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We develop a new method of online inference for a vector of parameters estimated by the Polyak-Ruppert averaging procedure of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithms. We leverage insights from time series regression in econometrics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-09 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

Uncertainty quantification for estimation through stochastic optimization solutions in an online setting has gained popularity recently. This paper introduces a novel inference method focused on constructing confidence intervals with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Wanrong Zhu , Zhipeng Lou , Ziyang Wei , Wei Biao Wu

Stochastic gradient algorithms are more and more studied since they can deal efficiently and online with large samples in high dimensional spaces. In this paper, we first establish a Central Limit Theorem for these estimates as well as for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

We develop and analyze the HulC, an intuitive and general method for constructing confidence sets using the convex hull of estimates constructed from subsets of the data. Unlike classical methods which are based on estimating the (limiting)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

Online decision making aims to learn the optimal decision rule by making personalized decisions and updating the decision rule recursively. It has become easier than before with the help of big data, but new challenges also come along.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-16 Haoyu Chen , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a foundational algorithm for large-scale statistical learning and stochastic optimization. However, statistical inference based on SGD iterates remains challenging when stochastic gradients have infinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Wenhao Yang

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is an immensely popular approach for online learning in settings where data arrives in a stream or data sizes are very large. However, despite an ever-increasing volume of work on SGD, much less is known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-06 Weijie J. Su , Yuancheng Zhu

We propose a novel and robust online function-on-scalar regression technique via geometric median to learn associations between functional responses and scalar covariates based on massive or streaming datasets. The online estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Guanghui Cheng , Wenjuan Hu , Ruitao Lin , Chen Wang

Online nonparametric estimators are gaining popularity due to their efficient computation and competitive generalization abilities. An important example includes variants of stochastic gradient descent. These algorithms often take one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Tianyu Zhang , Jing Lei

To investigate a dilemma of statistical and computational efficiency faced by long-run variance estimators, we propose a decomposition of kernel weights in a quadratic form and some online inference principles. These proposals allow us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Man Fung Leung , Kin Wai Chan

Profile likelihood confidence intervals are a robust alternative to Wald's method if the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator are not met. However, the constrained optimization problem defining profile likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-10 Samuel M. Fischer , Mark A. Lewis

The stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm has been widely used in statistical estimation for large-scale data due to its computational and memory efficiency. While most existing works focus on the convergence of the objective function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Xi Chen , Jason D. Lee , Xin T. Tong , Yichen Zhang

The stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm is widely used for parameter estimation, especially for huge data sets and online learning. While this recursive algorithm is popular for computation and memory efficiency, quantifying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-23 Wanrong Zhu , Xi Chen , Wei Biao Wu

Adaptively collected data has become ubiquitous within modern practice. However, even seemingly benign adaptive sampling schemes can introduce severe biases, rendering traditional statistical inference tools inapplicable. This can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Wei Fan , Kevin Tan , Yuting Wei

Estimation procedures based on recursive algorithms are interesting and powerful techniques that are able to deal rapidly with (very) large samples of high dimensional data. The collected data may be contaminated by noise so that robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Hervé Cardot , Peggy Cénac , Antoine Godichon

Contemporary applications, such as recommendation systems and mobile health monitoring, require real-time processing and analysis of sequentially arriving high-dimensional tensor data. Traditional offline learning, involving the storage and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Xin Wen , Will Wei Sun , Yichen Zhang

In this paper, we investigate the theoretical properties of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for statistical inference in the context of nonconvex optimization problems, which have been relatively unexplored compared to convex settings.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Yanjie Zhong , Todd Kuffner , Soumendra Lahiri

Randomized algorithms, such as randomized sketching or stochastic optimization, are a promising approach to ease the computational burden in analyzing large datasets. However, randomized algorithms also produce non-deterministic outputs,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-13 Zhixiang Zhang , Sokbae Lee , Edgar Dobriban

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has emerged as the quintessential method in a data scientist's toolbox. Using SGD for high-stakes applications requires, however, careful quantification of the associated uncertainty. Towards that end, in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Bhavya Agrawalla , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Promit Ghosal

This paper investigates the problem of online statistical inference of model parameters in stochastic optimization problems via the Kiefer-Wolfowitz algorithm with random search directions. We first present the asymptotic distribution for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Xi Chen , Zehua Lai , He Li , Yichen Zhang
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