corigliano

Type 2 Diabetes is one of the most major and fatal diseases known to human beings, where thousands of people are subjected to the onset of Type 2 Diabetes every year. However, the diagnosis and prevention of Type 2 Diabetes are relatively…

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables amortized Bayesian inference by first training a neural posterior estimator (NPE) on prior-simulator pairs, typically through low-dimensional summary statistics, which can then be cheaply reused for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Sherman Khoo , Dennis Prangle , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

Many recent works in simulation-based inference (SBI) rely on deep generative models to approximate complex, high-dimensional posterior distributions. However, evaluating whether or not these approximations can be trusted remains a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-11 Julia Linhart , Alexandre Gramfort , Pedro L. C. Rodrigues

People with diabetes need insulin delivery to effectively manage their blood glucose levels, especially after meals, because their bodies either do not produce enough insulin or cannot fully utilize it. Accurate insulin delivery starts with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-21 Hanyu Zeng , Hui Ji , Pengfei Zhou

We analyze a lightweight simulation-based inference method that infers simulator parameters using only a regression-based projection of the observed data. After fitting a surrogate linear regression once, the procedure simulates small…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Arya Farahi , Jonah Rose , Paul Torrey

The onset of several silent, chronic diseases such as diabetes can be detected only through diagnostic tests. Due to cost considerations, self-reported outcomes are routinely collected in lieu of expensive diagnostic tests in large-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-15 Xiangdong Gu , Yunsheng Ma , Raji Balasubramanian

Recent technological advances have expanded the availability of high-throughput biological datasets, enabling the reliable design of digital twins of biomedical systems or patients. Such computational tools represent key reaction networks…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Clémence Métayer , Annabelle Ballesta , Julien Martinelli

Many scientific models are composed of multiple discrete components, and scientists often make heuristic decisions about which components to include. Bayesian inference provides a mathematical framework for systematically selecting model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Cornelius Schröder , Jakob H. Macke

Simulation Based Inference (SBI) is shown to yield more accurate resonance parameter estimates than traditional chi-squared minimization in certain cases of model misspecification, demonstrated through a case study of pi-pi scattering and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-07-28 Daniel Sadasivan , Isaac Cordero , Andrew Graham , Cecilia Marsh , Daniel Kupcho , Melana Mourad , Maxim Mai

We present a novel probabilistic programming framework that couples directly to existing large-scale simulators through a cross-platform probabilistic execution protocol, which allows general-purpose inference engines to record and control…

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables parameter estimation for complex stochastic models with intractable likelihoods when model simulation is feasible. Neural posterior estimation (NPE) is a popular SBI approach that often achieves…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Ryan P. Kelly , David T. Frazier , David J. Warne , Christopher C. Drovandi

The existing adaptive basal-bolus advisor (ABBA) was further developed to benefit patients under insulin therapy with multiple daily injections (MDI). Three different in silico experiments were conducted with the DMMS.R simulator to…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-21 Qingnan Sun , Marko V. Jankovic , Stavroula G. Mougiakakou

Scientists and engineers employ stochastic numerical simulators to model empirically observed phenomena. In contrast to purely statistical models, simulators express scientific principles that provide powerful inductive biases, improve…

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