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An epidemic Susceptible-Vaccinated-Infected-Removed-Susceptible (SVIRS) model is presented on a weighted-undirected network with graph Laplacian diffusion. Disease-free equilibrium always exists while the existence and uniqueness of endemic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Madhab Barman , Nachiketa Mishra

A ternary reaction-diffusion model for early HIV infection dynamics, incorporating logistic growth of target cells, is introduced. According to in vitro and in vivo studies, random movement of target cells, infected cells, and virions and a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-21 Florinda Capone , Roberta De Luca , Vincenzo Luongo

Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease caused by the bacterium Mycobacterium tuberculosis and primarily affects the lungs, as well as other body parts. TB is spread through the air when an infected person coughs, sneezes, or talks.…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 George P. Kafentzis , Stephane Tetsing , Joe Brew , Lola Jover , Mindaugas Galvosas , Carlos Chaccour , Peter M. Small

We analyse the model of Tuberculosis due to Blower (Nature Medecine 1(8) 815-821) from the point of view of symmetry and singularity analysis. From the study we provide a demonstration of the integrability of the model to present an…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-18 Maba B. Matadi , Kesh S. Govinder

Tuberculosis (TB) is a chronic lung disease that occurs due to bacterial infection and is one of the top 10 leading causes of death. Accurate and early detection of TB is very important, otherwise, it could be life-threatening. In this…

Bovine tuberculosis, a disease that affects cattle and badgers in Ireland, was studied via stochastic epidemic modeling using incidence data from the Four Area Project (Griffin et al., 2005). The Four Area Project was a large scale field…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-14 L. M. White , G. E. Kelly

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

As the global HIV pandemic enters its fourth decade, increasing numbers of surveillance sites have been established which allows countries to look into the epidemics at a finer scale, e.g. at sub-national levels. Currently, the epidemic…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-27 Le Bao , Xiaoyue Niu , Mary Mahy , Peter D. Ghys

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

We study the threshold dynamics of a stochastic SAIRS-type model with vaccination, where the role of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals is explicitly considered in the epidemic dynamics. In the model, the values of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Stefania Ottaviano

Epidemiological models increasingly rely on self-reported behavioral data such as vaccination status, mask usage, and social distancing adherence to forecast disease transmission and assess the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Yiqi Su , Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas , Walid Saad , Bud Mishra , Naren Ramakrishnan

We present a mathematical analysis of the early detection of Ebola virus. The propagation of the virus is analysed by using a Susceptible, Infected, Recovered (SIR) model. In order to provide useful predictions about the potential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-24 Amira Rachah , Delfim F. M. Torres

In this study, a new and natural way of constructing a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is proposed. This approach is natural in the sense that the disease transmission rate, $\beta$, is substituted with a generic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Berk Tan Perçin

Forecasting transmission of infectious diseases, especially for vector-borne diseases, poses unique challenges for researchers. Behaviors of and interactions between viruses, vectors, hosts, and the environment each play a part in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-02 Stephen A Lauer , Alexandria C Brown , Nicholas G Reich

In this article, we consider an HIV/AIDS epidemic model with four classes of individuals. We have discussed about basic properties of the system and found the basic reproduction number $R_0$ of the system. The stability analysis of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Nouar Chorfi , Salem Abdelmalek , Samir Bendoukha

The effect of stigmatization is hindering the control of diseases. Especially in the case of exogenous reinfection, this effect can play a massive role. We develop in this paper, based on a tuberculosis model of Feng et.al. a model with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Remilou Liguarda , Wolfgang Bock , Randy Caga-anan

Weibull distribution is widely used in modelling health data. However, its lack of sufficient tail flexibility often results in poor fit in extreme events. We proposed another three-parameter extension of the Weibull distribution with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Isqeel Ogunsola , Nurudeen Ajadi , Gboyega Adepoju

We propose an epidemic model for the spread of vector-borne diseases. The model, which is built extending the classical susceptible-infected-susceptible model, accounts for two populations -- humans and vectors -- and for cross-contagion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Lorenzo Zino , Alessandro Casu , Alessandro Rizzo

This paper is concerned with the well-posedness and optimal control problem of a reaction-diffusion system for an epidemic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) mathematical model in which the dynamics develops in a spatially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Pierluigi Colli , Gianni Gilardi , Gabriela Marinoschi , Elisabetta Rocca

Tuberculosis (TB) is a contagious disease that causes 1.5 million deaths per year globally. Early diagnosis of TB patients is critical to control its spread. However, standard TB diagnostic tests such as sputum culture take days to weeks to…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-08-26 Ubaid Ullah , Zarfishan Tahir , Obaidullah Qazi , Shaper Mirza , M. Imran Cheema