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Conformal testing is a way of testing the IID assumption based on conformal prediction. The topic of this note is computational evaluation of the performance of conformal testing in a model situation in which IID binary observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Vladimir Vovk

The sharp microcanonical multifragmentation model from [Al. H. Raduta and Ad. R. Raduta, Phys. Rev. C 55, 1344 (1997); Phys. Rev. C, in press] is employed for evaluating the nuclear caloric curve predictions of nine isotopic thermometers…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-11-06 Al. H. Raduta , Ad. R. Raduta

Recent advances in experimental control of colloidal systems have spurred a revolution in the production of mesoscale thermodynamic devices. Functional "textbook" engines, such as the Stirling and Carnot cycles, have been produced in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-15 Adam G. Frim , Michael R. DeWeese

Observations of the Cosmic Microwave Background rely on cryogenic instrumentation with cold detectors, readout, and optics providing the low noise performance and instrumental stability required to make more sensitive measurements. It is…

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

In many contexts it is extremely costly to perform enough high quality experimental measurements to accurately parameterize a predictive quantitative model. However, it is often much easier to carry out large numbers of experiments that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-22 Alpha A. Lee , Michael P. Brenner , Lucy J. Colwell

Optimization of cyclic stochastic heat engines, a topic spanning decades of research, commonly assumes fixed control or response parameters at discrete points in the cycle-a limitation that often leads to experimentally impractical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-02 Monojit Chatterjee , Viktor Holubec , Rahul Marathe

In this study, we develop a conditional diffusion model that proposes the optimal process parameters and predicts the microstructure for the desired mechanical properties. In materials development, it is costly to try many samples with…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Arisa Ikeda , Ryo Higuchi , Tomohiro Yokozeki , Katsuhiro Endo , Yuta Kojima , Misato Suzuki , Mayu Muramatsu

Because most chemical or biological experiments are performed under conditions of controlled pressure and temperature, it is important to simulate the isobaric-isothermal ensemble at the atomic level to reveal the microscopic mechanism. By…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-14 Weihao Liang , Sihan Wang , Cong Wang , Weizhou Wang , Xinchen She , Chongbin Wang , Jiushu Shao , Jian Liu

Nowadays, the numerical models of real-world structures are more precise, more complex and, of course, more time-consuming. Despite the growth of a computational effort, the exploration of model behaviour remains a complex task. The…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-10-17 Eliska Janouchova , Anna Kucerova

Bayesian experimental design (BED) is a framework that uses statistical models and decision making under uncertainty to optimise the cost and performance of a scientific experiment. Sequential BED, as opposed to static BED, considers the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-23 Steven Kleinegesse , Christopher Drovandi , Michael U. Gutmann

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-02 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Ben Parker

Let the design of an experiment be represented by an $s$-dimensional vector $\mathbf {w}$ of weights with nonnegative components. Let the quality of $\mathbf {w}$ for the estimation of the parameters of the statistical model be measured by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-16 Guillaume Sagnol , Radoslav Harman

Improving algorithms via predictions is a very active research topic in recent years. This paper initiates the systematic study of mechanism design in this model. In a number of well-studied mechanism design settings, we make use of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Chenyang Xu , Pinyan Lu

Numerical modeling of proton exchange membrane fuel cells is at the verge of becoming predictive. A crucial requisite for this, though, is that material properties of the membrane-electrode assembly and their functional dependence on the…

Applied Physics · Physics 2019-10-03 Roman Vetter , Jürgen O. Schumacher

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

Calibration of the uncertain Arrhenius diffusion parameters for quantifying mixing rates in Zr-Al nanolaminate foils was performed in a Bayesian setting [Vohra et al., 2014]. The parameters were inferred in a low temperature regime…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-03-28 Manav Vohra , Xun Huan , Timothy P. Weihs , Omar M. Knio

This work presents a scalable computational framework for optimal design under uncertainty with application to multi-material insulation components of building envelopes. The forward model consists of a multi-phase thermo-mechanical model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-20 Jingye Tan , Danial Faghihi

Optimal designs can help experimenters obtain more accurate parameter estimates with reduced experimental time and cost. In this paper, we characterize the Expected Weighted (EW) D-optimal designs as robust designs against unknown parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Siting Lin , Yifei Huang , Jie Yang

Modeling buildings' heat dynamics is a complex process which depends on various factors including weather, building thermal capacity, insulation preservation, and residents' behavior. Gray-box models offer a causal inference of those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Nilavra Pathak , James Foulds , Nirmalya Roy , Nilanjan Banerjee , Ryan Robucci
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