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Credibly assessing the resilience of energy infrastructure in the face of natural disasters is a salient concern facing researchers, government officials, and community members. Here, we explore the influence of the spatial distribution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-11 Benjamin Rachunok , Roshanak Nateghi

The tropical cyclone formation process is one of the most complex natural phenomena which is governed by various atmospheric, oceanographic, and geographic factors that varies with time and space. Despite several years of research,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-07 Sandeep Kumar , Koushik Biswas , Ashish Kumar Pandey

In today's global economy, supply chain (SC) entities have become increasingly interconnected with demand and supply relationships due to the need for strategic outsourcing. Such interdependence among firms not only increases efficiency but…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-16 Qihui Yang , Caterina Scoglio , Don Gruenbacher

The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events is significantly affecting the power grid, causing large-scale outages and impacting power system resilience. Yet limited work has been done on systematically modeling the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-06 Apsara Adhikari , Charlotte Wertz , Anamika Dubey , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting is critical for disaster warning and emergency response. Deep learning methods address computational challenges but often neglect physical relationships between TC attributes, resulting in predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Lei Liu , Xiaoning Yu , Kang Chen , Jiahui Huang , Tengyuan Liu , Hongwei Zhao , Bin Li

Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) poses a great challenge due to their highly nonlinear dynamics and inherent uncertainties. Conventional statistical dynamics and artificial intelligence prediction models typically rely…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-10 Xuepeng Chen , Jing-Jia Luo , Qingqing Li , Fan Meng

Accurate forecasting of Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is crucial for formulating disaster risk reduction strategies. Current methods predominantly rely on limited spatiotemporal information from ERA5 data and neglect the causal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Xinyu Wang , Kang Chen , Lei Liu , Tao Han , Bin Li , Lei Bai

Tropical cyclones are important drivers of coastal flooding which have severe negative public safety and economic consequences. Due to the rare occurrence of such events, high spatial and temporal resolution historical storm precipitation…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-20 William Kleiber , Stephan Sain , Luke Madaus , Patrick Harr

We compare two methods for making predictions of the climatological distribution of the number of hurricanes making landfall along short sections of the North American coastline. The first method uses local data, and the second method uses…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Tim Hall , Stephen Jewson

Dealing with meteorological uncertainty poses a major challenge in air traffic management (ATM). Convective weather (commonly referred to as storms or thunderstorms) in particular represents a significant safety hazard that is responsible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Daniel Hentzen , Maryam Kamgarpour , Manuel Soler , Daniel González-Arribas

Almost 90% of the major power outages in the US are caused due to hurricanes. Due to the highly uncertain nature of hurricanes in both spatial and temporal dimensions, it is essential to quantify the effect of such hurricanes on a power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-16 Abodh Poudyal , Vishnu Iyengar , Diego Garcia-Camargo , Anamika Dubey

Modern economies depend critically on high-voltage power transmission networks. Yet this infrastructure is routinely disrupted by natural hazards ranging from earthquakes and floods to tornadoes and geomagnetic storms. Risk assessments have…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-25 D. Bor , E. J. Oughton , R. S. Weigel , R. Yang , T. Clower , A. Newman , A. R. Valle

Compound flooding, where the combination or successive occurrence of two or more flood drivers leads to an extreme impact, can greatly exacerbate the adverse consequences associated with flooding in coastal regions. This paper reviews the…

Water level measurements from 15 tide gauges in the coastal zone of Bangladesh are analyzed in conjunction with cyclone tracks and wind speed data for 54 cyclones between 1977 and 2010. Storm surge magnitude is inferred from residual water…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-01-27 Soyee Chiu , Christopher Small

Improved understanding of characteristics related to weather forecast accuracy in the United States may help meteorologists develop more accurate predictions and may help Americans better interpret their daily weather forecasts. This…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-16 Jill Lundell , Brennan Bean , Juergen Symanzik

Bayesian hierarchical models are proposed for modeling tropical cyclone characteristics and their damage potential in the Atlantic basin. We model the joint probability distribution of tropical cyclone characteristics and their damage…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-13 Lindsey Dietz , Sakshi Arya , Vishal Subedi , Auroop R. Ganguly , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

The ongoing change in Earth`s climate is causing an increase in the frequency and severity of climate-related hazards, for example, from coastal flooding, riverine flooding, and tropical cyclones. There is currently an urgent need to…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-09 Edward J. Oughton , Tom Russell , Jeongjin Oh , Sara Ballan , Jim W. Hall

Due to accelerated sea level rise and climate change, the transportation system is increasingly affected by recurrent flooding coastal regions, yet the cumulative travel disruption effects are not well understood. In Part 1 of this study,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-07 Luwei Zeng , T. Donna Chen , John S. Miller , Jonathan L. Goodall , Faria Tuz Zahura

With the increasing frequency of major natural disasters, understanding their political consequences is of paramount importance for democratic accountability. The existing literature is deeply divided, with some studies finding that voters…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-22 Nima Taheri Hosseinkhani

The fate of cities under natural hazards depends not only on hazard intensity but also on the coupling of structural damage, a collective process that remains poorly understood. Here we show that urban structural damage exhibits…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-22 Sebin Oh , Jinyan Zhao , Raul Rincon , Jamie E. Padgett , Ziqi Wang