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Mixture distributions arise in many parametric and non-parametric settings -- for example, in Gaussian mixture models and in non-parametric estimation. It is often necessary to compute the entropy of a mixture, but, in most cases, this…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Artemy Kolchinsky , Brendan D. Tracey

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

Reinforcement Learning (RL) for constrained MDPs (CMDPs) is an increasingly important problem for various applications. Often, the average criterion is more suitable than the discounted criterion. Yet, RL for average-CMDPs (ACMDPs) remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Akhil Agnihotri , Rahul Jain , Haipeng Luo

Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPW) has been well applied in causal inference to estimate population-level estimands from observational studies. For time-to-event outcomes, the failure time distribution can be estimated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-13 Yuhao Deng , Rui Wang

In this paper, we consider the problem of quantifying parametric uncertainty in classical empirical interatomic potentials (IPs) using both Bayesian (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) and frequentist (profile likelihood) methods. We interface these…

Consider a random sample of $n$ independently and identically distributed $p$-dimensional normal random vectors. A test statistic for complete independence of high-dimensional normal distributions, proposed by Schott (2005), is defined as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Shuhua Chang , Yongcheng Qi

The directed preferential attachment model is revisited. A new exact characterization of the limiting in- and out-degree distribution is given by two \emph{independent} pure birth processes that are observed at a common exponentially…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Tom Britton

In this paper, we use a new partial order, called the f-majorization order. The new order includes as special cases the majorization , the reciprocal majorization and the p-larger orders. We provide a comprehensive account of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-13 Esmaeil Bashkar , Hamzeh Torabi , Ali Dolati , Felix Belzunce

This work addresses the distributed estimation problem in a set membership framework. The agents of a network collect measurements which are affected by bounded errors, thus implying that the unknown parameters to be estimated belong to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Francesco Farina , Andrea Garulli , Antonio Giannitrapani

A framework for risk-averse optimization problems is introduced that is resilient to ambiguities in the true form of the underlying probability distribution. The focus is on problems with partial differential equations (PDEs) as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Harbir Antil , Alonso J. Bustos , Sean P. Carney , Benjamín Venegas

This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for complex-valued probability measures and explores their novel applications in information theory and statistical analysis. We define a complex probability measure as a phase-modulated…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Siang Cheng , Hejun Xu , Tianxiao Pang

This paper addresses the challenges of pricing exotic options and structured products, which traditional models often fail to handle due to their inability to capture real-world market phenomena like fat-tailed distributions and volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 Helin Zhao , Junchi Shen

Skew-t copula models are attractive for the modeling of financial data because they allow for asymmetric and extreme tail dependence. We show that the copula implicit in the skew-t distribution of Azzalini and Capitanio (2003) allows for a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Lin Deng , Michael Stanley Smith , Worapree Maneesoonthorn

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) and Value-at-Risk (VaR), also called the superquantile and quantile, are frequently used to characterize the tails of probability distribution's and are popular measures of risk. Buffered Probability of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-19 Matthew Norton , Valentyn Khokhlov , Stan Uryasev

Portfolio sorting is ubiquitous in the empirical finance literature, where it has been widely used to identify pricing anomalies. Despite its popularity, little attention has been paid to the statistical properties of the procedure. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-21 Matias D. Cattaneo , Richard K. Crump , Max H. Farrell , Ernst Schaumburg

To take sample biases and skewness in the observations into account, practitioners frequently weight their observations according to some marginal distribution. The present paper demonstrates that such weighting can indeed improve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-05 Tobias Niebuhr , Mathias Trabs

In this article, we proposed a new probability distribution named as power Maxwell distribution (PMaD). It is another extension of Maxwell distribution (MaD) which would lead more flexibility to analyze the data with non-monotone failure…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-04 Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Hassan S. Bakouch , Sanjay Kumar Singh , Umesh Singh

We consider three new classes of exponential dispersion models of discrete probability distributions which are defined by specifying their variance functions in their mean value parameterization. In a previous paper (Bar-Lev and Ridder,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-01 Shaul K. Bar-Lev , Ad Ridder

A striking result of [Acharya et al. 2017] showed that to estimate symmetric properties of discrete distributions, plugging in the distribution that maximizes the likelihood of observed multiset of frequencies, also known as the profile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Yanjun Han , Kirankumar Shiragur

This paper studies the construction of p-values for nonparametric outlier detection, taking a multiple-testing perspective. The goal is to test whether new independent samples belong to the same distribution as a reference data set or are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Emmanuel Candès , Lihua Lei , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia