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Autonomous robots that rely on deep neural network controllers pose critical challenges for safety prediction, especially under partial observability and distribution shift. Traditional model-based verification techniques are limited in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Zhenjiang Mao , Mrinall Eashaan Umasudhan , Ivan Ruchkin

Recently significant progress has been made in vehicle prediction and planning algorithms for autonomous driving. However, it remains quite challenging for an autonomous vehicle to plan its trajectory in complex scenarios when it is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Xiangguo Liu , Ruochen Jiao , Yixuan Wang , Yimin Han , Bowen Zheng , Qi Zhu

Hierarchical forecasting methods have been widely used to support aligned decision-making by providing coherent forecasts at different aggregation levels. Traditional hierarchical forecasting approaches, such as the bottom-up and top-down…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Evangelos Spiliotis , Mahdi Abolghasemi , Rob J Hyndman , Fotios Petropoulos , Vassilios Assimakopoulos

This paper proposes a multi-step probabilistic forecasting framework using a single neural-network based model to generate simultaneous point and interval forecasts. Our approach ensures non-crossing prediction intervals (PIs) through a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Worachit Amnuaypongsa , Yotsapat Suparanonrat , Pana Wanitchollakit , Jitkomut Songsiri

Planning under uncertainty is a crucial capability for autonomous systems to operate reliably in uncertain and dynamic environments. The concern of safety becomes even more critical in healthcare settings where robots interact with human…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Roya Sabbagh Novin , Amir Yazdani , Andrew Merryweather , Tucker Hermans

Observing a stationary time series, we propose a two-step procedure for the prediction of the next value of the time series. The first step follows machine learning theory paradigm and consists in determining a set of possible predictors as…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-04 Pierre Alquier , Olivier Wintenberger

It is often the case that risk assessment and prognostics are viewed as related but separate tasks. This chapter describes a risk-based approach to prognostics that seeks to provide a tighter coupling between risk assessment and fault…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-18 John W. Sheppard

There is an emerging trend in applying deep learning methods to control complex nonlinear systems. This paper considers enhancing the runtime safety of nonlinear systems controlled by neural networks in the presence of disturbance and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Jianglin Lan , Siyuan Zhan , Ron Patton , Xianxian Zhao

A framework is proposed to assess the safety of maintenance work zones in a timely manner, show whether there are safety hazards, whether adjustments need to be made and how to adjust it. By means of advanced data acquisition technologies…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Zhepu Xu , Qun Yang

With the rapid development of urbanization, the boom of vehicle numbers has resulted in serious traffic accidents, which led to casualties and huge economic losses. The ability to predict the risk of traffic accident is important in the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Honglei Ren , You Song , Jingwen Wang , Yucheng Hu , Jinzhi Lei

Increasingly sophisticated mathematical modelling processes from Machine Learning are being used to analyse complex data. However, the performance and explainability of these models within practical critical systems requires a rigorous and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Xingyu Zhao , Alec Banks , James Sharp , Valentin Robu , David Flynn , Michael Fisher , Xiaowei Huang

Identifying and mitigating safety risks is paramount in a number of industries. In addition to guidelines and best practices, many industries already have safety management systems (SMSs) designed to monitor and reinforce good safety…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-03 Ashutosh Tewari , Antonio R. Paiva

Occlusion-aware prediction remains a critical challenge in autonomous driving due to the inherent uncertainty of unobserved regions. Existing approaches either overestimate risk based on reachable states or struggle to predict accurate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Jie Jia , Yaofeng Su , Zeyu Bao , Yun Hong , Bingzhao Gao , Zhongxue Gan , Wenchao Ding

Prognostics or early detection of incipient faults is an important industrial challenge for condition-based and preventive maintenance. Physics-based approaches to modeling fault progression are infeasible due to multiple interacting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-21 Abhay Harpale , Abhishek Srivastav

Considering the close interaction between spare parts logistics and maintenance planning, this paper presents a model for joint optimization of multi-location spare parts supply chain and condition-based maintenance under predictive and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Morteza Soltani

We propose a novel framework to classify large-scale time series data with long duration. Long time seriesclassification (L-TSC) is a challenging problem because the dataoften contains a large amount of irrelevant information to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Yuansheng Zhu , Weishi Shi , Deep Shankar Pandey , Yang Liu , Xiaofan Que , Daniel E. Krutz , Qi Yu

Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-26 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Gabriele Abbati , Stephen Roberts

EASA's learning-assurance guidance requires data-driven aviation systems to build and monitor their own situation representation, yet for neural networks the technical means to provide such evidence remain an open problem. We address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Romeo Valentin , Olivia Beyer Bruvik , Marc R. Schlichting , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Empirical risk minimization is a standard principle for choosing algorithms in learning theory. In this paper we study the properties of empirical risk minimization for time series. The analysis is carried out in a general framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-12 Christian Brownlees , Jordi Llorens-Terrazas

We consider the commonly encountered situation (e.g., in weather forecasting) where the goal is to predict the time evolution of a large, spatiotemporally chaotic dynamical system when we have access to both time series data of previous…