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Risk scores are simple classification models that let users make quick risk predictions by adding and subtracting a few small numbers. These models are widely used in medicine and criminal justice, but are difficult to learn from data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-21 Berk Ustun , Cynthia Rudin

This study proposes an integrated machine learning framework for advanced traffic analysis, combining time-series forecasting, classification, and computer vision techniques. The system utilizes an ARIMA(2,0,1) model for traffic prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Nivedita M , Yasmeen Shajitha S

Complex dynamical systems rely on the correct deployment and operation of numerous components, with state-of-the-art methods relying on learning-enabled components in various stages of modeling, sensing, and control at both offline and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-22 Weiming Xiang

We introduce and study a variational framework for the analysis of empirical risk based inference for dynamical systems and ergodic processes. The analysis applies to a two-stage estimation procedure in which (i) the trajectory of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Kevin McGoff , Andrew B. Nobel

One of the critical challenges in automated driving is ensuring safety of automated vehicles despite the unknown behavior of the other vehicles. Although motion prediction modules are able to generate a probability distribution associated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-28 Luyao Zhang , George Pantazis , Shaohang Han , Sergio Grammatico

We present results for long term and intermediate term prediction algorithms applied to a simple mechanical model of a fault. We use long term prediction methods based, for example, on the distribution of repeat times between large events…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 S. L. Pepke , J. M. Carlson , B. E. Shaw

Autonomous driving systems face significant challenges in handling unpredictable edge-case scenarios, such as adversarial pedestrian movements, dangerous vehicle maneuvers, and sudden environmental changes. Current end-to-end driving models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Dianwei Chen , Zifan Zhang , Lei Cheng , Yuchen Liu , Xianfeng Terry Yang

While artificial-intelligence-based methods suffer from lack of transparency, rule-based methods dominate in safety-critical systems. Yet, the latter cannot compete with the first ones in robustness to multiple requirements, for instance,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Andrei Aksjonov , Ville Kyrki

We introduce CollisionPro, a pioneering framework designed to estimate cumulative collision probability distributions using temporal difference learning, specifically tailored to applications in robotics, with a particular emphasis on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Thomas Steinecker , Thorsten Luettel , Mirko Maehlisch

This paper presents a motion planning and risk analysis framework for enhancing human-robot collaboration with a Multi-Rotor Aerial Vehicle. The proposed method employs Signal Temporal Logic to encode key mission objectives, including…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Giuseppe Silano , Amr Afifi , Martin Saska , Antonio Franchi

Real-time safety metrics are important for the automated driving system (ADS) to assess the risk of driving situations and to assist the decision-making. Although a number of real-time safety metrics have been proposed in the literature,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Xintao Yan , Shuo Feng , David J. LeBlanc , Carol Flannagan , Henry X. Liu

Deep learning has significantly advanced time series forecasting through its powerful capacity to capture sequence relationships. However, training these models with the Mean Square Error (MSE) loss often results in over-smooth predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Dongyue Chen , Emadeldeen Eldele , Qinghua Hu

In many mechatronic applications, controller input costs are negligible and time optimality is of great importance to maximize the productivity by executing fast positioning maneuvers. As a result, the obtained control input has mostly a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-28 Joe Ismail , Steven Liu

By treating intervals as inseparable sets, this paper proposes sparse machine learning regressions for high-dimensional interval-valued time series. With LASSO or adaptive LASSO techniques, we develop a penalized minimum distance…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-15 Haowen Bao , Yongmiao Hong , Yuying Sun , Shouyang Wang

In this work, we present a hierarchical framework designed to support robotic inspection under environment uncertainty. By leveraging a known environment model, existing methods plan and safely track inspection routes to visit points of…

Previously, using forward-flux sampling (FFS) and machine learning (ML), we developed multivariate alarm systems to counter rare un-postulated abnormal events. Our alarm systems utilized ML-based predictive models to quantify committer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Vikram Sudarshan , Warren D. Seider

Traffic microscopic simulation applications are a common tool in road transportation analysis and several attempts to perform road safety assessments have recently been carried out. However, these approaches often ignore causal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-10-12 Carlos Lima Azevedo , João L. Cardoso , Moshe E. Ben-Akiva

Computer vision-based accident detection through video surveillance has become a beneficial but daunting task. In this paper, a neoteric framework for detection of road accidents is proposed. The proposed framework capitalizes on Mask R-CNN…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Earnest Paul Ijjina , Dhananjai Chand , Savyasachi Gupta , Goutham K

We introduce a framework for calibrating machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy explicit, finite-sample statistical guarantees. Our calibration algorithms work with any underlying model and (unknown) data-generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Emmanuel J. Candès , Michael I. Jordan , Lihua Lei

Accurate vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for ensuring safety and efficiency in fully autonomous driving systems. While existing methods primarily focus on modeling observed motion patterns and interactions with other vehicles,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Xinyi Ning , Zilin Bian , Dachuan Zuo , Semiha Ergan
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