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Related papers: Statistical Inference for Online Algorithms

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Inference methods for computing confidence intervals in parametric settings usually rely on consistent estimators of the parameter of interest. However, it may be computationally and/or analytically burdensome to obtain such estimators in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Samuel Orso , Mucyo Karemera , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser , Stéphane Guerrier

We study statistical inference and distributionally robust solution methods for stochastic optimization problems, focusing on confidence intervals for optimal values and solutions that achieve exact coverage asymptotically. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 John Duchi , Peter Glynn , Hongseok Namkoong

Online learning naturally arises in many statistical and machine learning problems. The most widely used methods in online learning are stochastic first-order algorithms. Among this family of algorithms, there is a recently developed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-05 Yiling Luo , Xiaoming Huo , Yajun Mei

Constrained stochastic nonlinear optimization problems have attracted significant attention for their ability to model complex real-world scenarios in physics, economics, and biology. As datasets continue to grow, online inference methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Xinchen Du , Wanrong Zhu , Wei Biao Wu , Sen Na

Constructing distribution-free confidence intervals for the median, a classic problem in statistics, has seen numerous solutions in the literature. While coverage validity has received ample attention, less has been explored about interval…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a popular algorithm for optimization problems arising in high-dimensional inference tasks. Here one produces an estimator of an unknown parameter from independent samples of data by iteratively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-23 Gerard Ben Arous , Reza Gheissari , Aukosh Jagannath

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a powerful and scalable computational method for iteratively estimating the solution of optimization problems in the presence of randomness, particularly well-suited for large-scale and streaming data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Meimei Liu , Zuofeng Shang , Yun Yang

In many applications involving large dataset or online updating, stochastic gradient descent (SGD) provides a scalable way to compute parameter estimates and has gained increasing popularity due to its numerical convenience and memory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-04 Yixin Fang , Jinfeng Xu , Lei Yang

In this paper, we study a simple algorithm to construct asymptotically valid confidence regions for model parameters using the batch means method. The main idea is to cancel out the covariance matrix which is hard/costly to estimate. In the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-03 Yi Zhu , Jing Dong

It is well known that ignoring the presence of stochastic disturbances in the identification of stochastic Wiener models leads to asymptotically biased estimators. On the other hand, optimal statistical identification, via likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros , Roy S. Smith

We propose a fast stochastic Hamilton Monte Carlo (HMC) method, for sampling from a smooth and strongly log-concave distribution. At the core of our proposed method is a variance reduction technique inspired by the recent advance in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Difan Zou , Pan Xu , Quanquan Gu

We derive inferential procedures for large sample sizes that remain valid under data-dependent significance levels (so-called "post-hoc valid inference"). Classical statistical tools require that the significance level -- the "type-I error"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Ben Chugg , Etienne Gauthier , Michael I. Jordan , Aaditya Ramdas , Ian Waudby-Smith

We study online inference and asymptotic covariance estimation for the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm. While classical methods (such as plug-in and batch-means estimators) are available, they either require inaccessible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Ziyang Wei , Wanrong Zhu , Jingyang Lyu , Wei Biao Wu

This article studies local and global inference for smoothing spline estimation in a unified asymptotic framework. We first introduce a new technical tool called functional Bahadur representation, which significantly generalizes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

In many modern settings, data are acquired iteratively over time, rather than all at once. Such settings are known as online, as opposed to offline or batch. We introduce a simple technique for online parameter estimation, which can operate…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hien D Nguyen

With the rapid development of data collection and aggregation technologies in many scientific disciplines, it is becoming increasingly ubiquitous to conduct large-scale or online regression to analyze real-world data and unveil real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Jinfeng Xu , Zhiliang Ying , Na Zhao

In non-linear estimations, it is common to assess sampling uncertainty by bootstrap inference. For complex models, this can be computationally intensive. This paper combines optimization with resampling: turning stochastic optimization into…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-09 Jean-Jacques Forneron

This paper considers the distributed computation of confidence regions tethered to multidimensional parameter estimation under linear measurement models. In particular, the considered confidence regions are non-asymptotic, this meaning that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-10-01 Vincenzo Zambianchi , Michel Kieffer , Gianni Pasolini , Francesca Bassi , Davide Dardari

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

Neural simulation-based inference is a powerful class of machine-learning-based methods for statistical inference that naturally handles high-dimensional parameter estimation without the need to bin data into low-dimensional summary…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-16 ATLAS Collaboration