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We develop adaptive discretization algorithms for locally optimal experimental design of nonlinear prediction models. With these algorithms, we refine and improve a pertinent state-of-the-art algorithm in various respects. We establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Jochen Schmid , Philipp Seufert , Michael Bortz

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

Temperature of a finite-sized system fluctuates due to the thermal fluctuations. However, a systematic mathematical framework for measuring or estimating the temperature is still underdeveloped. Here, we incorporate the estimation theory in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-17 Shaoyong Zhang , Zhaoyu Fei , Xiaoguang Wang

An early phase clinical trial is the first step in evaluating the effects in humans of a potential new anti-disease agent or combination of agents. Usually called "phase I" or "phase I/II" trials, these experiments typically have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 Peter F. Thall

The Design of Experiments (DOEs) is a fundamental scientific methodology that provides researchers with systematic principles and techniques to enhance the validity, reliability, and efficiency of experimental outcomes. In this study, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Miao Huang , Hongqiao Wang , Kunyu Wu

Many development decisions affect the results obtained from ML experiments: training data, features, model architecture, hyperparameters, test data, etc. Among these aspects, arguably the most important design decisions are those that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Luciana Ferrer , Odette Scharenborg , Tom Bäckström

Thermal history models, that have been used to understand the geological history of Earth, are now being coupled to climate models to map conditions that allow planets to maintain surface water over geologic time - a criteria considered…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Johnny Seales , Adrian Lenardic , William Moore

The issue of determining not only an adequate dose but also a dosing frequency of a drug arises frequently in Phase II clinical trials. This results in the comparison of models which have some parameters in common. Planning such studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Kirsten Schorning , Maria Konstantinou

Empirical research plays a fundamental role in the machine learning domain. At the heart of impactful empirical research lies the development of clear research hypotheses, which then shape the design of experiments. The execution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Daniel Vranješ , Oliver Niggemann

Model-based design of experiments (MBDoE) is a powerful framework for selecting and calibrating science-based mathematical models from data. This work extends popular MBDoE workflows by proposing a convex mixed integer (non)linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Jialu Wang , Zedong Peng , Ryan Hughes , Debangsu Bhattacharyya , David E. Bernal Neira , Alexander W. Dowling

In this study, we demonstrate a sequential experimental design for spectral measurements by active learning using parametric models as predictors. In spectral measurements, it is necessary to reduce the measurement time because of sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Tomohiro Nabika , Kenji Nagata , Shun Katakami , Masaichiro Mizumaki , Masato Okada

This paper deals with the question of how to most effectively conduct experiments in Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes so as to provide data that is most informative about a parameter of interest. Methods from Markov decision…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-31 Leifur Thorbergsson , Giles Hooker

Identifying causal effects is a key problem of interest across many disciplines. The two long-standing approaches to estimate causal effects are observational and experimental (randomized) studies. Observational studies can suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Sepehr Elahi , Sina Akbari , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash , Patrick Thiran

Experimental design is a classical statistics problem and its aim is to estimate an unknown $m$-dimensional vector $\beta$ from linear measurements where a Gaussian noise is introduced in each measurement. For the combinatorial experimental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Mohit Singh , Weijun Xie

Linear regression models are among the models most used in practice, although the practitioners are often not sure whether their assumed linear regression model is at least approximately true. In such situations, only designs for which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wolfgang Bischoff , Frank Miller

We investigate the possibility of extending some results of Pazman and Pronzato (2014) to a larger set of optimality criteria. Namely, in a linear regression model the problem of computing D-, A-, E_k-optimal designs, of combining these…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-24 Katarina Burclova , Andrej Pazman

This paper considers the problem of constructing optimal discriminating experimental designs for competing regression models on the basis of the T-optimality criterion introduced by Atkinson and Fedorov [Biometrika 62 (1975) 57-70].…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Holger Dette , Viatcheslav B. Melas , Petr Shpilev

Accurate temperature measurements are essential for the proper monitoring and control of industrial furnaces. However, measurement uncertainty is a risk for such a critical parameter. Certain instrumental and environmental errors must be…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-12 Iñigo Martinez , Urtzi Otamendi , Igor G. Olaizola , Roger Solsona , Mikel Maiza , Elisabeth Viles , Arturo Fernandez , Ignacio Arzua

Parameter fitting of data to a proposed equation almost always consider these parameters as independent variables. Here, the method proposed optimizes an arbitrary number of variables by the minimization of a function of a single variable.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2010-06-15 Christopher G. Jesudason

Bayesian optimality criteria provide a robust design strategy to parameter misspecification. We develop an approximate design theory for Bayesian $D$-optimality for non-linear regression models with covariates subject to measurement errors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Maria Konstantinou , Holger Dette