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Recent years have witnessed tremendous interest in understanding and predicting information spread on social media platforms such as Twitter, Facebook, etc. Existing diffusion prediction methods primarily exploit the sequential order of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Aravind Sankar , Xinyang Zhang , Adit Krishnan , Jiawei Han

The evolution of many microbes and pathogens, including circulating viruses such as seasonal influenza, is driven by immune pressure from the host population. In turn, the immune systems of infected populations get updated, chasing viruses…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-01 Jacopo Marchi , Michael Lässig , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Thierry Mora

Background: Seasonal influenza causes a substantial burden on healthcare services over the winter period when these systems are already under pressure. Policies during the COVID-19 pandemic supressed the transmission of season influenza,…

Accurate traffic prediction is essential for Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), yet current methods struggle with the inherent complexity and non-linearity of traffic dynamics, making it difficult to integrate spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Ruiyuan Jiang , Dongyao Jia , Eng Gee Lim , Pengfei Fan , Yuli Zhang , Shangbo Wang

Traffic forecasting has emerged as a crucial research area in the development of smart cities. Although various neural networks with intricate architectures have been developed to address this problem, they still face two key challenges: i)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Jianxiang Zhou , Erdong Liu , Wei Chen , Siru Zhong , Yuxuan Liang

Infectious disease outbreaks recapitulate biology: they emerge from the multi-level interaction of hosts, pathogens, and their shared environment. As a result, predicting when, where, and how far diseases will spread requires a complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-11 Samuel V. Scarpino , Giovanni Petri

Trajectory prediction is a fundamental problem and challenge for autonomous vehicles. Early works mainly focused on designing complicated architectures for deep-learning-based prediction models in normal-illumination environments, which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Hailong Gong , Zirui Li , Chao Lu , Guodong Du , Jianwei Gong

Determining phenotype from genetic data is a fundamental challenge. Influenza A viruses undergo rapid antigenic drift and identification of emerging antigenic variants is critical to the vaccine selection process. Using former seasonal…

In this work, we aim to formalize a novel scientific machine learning framework to reconstruct the hidden dynamics of the transmission rate, whose inaccurate extrapolation can significantly impair the quality of the epidemic forecasts, by…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Giovanni Ziarelli , Stefano Pagani , Nicola Parolini , Francesco Regazzoni , Marco Verani

Mathematical models in epidemiology are an indispensable tool to determine the dynamics and important characteristics of infectious diseases. Apart from their scientific merit, these models are often used to inform political decisions and…

Predicting user influence in social networks is a critical problem, and hypergraphs, as a prevalent higher-order modeling approach, provide new perspectives for this task. However, the absence of explicit cascade or infection probability…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Su-Su Zhang , JinFeng Xie , Yang Chen , Min Gao , Cong Li , Chuang Liu , Xiu-Xiu Zhan

Traffic flow prediction plays a critical role in the intelligent transportation system, and it is also a challenging task because of the underlying complex Spatio-temporal patterns and heterogeneities evolving across time. However, most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Jiyao Wang , Zehua Peng , Yijia Zhang , Dengbo He , Lei Chen

Reliable estimation of spatio-temporal trends in population-level HIV incidence is becoming an increasingly critical component of HIV prevention policy-making. However, direct measurement is nearly impossible. Current, widely used models…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-04 Timothy M Wolock , Seth R Flaxman , Jeffrey W Eaton

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Taichi Murayama , Nobuyuki Shimizu , Sumio Fujita , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Epidemiological models for the spread of pathogens in a population are usually only able to describe a single pathogen. This makes their application unrealistic in cases where multiple pathogens with similar symptoms are spreading…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-16 Nir Levy , Michael Iv , Elad Yom-Tov

We develop a multiple compartment Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to analyze the spread of several infectious diseases through different geographic areas. Additionally, we propose a data-quality sensitive optimization framework…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-21 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Levy , Daniela Paolotti , Nir Sochen , Elad Yom-Tov

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has affected millions of individuals around the world and has posed a significant challenge to global healthcare. From the early days of the pandemic, it became clear that it is highly contagious and that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-13 George Panagopoulos , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Influenza viruses mutate rapidly and can pose a threat to public health, especially to those in vulnerable groups. Throughout history, influenza A viruses have caused pandemics between different species. It is important to identify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Yanhua Xu , Dominik Wojtczak

Notably, current intelligent transportation systems rely heavily on accurate traffic forecasting and swift inference provision to make timely decisions. While Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have shown benefits in modeling complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhaoyan Wang , Xiangchi Song , In-Young Ko
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