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In this article we study the asymptotic predictive optimality of a model selection criterion based on the cross-validatory predictive density, already available in the literature. For a dependent variable and associated explanatory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Arijit Chakrabarti , Tapas Samanta

In multicenter research, individual-level data are often protected against sharing across sites. To overcome the barrier of data sharing, many distributed algorithms, which only require sharing aggregated information, have been developed.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Rui Duan , Yang Ning , Yong Chen

This paper describes three methods for carrying out non-asymptotic inference on partially identified parameters that are solutions to a class of optimization problems. Applications in which the optimization problems arise include estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Joel L. Horowitz , Sokbae Lee

We propose kernel estimator for the distribution function of unobserved errors in autoregressive time series, based on residuals computed by estimating the autoregressive coefficients with the Yule-Walker method. Under mild assumptions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Jiangyan Wang , Rong Liu , Fuxia Cheng , Lijian Yang

We study the statistical properties of an estimator derived by applying a gradient ascent method with multiple initializations to a multi-modal likelihood function. We derive the population quantity that is the target of this estimator and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Yen-Chi Chen

To fast approximate maximum likelihood estimators with massive data, this paper studies the Optimal Subsampling Method under the A-optimality Criterion (OSMAC) for generalized linear models. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Mingyao Ai , Jun Yu , Huiming Zhang , HaiYing Wang

Distributionally-robust optimization is often studied for a fixed set of distributions rather than time-varying distributions that can drift significantly over time (which is, for instance, the case in finance and sociology due to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Iman Shames , Farhad Farokhi

In this paper, we construct a parameter estimation framework for robust low-rank tensor regression based on a truncation method and Huber loss, specifically focusing on models with random noise having only finite second-order moments.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Kangqiang Li , Bingqi Liu , Yang Yang , Li Wang

Trust-region (TR) and adaptive regularization using cubics (ARC) have proven to have some very appealing theoretical properties for non-convex optimization by concurrently computing function value, gradient, and Hessian matrix to obtain the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Liu Liu , Xuanqing Liu , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Dacheng Tao

Sequential change-point detection when the distribution parameters are unknown is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. When the post-change parameters are unknown, we consider a set of detection procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Yang Cao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

We study online convex optimization under stochastic sub-gradient observation faults, where we introduce adaptive algorithms with minimax optimal regret guarantees. We specifically study scenarios where our sub-gradient observations can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Hakan Gokcesu , Suleyman S. Kozat

Many functionals of interest in statistics and machine learning can be written as minimizers of expected loss functions. Such functionals are called $M$-estimands, and can be estimated by $M$-estimators -- minimizers of empirical average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Arunav Bhowmick , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

While the traditional viewpoint in machine learning and statistics assumes training and testing samples come from the same population, practice belies this fiction. One strategy -- coming from robust statistics and optimization -- is thus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John C. Duchi

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an efficient method of simulating smooth distributions and has motivated the widely used No-U-turn Sampler (NUTS) and software Stan. We build on NUTS and the technique of "unbiased sampling" to design HMC…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-26 George M. Leigh , Amanda R. Northrop

High-dimensional group inference is an essential part of statistical methods for analysing complex data sets, including hierarchical testing, tests of interaction, detection of heterogeneous treatment effects and inference for local…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Zijian Guo , Claude Renaux , Peter Bühlmann , T. Tony Cai

Traditional statistical inference in cluster randomized trials typically invokes the asymptotic theory that requires the number of clusters to approach infinity. In this article, we propose an alternative conformal causal inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Bingkai Wang , Fan Li , Mengxin Yu

We study online convex optimisation with $\ell_q$-Lipschitz losses, $\ell_p$-regularised FTRL, and randomised two-point finite-difference gradient estimators based on cone-measure sampling from $\ell_r$-spheres. For random Lipschitz losses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 David Janz , El-Mahdi El-Mhamdi , Arya Akhavan

We present a novel statistical inference framework for convex empirical risk minimization, using approximate stochastic Newton steps. The proposed algorithm is based on the notion of finite differences and allows the approximation of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Tianyang Li , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Liu Liu , Constantine Caramanis

Online averaged stochastic gradient algorithms are more and more studied since (i) they can deal quickly with large sample taking values in high dimensional spaces, (ii) they enable to treat data sequentially, (iii) they are known to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

We propose a novel technique for algorithm-selection, applicable to optimisation domains in which there is implicit sequential information encapsulated in the data, e.g., in online bin-packing. Specifically we train two types of recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Mohamad Alissa , Kevin Sim , Emma Hart
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