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We study the asymptotic behavior of the probability of non extinction of a weakly subcritical multitype branching process in iid random environments. Under suitable assumptions, the survival probability is of order of $\rho^n n ^{-3/2}$ for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 M Peigné , C Pham

We investigate branching processes in nearly degenerate varying environment, where the offspring distribution converges to the degenerate distribution at 1. Such processes die out almost surely, therefore, we condition on non-extinction or…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Peter Kevei , Kata Kubatovics

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$ drifting to infinity, (inspired on the early ideas of Shiryaev (2002)) we are interested in finding a stopping time that minimises the $L^p$ distance ($p>1$) with $g$, the last time $X$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza

We consider the asymptotic behavior of the (one dimensional) two-species annihilation reaction A + B --> 0, where both species have a uniform drift in the same direction and like species have a hard core exclusion. Extensive numerical…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 S. A. Janowsky

We study the properties of the exponential functional $\int\_0^{+ \infty} e^{- X^{\uparrow} (t)}dt$ where $X^{\uparrow}$ is a spectrally one-sided L{\'e}vy process conditioned to stay positive. In particular, we study finiteness,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Grégoire Véchambre , Grégoire Vechambre

We consider a one dimensional asymmetric random walk whose jumps are identical, independent and drawn from a distribution \phi(\eta) displaying asymmetric power law tails (i.e. \phi(\eta) \sim c/\eta^{\alpha +1} for large positive jumps and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-24 Clélia de Mulatier , Alberto Rosso , Gregory Schehr

We study a pure death process. At each discrete time every individual dies or not independently of each other with a constant probability. We give examples showing that in a certain limit extinction happens along a path where one and only…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Luiz Renato Fontes , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We characterize absorption-time distributions for birth-death Markov chains with an absorbing boundary. For "extinction-prone" chains (which drift on average toward the absorbing state) the asymptotic distribution is Gaussian, Gumbel, or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-08 David Hathcock , Steven H. Strogatz

We study properties of a $p-$type subcritical branching process in random environment initiated at moment zero by a vector $\mathbf{z}=\left( z_{1},..,z_{p}\right) $\ of particles of different types. Assuming that the process belongs to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

It is well known that a supercritical single-type Bienyam\'e-Galton-Watson process can be viewed as a decomposable branching process formed by two subtypes of particles: those having infinite line of descent and those who have finite number…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-21 Serik Sagitov , Altynay Shaimerdenova

The reflected process of a random walk or L\'evy process arises in many areas of applied probability, and a question of particular interest is how the tail of the distribution of the heights of the excursions away from zero behaves…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 R. A. Doney , Philip S. Griffin

In this note, we study the ultimate ruin probabilities of a real-valued L{\'e}vy process X with light-tailed negative jumps. It is well-known that, for such L{\'e}vy processes, the probability of ruin decreases as an exponential function…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Jérôme Spielmann

We study absorbing phase transitions in the one-dimensional branching annihilating random walk with long-range repulsion. The repulsion is implemented as hopping bias in such a way that a particle is more likely to hop away from its closest…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-26 Su-Chan Park

We investigate the well-posedness and asymptotic self-similarity of solutions to a generalized Smoluchowski coagulation equation recently introduced by Bertoin and Le Gall in the context of continuous-state branching theory. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Gautam Iyer , Nicholas Leger , Robert L. Pego

We study L\'{e}vy-like and truncated L\'{e}vy-like flights with step probability distribution of the form $r^{-1+\nu}$ for negative, positive, and zero $\nu$, focusing on the appearance of fractal geometry characteristics in the generated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-15 Konstantinos Chalas , F. K. Diakonos , A. S. Kapoyannis

We study the small-time asymptotics of sample paths of L\'evy processes and L\'evy-type processes. Namely, we investigate under which conditions the limit $$\limsup_{t \to 0} \frac{1}{f(t)} |X_t-X_0|$$ is finite resp.\ infinite with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Franziska Kühn

For a given L\'{e}vy process $X=(X_t)_{t\in\mathbb{R}_+}$ and for fixed $s\in \mathbb{R}_{+}\cup\{\infty\}$ and $t\in\mathbb{R}_+$ we analyse the {\it future drawdown extremes} that are defined as follows: \begin{eqnarray*} \overline…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-08 E. J. Baurdoux , Z. Palmowski , M. R. Pistorius

Let $\left\{ Z(n),n\geq 1\right\} $ be a critical Galton-Watson branching process with finite variance for the offspring size of particles. Assuming that $0<Z(n)\leq \varphi (n)$, where either $\varphi (n)=an$ for some $a>0$ or $\varphi…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-11 Minzhi Liu , Vladimir Vatutin

This article concerns the tail probabilities of a light-tailed Markov-modulated L\'evy process stopped at a state-dependent Poisson rate. The tails are shown to decay exponentially at rates given by the unique positive and negative roots of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Brendan K. Beare , Won-Ki Seo , Alexis Akira Toda

We consider a company that receives capital injections so as to avoid ruin. Differently from the classical bail-out settings where the underlying process is restricted to stay at or above zero, we study the case bail-out can only be made at…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-12 Florin Avram , José Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki